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Brasileirão Série A 2026

Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 2

After the games up to 5 February 2026

Palmeiras lead the title race at 38%. Palmeiras 5–1 Vitória moved the odds the most.

Simulate the rest of the season

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

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Palmeiras beat Vitória 5–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 18% to 38%. Flamengo drew 1–1 with Internacional at home, and their title chances fell from 44% to 34%. Palmeiras lead the title race at 38%.

Libertadores

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Grêmio beat Botafogo 5–3 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 7% to 23%. Cruzeiro lost 2–1 to Coritiba at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 40% to 22%.

Relegation

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Vitória lost 5–1 at Palmeiras, and their relegation chances rose from 16% to 33%. Coritiba won 2–1 at Cruzeiro, and their relegation chances fell from 77% to 56%.

Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Palmeiras5–1Vitória

Palmeiras 5–1 Vitória moved the odds the most. Palmeiras beat Vitória 5–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 18% to 38%. Vitória lost 5–1 at Palmeiras, and their relegation chances rose from 16% to 33%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

  • Palmeiras
  • Flamengo
  • Botafogo
  • Mirassol
  • Fluminense
0%15%30%45%60%12Palmeiras 38%Flamengo 34%Botafogo 12%Mirassol 8%Fluminense 4%
Show as a table
RoundPalmeirasFlamengoBotafogoMirassolFluminense
118%44%20%10%3%
238%34%12%8%4%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitleLibertadoresRelegation
1Bragantino<1%±015%+8 pts4%−3 pts
2Palmeiras38%+20 pts92%+11 pts0%±0
3Chapecoense0%±0<1%±050%−5 pts
4Mirassol8%−2 pts64%−5 pts<1%±0
5Bahia2%±031%−1 pt1%±0
6Fluminense4%+1 pt47%+6 pts1%±0
7São Paulo1%±019%+1 pt3%+1 pt
8Botafogo12%−8 pts71%−12 pts<1%±0
9Grêmio1%+1 pt23%+16 pts2%−5 pts
10Athletico-PR0%±0<1%±071%+3 pts
11Coritiba<1%±0<1%±056%−21 pts
12Vitória0%±01%−1 pt33%+17 pts
13Atlético-MG<1%±08%−3 pts8%+3 pts
14Flamengo34%−10 pts91%−3 pts<1%±0
15Vasco<1%±05%−3 pts13%+6 pts
16Internacional0%±02%+1 pt27%−3 pts
17Santos<1%±03%+1 pt22%+4 pts
18Remo0%±00%±088%−1 pt
19Corinthians<1%±04%+1 pt17%+2 pts
20Cruzeiro1%−1 pt22%−18 pts2%+1 pt

Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.

All reports this season