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Brasileirão Série A 2026

Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 6

After the games up to 19 March 2026

Flamengo lead the title race at 63%. Mirassol 0–1 Coritiba moved the odds the most.

Simulate the rest of the season

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

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Down

Flamengo beat Remo 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 61% to 63%. São Paulo lost 1–0 at Atlético-MG, and their title chances fell from 4% to 2%. Flamengo lead the title race at 63%.

Libertadores

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Down

Bahia beat Bragantino 2–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 50% to 68%. Mirassol lost 1–0 to Coritiba at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 39% to 22%.

Relegation

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Down

Santos lost 2–1 to Internacional at home, and their relegation chances rose from 18% to 35%. Internacional won 2–1 at Santos, and their relegation chances fell from 59% to 42%.

Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Mirassol0–1Coritiba

Mirassol 0–1 Coritiba moved the odds the most. Mirassol lost 1–0 to Coritiba at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 39% to 22%. Coritiba won 1–0 at Mirassol, and their relegation chances fell from 26% to 13%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

  • Flamengo
  • Palmeiras
  • Bahia
  • São Paulo
  • Fluminense
0%20%40%60%80%123456Flamengo 63%Palmeiras 30%Bahia 3%São Paulo 2%Fluminense 2%
Show as a table
RoundFlamengoPalmeirasBahiaSão PauloFluminense
144%18%2%1%3%
234%38%2%1%4%
334%46%3%1%4%
447%34%1%4%6%
561%28%1%4%3%
663%30%3%2%2%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitleLibertadoresRelegation
1Palmeiras30%+2 pts97%+1 pt0%±0
2São Paulo2%−2 pts65%−7 pts<1%±0
3Bahia3%+2 pts68%+18 pts<1%±0
4Flamengo63%+2 pts99%±00%±0
5Fluminense2%−1 pt60%−7 pts<1%±0
6Coritiba0%±04%+3 pts13%−13 pts
7Grêmio<1%±017%+7 pts3%−2 pts
8Athletico-PR0%±0<1%±044%−15 pts
9Corinthians0%±05%±010%+2 pts
10Vasco<1%±09%+5 pts7%−5 pts
11Atlético-MG<1%±03%+1 pt16%−7 pts
12Bragantino0%±01%−1 pt29%+13 pts
13Vitória0%±02%−1 pt26%+10 pts
14Chapecoense0%±0<1%±064%+6 pts
15Mirassol<1%−1 pt22%−17 pts2%+2 pts
16Santos0%±01%−1 pt35%+17 pts
17Internacional0%±01%+1 pt42%−17 pts
18Botafogo1%±039%−1 pt1%±0
19Cruzeiro<1%±05%−3 pts13%+7 pts
20Remo0%±00%±095%+2 pts

Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.

All reports this season