FootSimu
Brasileirão Série A 2026

Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 34

After the games up to 6 November 2026Latest

Flamengo lead the title race at 89%.

Simulate the rest of the season

Biggest risers and fallers

The model changed since the last report

The simulation now allows for each club's rating being an estimate, more so early in the season, so the chances are a little less sure. Changes since Matchday 33 would mix that with the results, so this report shows none; they're back next round.

The title race

  • Flamengo
  • Palmeiras
  • Cruzeiro
  • Fluminense
  • Athletico-PR
0%25%50%75%100%1357911131517192123252729313334Model updateFlamengo 89%Palmeiras 11%Cruzeiro 0%Fluminense 0%Athletico-PR 0%
Show as a table
RoundFlamengoPalmeirasCruzeiroFluminenseAthletico-PR
153%17%4%2%0%
245%31%1%4%0%
345%35%1%5%0%
455%27%<1%7%0%
564%24%<1%5%0%
664%28%<1%3%0%
750%43%<1%4%0%
834%54%<1%7%<1%
932%58%<1%5%<1%
1045%50%<1%2%<1%
1152%43%<1%3%0%
1257%40%<1%2%0%
1355%42%<1%2%<1%
1468%31%<1%1%<1%
1567%31%<1%2%0%
1641%57%<1%1%<1%
1745%54%<1%1%<1%
1844%56%<1%<1%<1%
1949%50%<1%<1%<1%
2035%65%<1%<1%<1%
2145%54%<1%<1%<1%
2264%36%<1%<1%<1%
2349%50%<1%<1%<1%
2458%41%<1%<1%<1%
2558%42%<1%<1%<1%
2673%27%<1%<1%<1%
2773%27%0%<1%<1%
2881%19%0%<1%0%
2970%30%0%<1%<1%
3070%30%0%0%<1%
3172%28%0%0%0%
3272%28%0%0%0%
3388%12%0%0%0%
34Model update89%11%0%0%0%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round. The line before Matchday 34 marks a model update: the step there is the model's, not the results'.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitleLibertadoresRelegation
1Flamengo89%100%0%
2Palmeiras11%100%0%
3Cruzeiro0%>99%0%
4Fluminense0%95%0%
5Athletico-PR0%47%0%
6Bahia0%46%0%
7Atlético-MG0%10%0%
8Bragantino0%1%0%
9Santos0%1%0%
10São Paulo0%<1%0%
11Botafogo0%0%1%
12Coritiba0%0%7%
13Vasco0%<1%1%
14Mirassol0%0%11%
15Vitória0%0%45%
16Internacional0%0%35%
17Corinthians0%0%41%
18Grêmio0%0%59%
19Remo0%0%>99%
20Chapecoense0%0%100%

Chances after Matchday 34, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

All reports this season