Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 29 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Palmeiras23%34%+11 pts

Down

Flamengo77%66%−11 pts

Palmeiras beat Bahia 1–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 23% to 34%. Flamengo drew 2–2 at Santos, and their title chances fell from 77% to 66%. Flamengo lead the title race at 66%.

Libertadores

Up

Cruzeiro60%72%+12 pts
Fluminense85%91%+6 pts
Atlético-MG16%19%+3 pts

Down

Bahia46%37%−9 pts
Athletico-PR79%72%−7 pts
São Paulo5%<1%−5 pts

Cruzeiro beat São Paulo 2–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 60% to 72%. Bahia lost 1–0 at Palmeiras, and their Libertadores chances fell from 46% to 37%.

Relegation

Up

Corinthians22%34%+12 pts
Grêmio53%62%+9 pts
Coritiba4%8%+4 pts

Down

Internacional63%51%−12 pts
Vasco19%8%−11 pts
Vitória20%10%−10 pts

Corinthians lost 2–1 at Internacional, and their relegation chances rose from 22% to 34%. Internacional beat Corinthians 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 63% to 51%.

Changes since Matchday 28, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Internacional

2–1

Corinthians

Internacional 2–1 Corinthians moved the odds the most. Internacional beat Corinthians 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 63% to 51%. Corinthians lost 2–1 at Internacional, and their relegation chances rose from 22% to 34%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Flamengo
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Athletico-PR
Cruzeiro

Show as a table

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Fluminense	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	3%	0%	2%
2	34%	38%	4%	0%	1%
3	34%	46%	4%	<1%	1%
4	47%	34%	6%	0%	<1%
5	61%	28%	3%	0%	<1%
6	63%	30%	2%	0%	<1%
7	51%	44%	2%	<1%	0%
8	30%	61%	6%	<1%	<1%
9	27%	68%	3%	0%	0%
10	39%	57%	2%	0%	0%
11	44%	52%	2%	0%	<1%
12	52%	47%	1%	0%	0%
13	50%	49%	1%	0%	0%
14	64%	36%	<1%	0%	0%
15	64%	34%	1%	0%	<1%
16	33%	66%	1%	<1%	0%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	<1%	<1%	0%
28	77%	23%	<1%	<1%	0%
29	66%	34%	<1%	0%	0%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	FlamengoFlamengo	61	66%−11 pts	100%±0	0%±0
2	PalmeirasPalmeiras	60	34%+11 pts	100%±0	0%±0
3	FluminenseFluminense	51	<1%±0	91%+6 pts	0%±0
4	Athletico-PRAthletico Paranaense	50	0%±0	72%−7 pts	0%±0
5	CruzeiroCruzeiro	48	0%±0	72%+12 pts	0%±0
6	BahiaBahia	46	0%±0	37%−9 pts	0%±0
7	Atlético-MGAtlético Mineiro	44	0%±0	19%+3 pts	0%±0
8	SantosSantos	42	0%±0	6%+3 pts	<1%−1 pt
9	CoritibaCoritiba	38	0%±0	<1%±0	8%+4 pts
10	BragantinoRed Bull Bragantino	37	0%±0	1%−3 pts	2%+1 pt
11	São PauloSão Paulo	36	0%±0	<1%−5 pts	3%+2 pts
12	VitóriaVitória	36	0%±0	<1%±0	10%−10 pts
13	BotafogoBotafogo	35	0%±0	<1%−2 pts	4%+2 pts
14	VascoVasco	34	0%±0	<1%±0	8%−11 pts
15	MirassolMirassol	33	0%±0	<1%±0	19%+2 pts
16	CorinthiansCorinthians	32	0%±0	0%±0	34%+12 pts
17	InternacionalInternacional	31	0%±0	0%±0	51%−12 pts
18	GrêmioGrêmio	30	0%±0	0%±0	62%+9 pts
19	RemoRemo	24	0%±0	0%±0	99%+1 pt
20	ChapecoenseChapecoense	18	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 29, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 28 below each.

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Fluminense	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	3%	0%	2%
2	34%	38%	4%	0%	1%
3	34%	46%	4%	<1%	1%
4	47%	34%	6%	0%	<1%
5	61%	28%	3%	0%	<1%
6	63%	30%	2%	0%	<1%
7	51%	44%	2%	<1%	0%
8	30%	61%	6%	<1%	<1%
9	27%	68%	3%	0%	0%
10	39%	57%	2%	0%	0%
11	44%	52%	2%	0%	<1%
12	52%	47%	1%	0%	0%
13	50%	49%	1%	0%	0%
14	64%	36%	<1%	0%	0%
15	64%	34%	1%	0%	<1%
16	33%	66%	1%	<1%	0%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	<1%	<1%	0%
28	77%	23%	<1%	<1%	0%
29	66%	34%	<1%	0%	0%

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Fluminense	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	3%	0%	2%
2	34%	38%	4%	0%	1%
3	34%	46%	4%	<1%	1%
4	47%	34%	6%	0%	<1%
5	61%	28%	3%	0%	<1%
6	63%	30%	2%	0%	<1%
7	51%	44%	2%	<1%	0%
8	30%	61%	6%	<1%	<1%
9	27%	68%	3%	0%	0%
10	39%	57%	2%	0%	0%
11	44%	52%	2%	0%	<1%
12	52%	47%	1%	0%	0%
13	50%	49%	1%	0%	0%
14	64%	36%	<1%	0%	0%
15	64%	34%	1%	0%	<1%
16	33%	66%	1%	<1%	0%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	<1%	<1%	0%
28	77%	23%	<1%	<1%	0%
29	66%	34%	<1%	0%	0%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Fluminense	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	3%	0%	2%
2	34%	38%	4%	0%	1%
3	34%	46%	4%	<1%	1%
4	47%	34%	6%	0%	<1%
5	61%	28%	3%	0%	<1%
6	63%	30%	2%	0%	<1%
7	51%	44%	2%	<1%	0%
8	30%	61%	6%	<1%	<1%
9	27%	68%	3%	0%	0%
10	39%	57%	2%	0%	0%
11	44%	52%	2%	0%	<1%
12	52%	47%	1%	0%	0%
13	50%	49%	1%	0%	0%
14	64%	36%	<1%	0%	0%
15	64%	34%	1%	0%	<1%
16	33%	66%	1%	<1%	0%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	<1%	<1%	0%
28	77%	23%	<1%	<1%	0%
29	66%	34%	<1%	0%	0%