Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 8 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Palmeiras44%61%+17 pts
Fluminense2%6%+4 pts
Bahia1%2%+1 pt

Down

Flamengo51%30%−21 pts

Palmeiras beat Grêmio 2–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 44% to 61%. Flamengo lost 3–0 at Bragantino, and their title chances fell from 51% to 30%. Palmeiras lead the title race at 61%.

Libertadores

Up

Bahia46%60%+14 pts
Fluminense74%82%+8 pts
Atlético-MG3%10%+7 pts

Down

Botafogo55%42%−13 pts
São Paulo58%53%−5 pts
Mirassol16%11%−5 pts

Bahia beat Athletico-PR 3–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 46% to 60%. Botafogo's Libertadores chances fell from 55% to 42%.

Relegation

Up

Chapecoense77%92%+15 pts
Vitória17%30%+13 pts
Corinthians11%19%+8 pts

Down

Bragantino40%17%−23 pts
Atlético-MG20%7%−13 pts
Athletico-PR27%18%−9 pts

Chapecoense lost 4–0 to Atlético-MG at home, and their relegation chances rose from 77% to 92%. Bragantino beat Flamengo 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 40% to 17%.

Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Red Bull Bragantino

3–0

Flamengo

Bragantino 3–0 Flamengo moved the odds the most. Bragantino beat Flamengo 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 40% to 17%. Flamengo lost 3–0 at Bragantino, and their title chances fell from 51% to 30%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Palmeiras
Flamengo
Fluminense
Bahia
São Paulo

Show as a table

Round	Palmeiras	Flamengo	Fluminense	Bahia	São Paulo
1	18%	44%	3%	2%	1%
2	38%	34%	4%	2%	1%
3	46%	34%	4%	3%	1%
4	34%	47%	6%	1%	4%
5	28%	61%	3%	1%	4%
6	30%	63%	2%	3%	2%
7	44%	51%	2%	1%	1%
8	61%	30%	6%	2%	1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	PalmeirasPalmeiras	22	61%+17 pts	99%±0	0%±0
2	FluminenseFluminense	19	6%+4 pts	82%+8 pts	<1%±0
3	BahiaBahia	17	2%+1 pt	60%+14 pts	<1%−1 pt
4	São PauloSão Paulo	17	1%±0	53%−5 pts	<1%±0
5	Athletico-PRAthletico Paranaense	16	<1%±0	3%+1 pt	18%−9 pts
6	FlamengoFlamengo	14	30%−21 pts	97%−2 pts	0%±0
7	CoritibaCoritiba	14	0%±0	1%−1 pt	28%+4 pts
8	VascoVasco	12	<1%±0	11%−2 pts	7%+1 pt
9	Atlético-MGAtlético Mineiro	11	<1%±0	10%+7 pts	7%−13 pts
10	GrêmioGrêmio	11	<1%±0	13%−1 pt	6%+1 pt
11	BragantinoRed Bull Bragantino	11	<1%±0	4%+3 pts	17%−23 pts
12	VitóriaVitória	10	0%±0	1%−3 pts	30%+13 pts
13	SantosSantos	10	0%±0	1%±0	29%−4 pts
14	CorinthiansCorinthians	10	<1%±0	4%−2 pts	19%+8 pts
15	BotafogoBotafogo	9	1%±0	42%−13 pts	1%+1 pt
16	InternacionalInternacional	9	0%±0	1%−1 pt	36%+5 pts
17	CruzeiroCruzeiro	7	<1%±0	6%+3 pts	12%−7 pts
18	ChapecoenseChapecoense	7	0%±0	0%±0	92%+15 pts
19	MirassolMirassol	6	<1%±0	11%−5 pts	8%+3 pts
20	RemoRemo	6	0%±0	0%±0	90%+7 pts

Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.

Round	Palmeiras	Flamengo	Fluminense	Bahia	São Paulo
1	18%	44%	3%	2%	1%
2	38%	34%	4%	2%	1%
3	46%	34%	4%	3%	1%
4	34%	47%	6%	1%	4%
5	28%	61%	3%	1%	4%
6	30%	63%	2%	3%	2%
7	44%	51%	2%	1%	1%
8	61%	30%	6%	2%	1%

Round	Palmeiras	Flamengo	Fluminense	Bahia	São Paulo
1	18%	44%	3%	2%	1%
2	38%	34%	4%	2%	1%
3	46%	34%	4%	3%	1%
4	34%	47%	6%	1%	4%
5	28%	61%	3%	1%	4%
6	30%	63%	2%	3%	2%
7	44%	51%	2%	1%	1%
8	61%	30%	6%	2%	1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Palmeiras	Flamengo	Fluminense	Bahia	São Paulo
1	18%	44%	3%	2%	1%
2	38%	34%	4%	2%	1%
3	46%	34%	4%	3%	1%
4	34%	47%	6%	1%	4%
5	28%	61%	3%	1%	4%
6	30%	63%	2%	3%	2%
7	44%	51%	2%	1%	1%
8	61%	30%	6%	2%	1%