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Brasileirão Série A 2026

Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 7

After the games up to 22 March 2026

Flamengo lead the title race at 51%. Remo 4–1 Bahia moved the odds the most.

Simulate the rest of the season

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

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Down

Palmeiras won 1–0 at São Paulo, and their title chances rose from 30% to 44%. Flamengo drew 1–1 at Corinthians, and their title chances fell from 63% to 51%. Flamengo lead the title race at 51%.

Libertadores

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Down

Botafogo won 2–1 at Bragantino, and their Libertadores chances rose from 39% to 55%. Bahia lost 4–1 at Remo, and their Libertadores chances fell from 68% to 46%.

Relegation

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Down

Chapecoense lost 2–0 at Internacional, and their relegation chances rose from 64% to 77%. Athletico-PR beat Coritiba 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 44% to 27%.

Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Remo4–1Bahia

Remo 4–1 Bahia moved the odds the most. Remo beat Bahia 4–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 95% to 83%. Bahia lost 4–1 at Remo, and their Libertadores chances fell from 68% to 46%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

  • Flamengo
  • Palmeiras
  • Fluminense
  • Botafogo
  • São Paulo
0%20%40%60%80%1234567Flamengo 51%Palmeiras 44%Fluminense 2%Botafogo 1%São Paulo 1%
Show as a table
RoundFlamengoPalmeirasFluminenseBotafogoSão Paulo
144%18%3%20%1%
234%38%4%12%1%
334%46%4%6%1%
447%34%6%5%4%
561%28%3%1%4%
663%30%2%1%2%
751%44%2%1%1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitleLibertadoresRelegation
1Palmeiras44%+14 pts99%+2 pts0%±0
2São Paulo1%−1 pt58%−7 pts<1%±0
3Fluminense2%±074%+14 pts<1%±0
4Flamengo51%−12 pts99%±00%±0
5Bahia1%−2 pts46%−22 pts1%+1 pt
6Athletico-PR<1%±02%+2 pts27%−17 pts
7Coritiba0%±02%−2 pts24%+11 pts
8Grêmio<1%±014%−3 pts5%+2 pts
9Vasco<1%±013%+4 pts6%−1 pt
10Vitória<1%±04%+2 pts17%−9 pts
11Corinthians0%±06%+1 pt11%+1 pt
12Internacional0%±02%+1 pt31%−11 pts
13Atlético-MG<1%±03%±020%+4 pts
14Bragantino0%±01%±040%+11 pts
15Chapecoense0%±0<1%±077%+13 pts
16Santos0%±01%±033%−2 pts
17Botafogo1%±055%+16 pts<1%−1 pt
18Mirassol<1%±016%−6 pts5%+3 pts
19Remo0%±0<1%±083%−12 pts
20Cruzeiro0%±03%−2 pts19%+6 pts

Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.

All reports this season