Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 25

After the games up to 31 August 2026

Flamengo lead the title race at 55%. Remo 2–3 Coritiba moved the odds the most.

Simulate the rest of the season

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

–

Down

–

No club's chances moved by a point or more. Flamengo lead the title race at 55%.

Libertadores

Coritiba3%6%+3 pts

Down

Atlético-MG30%29%−1 pt
Santos1%<1%−1 pt

Coritiba won 3–2 at Remo, and their Libertadores chances rose from 3% to 6%. Atlético-MG didn't play, and their Libertadores chances fell from 30% to 29%.

Relegation

Remo84%91%+7 pts

Down

Coritiba3%1%−2 pts
Vasco51%50%−1 pt
Grêmio20%19%−1 pt

Remo lost 3–2 to Coritiba at home, and their relegation chances rose from 84% to 91%. Coritiba won 3–2 at Remo, and their relegation chances fell from 3% to 1%.

Changes since Matchday 24, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Remo

2–3

Coritiba

Remo 2–3 Coritiba moved the odds the most. Remo lost 3–2 to Coritiba at home, and their relegation chances rose from 84% to 91%. Coritiba won 3–2 at Remo, and their Libertadores chances rose from 3% to 6%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Flamengo
Palmeiras
Athletico-PR
Fluminense
Cruzeiro

Show as a table

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Athletico-PR	Fluminense	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	0%	3%	2%
2	34%	38%	0%	4%	1%
3	34%	46%	<1%	4%	1%
4	47%	34%	0%	6%	<1%
5	61%	28%	0%	3%	<1%
6	63%	30%	0%	2%	<1%
7	51%	44%	<1%	2%	0%
8	30%	61%	<1%	6%	<1%
9	27%	68%	0%	3%	0%
10	39%	57%	0%	2%	0%
11	44%	52%	0%	2%	<1%
12	52%	47%	0%	1%	0%
13	50%	49%	0%	1%	0%
14	64%	36%	0%	<1%	0%
15	64%	34%	0%	1%	<1%
16	33%	66%	<1%	1%	0%
17	38%	61%	0%	<1%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	PalmeirasPalmeiras	52	44%±0	100%±0	0%±0
2	FlamengoFlamengo	48	55%±0	>99%±0	0%±0
3	Athletico-PRAthletico Paranaense	45	<1%±0	76%±0	0%±0
4	FluminenseFluminense	42	<1%±0	76%±0	0%±0
5	BahiaBahia	40	0%±0	39%±0	<1%±0
6	CruzeiroCruzeiro	39	<1%±0	46%±0	<1%±0
7	CoritibaCoritiba	37	0%±0	6%+3 pts	1%−2 pts
8	Atlético-MGAtlético Mineiro	36	<1%±0	29%−1 pt	<1%±0
9	BragantinoRed Bull Bragantino	35	<1%±0	15%±0	<1%±0
10	CorinthiansCorinthians	32	0%±0	2%±0	4%±0
11	São PauloSão Paulo	30	0%±0	3%±0	4%±0
12	BotafogoBotafogo	30	0%±0	8%±0	2%±0
13	VitóriaVitória	29	0%±0	<1%±0	25%±0
14	SantosSantos	29	0%±0	<1%−1 pt	18%−1 pt
15	GrêmioGrêmio	28	0%±0	<1%±0	19%−1 pt
16	MirassolMirassol	25	0%±0	<1%±0	35%±0
17	VascoVasco	25	0%±0	<1%±0	50%−1 pt
18	InternacionalInternacional	25	0%±0	<1%±0	52%±0
19	RemoRemo	23	0%±0	0%±0	91%+7 pts
20	ChapecoenseChapecoense	14	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0

Chances after Matchday 25, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 24 below each.

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Athletico-PR	Fluminense	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	0%	3%	2%
2	34%	38%	0%	4%	1%
3	34%	46%	<1%	4%	1%
4	47%	34%	0%	6%	<1%
5	61%	28%	0%	3%	<1%
6	63%	30%	0%	2%	<1%
7	51%	44%	<1%	2%	0%
8	30%	61%	<1%	6%	<1%
9	27%	68%	0%	3%	0%
10	39%	57%	0%	2%	0%
11	44%	52%	0%	2%	<1%
12	52%	47%	0%	1%	0%
13	50%	49%	0%	1%	0%
14	64%	36%	0%	<1%	0%
15	64%	34%	0%	1%	<1%
16	33%	66%	<1%	1%	0%
17	38%	61%	0%	<1%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Athletico-PR	Fluminense	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	0%	3%	2%
2	34%	38%	0%	4%	1%
3	34%	46%	<1%	4%	1%
4	47%	34%	0%	6%	<1%
5	61%	28%	0%	3%	<1%
6	63%	30%	0%	2%	<1%
7	51%	44%	<1%	2%	0%
8	30%	61%	<1%	6%	<1%
9	27%	68%	0%	3%	0%
10	39%	57%	0%	2%	0%
11	44%	52%	0%	2%	<1%
12	52%	47%	0%	1%	0%
13	50%	49%	0%	1%	0%
14	64%	36%	0%	<1%	0%
15	64%	34%	0%	1%	<1%
16	33%	66%	<1%	1%	0%
17	38%	61%	0%	<1%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Athletico-PR	Fluminense	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	0%	3%	2%
2	34%	38%	0%	4%	1%
3	34%	46%	<1%	4%	1%
4	47%	34%	0%	6%	<1%
5	61%	28%	0%	3%	<1%
6	63%	30%	0%	2%	<1%
7	51%	44%	<1%	2%	0%
8	30%	61%	<1%	6%	<1%
9	27%	68%	0%	3%	0%
10	39%	57%	0%	2%	0%
11	44%	52%	0%	2%	<1%
12	52%	47%	0%	1%	0%
13	50%	49%	0%	1%	0%
14	64%	36%	0%	<1%	0%
15	64%	34%	0%	1%	<1%
16	33%	66%	<1%	1%	0%
17	38%	61%	0%	<1%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%