Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 31 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Flamengo65%69%+4 pts

Down

Palmeiras35%31%−4 pts

Flamengo won 3–0 at Bahia, and their title chances rose from 65% to 69%. Palmeiras won 2–0 at Athletico-PR, and their title chances fell from 35% to 31%. Flamengo lead the title race at 69%.

Libertadores

Up

Cruzeiro52%74%+22 pts
Atlético-MG26%35%+9 pts
Santos2%6%+4 pts

Down

Bahia47%31%−16 pts
Fluminense88%75%−13 pts
Athletico-PR84%76%−8 pts

Cruzeiro won 4–2 at Grêmio, and their Libertadores chances rose from 52% to 74%. Bahia lost 3–0 to Flamengo at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 47% to 31%.

Relegation

Up

Grêmio65%75%+10 pts
Internacional48%55%+7 pts
Corinthians36%38%+2 pts

Down

Mirassol21%8%−13 pts
Vitória12%7%−5 pts
Botafogo3%1%−2 pts

Grêmio lost 4–2 to Cruzeiro at home, and their relegation chances rose from 65% to 75%. Mirassol beat Internacional 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 21% to 8%.

Changes since Matchday 30, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Grêmio

2–4

Cruzeiro

Grêmio 2–4 Cruzeiro moved the odds the most. Grêmio lost 4–2 to Cruzeiro at home, and their relegation chances rose from 65% to 75%. Cruzeiro won 4–2 at Grêmio, and their Libertadores chances rose from 52% to 74%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Flamengo
Palmeiras
Athletico-PR
Cruzeiro
Fluminense

Show as a table

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro	Fluminense
1	44%	18%	0%	2%	3%
2	34%	38%	0%	1%	4%
3	34%	46%	<1%	1%	4%
4	47%	34%	0%	<1%	6%
5	61%	28%	0%	<1%	3%
6	63%	30%	0%	<1%	2%
7	51%	44%	<1%	0%	2%
8	30%	61%	<1%	<1%	6%
9	27%	68%	0%	0%	3%
10	39%	57%	0%	0%	2%
11	44%	52%	0%	<1%	2%
12	52%	47%	0%	0%	1%
13	50%	49%	0%	0%	1%
14	64%	36%	0%	0%	<1%
15	64%	34%	0%	<1%	1%
16	33%	66%	<1%	0%	1%
17	38%	61%	0%	<1%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	0%	<1%
19	43%	56%	<1%	0%	<1%
20	27%	73%	<1%	0%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	<1%	0%	<1%
28	77%	23%	<1%	0%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	0%	<1%
30	65%	35%	<1%	0%	0%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	FlamengoFlamengo	67	69%+4 pts	100%±0	0%±0
2	PalmeirasPalmeiras	66	31%−4 pts	100%±0	0%±0
3	Athletico-PRAthletico Paranaense	53	0%±0	76%−8 pts	0%±0
4	CruzeiroCruzeiro	51	0%±0	74%+22 pts	0%±0
5	FluminenseFluminense	51	0%±0	75%−13 pts	0%±0
6	Atlético-MGAtlético Mineiro	50	0%±0	35%+9 pts	0%±0
7	BahiaBahia	49	0%±0	31%−16 pts	0%±0
8	SantosSantos	45	0%±0	6%+4 pts	0%±0
9	São PauloSão Paulo	42	0%±0	1%+1 pt	0%−1 pt
10	BragantinoRed Bull Bragantino	41	0%±0	1%±0	<1%±0
11	BotafogoBotafogo	39	0%±0	<1%±0	1%−2 pts
12	CoritibaCoritiba	39	0%±0	0%±0	6%±0
13	VitóriaVitória	37	0%±0	0%±0	7%−5 pts
14	MirassolMirassol	36	0%±0	<1%±0	8%−13 pts
15	VascoVasco	35	0%±0	0%±0	10%+1 pt
16	CorinthiansCorinthians	33	0%±0	0%±0	38%+2 pts
17	InternacionalInternacional	32	0%±0	0%±0	55%+7 pts
18	GrêmioGrêmio	31	0%±0	0%±0	75%+10 pts
19	RemoRemo	26	0%±0	0%±0	99%±0
20	ChapecoenseChapecoense	18	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 31, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 30 below each.

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro	Fluminense
1	44%	18%	0%	2%	3%
2	34%	38%	0%	1%	4%
3	34%	46%	<1%	1%	4%
4	47%	34%	0%	<1%	6%
5	61%	28%	0%	<1%	3%
6	63%	30%	0%	<1%	2%
7	51%	44%	<1%	0%	2%
8	30%	61%	<1%	<1%	6%
9	27%	68%	0%	0%	3%
10	39%	57%	0%	0%	2%
11	44%	52%	0%	<1%	2%
12	52%	47%	0%	0%	1%
13	50%	49%	0%	0%	1%
14	64%	36%	0%	0%	<1%
15	64%	34%	0%	<1%	1%
16	33%	66%	<1%	0%	1%
17	38%	61%	0%	<1%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	0%	<1%
19	43%	56%	<1%	0%	<1%
20	27%	73%	<1%	0%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	<1%	0%	<1%
28	77%	23%	<1%	0%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	0%	<1%
30	65%	35%	<1%	0%	0%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro	Fluminense
1	44%	18%	0%	2%	3%
2	34%	38%	0%	1%	4%
3	34%	46%	<1%	1%	4%
4	47%	34%	0%	<1%	6%
5	61%	28%	0%	<1%	3%
6	63%	30%	0%	<1%	2%
7	51%	44%	<1%	0%	2%
8	30%	61%	<1%	<1%	6%
9	27%	68%	0%	0%	3%
10	39%	57%	0%	0%	2%
11	44%	52%	0%	<1%	2%
12	52%	47%	0%	0%	1%
13	50%	49%	0%	0%	1%
14	64%	36%	0%	0%	<1%
15	64%	34%	0%	<1%	1%
16	33%	66%	<1%	0%	1%
17	38%	61%	0%	<1%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	0%	<1%
19	43%	56%	<1%	0%	<1%
20	27%	73%	<1%	0%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	<1%	0%	<1%
28	77%	23%	<1%	0%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	0%	<1%
30	65%	35%	<1%	0%	0%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro	Fluminense
1	44%	18%	0%	2%	3%
2	34%	38%	0%	1%	4%
3	34%	46%	<1%	1%	4%
4	47%	34%	0%	<1%	6%
5	61%	28%	0%	<1%	3%
6	63%	30%	0%	<1%	2%
7	51%	44%	<1%	0%	2%
8	30%	61%	<1%	<1%	6%
9	27%	68%	0%	0%	3%
10	39%	57%	0%	0%	2%
11	44%	52%	0%	<1%	2%
12	52%	47%	0%	0%	1%
13	50%	49%	0%	0%	1%
14	64%	36%	0%	0%	<1%
15	64%	34%	0%	<1%	1%
16	33%	66%	<1%	0%	1%
17	38%	61%	0%	<1%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	0%	<1%
19	43%	56%	<1%	0%	<1%
20	27%	73%	<1%	0%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	<1%	0%	<1%
28	77%	23%	<1%	0%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	0%	<1%
30	65%	35%	<1%	0%	0%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%