Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 26 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Flamengo55%69%+14 pts

Down

Palmeiras44%31%−13 pts

Flamengo's title chances rose from 55% to 69%. Palmeiras drew 0–0 at Botafogo, and their title chances fell from 44% to 31%. Flamengo lead the title race at 69%.

Libertadores

Up

Bahia39%55%+16 pts
Cruzeiro46%57%+11 pts
Fluminense76%82%+6 pts

Down

Atlético-MG29%17%−12 pts
Athletico-PR76%66%−10 pts
Bragantino15%7%−8 pts

Bahia won 3–2 at Bragantino, and their Libertadores chances rose from 39% to 55%. Atlético-MG lost 2–0 at São Paulo, and their Libertadores chances fell from 29% to 17%.

Relegation

Up

Internacional52%65%+13 pts
Grêmio19%27%+8 pts
Vasco50%57%+7 pts

Down

Mirassol35%22%−13 pts
Vitória25%13%−12 pts
Santos18%8%−10 pts

Internacional lost 3–2 to Santos at home, and their relegation chances rose from 52% to 65%. Mirassol's relegation chances fell from 35% to 22%.

Changes since Matchday 25, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Red Bull Bragantino

2–3

Bahia

Bragantino 2–3 Bahia moved the odds the most. Bragantino lost 3–2 to Bahia at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 15% to 7%. Bahia won 3–2 at Bragantino, and their Libertadores chances rose from 39% to 55%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Flamengo
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Athletico-PR
Cruzeiro

Show as a table

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Fluminense	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	3%	0%	2%
2	34%	38%	4%	0%	1%
3	34%	46%	4%	<1%	1%
4	47%	34%	6%	0%	<1%
5	61%	28%	3%	0%	<1%
6	63%	30%	2%	0%	<1%
7	51%	44%	2%	<1%	0%
8	30%	61%	6%	<1%	<1%
9	27%	68%	3%	0%	0%
10	39%	57%	2%	0%	0%
11	44%	52%	2%	0%	<1%
12	52%	47%	1%	0%	0%
13	50%	49%	1%	0%	0%
14	64%	36%	<1%	0%	0%
15	64%	34%	1%	0%	<1%
16	33%	66%	1%	<1%	0%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	FlamengoFlamengo	54	69%+14 pts	100%±0	0%±0
2	PalmeirasPalmeiras	53	31%−13 pts	>99%±0	0%±0
3	Athletico-PRAthletico Paranaense	45	<1%±0	66%−10 pts	0%±0
4	FluminenseFluminense	45	<1%±0	82%+6 pts	0%±0
5	BahiaBahia	43	0%±0	55%+16 pts	0%±0
6	CruzeiroCruzeiro	42	<1%±0	57%+11 pts	0%±0
7	CoritibaCoritiba	37	0%±0	3%−3 pts	2%+1 pt
8	Atlético-MGAtlético Mineiro	36	0%±0	17%−12 pts	<1%±0
9	BragantinoRed Bull Bragantino	35	0%±0	7%−8 pts	1%+1 pt
10	São PauloSão Paulo	33	0%±0	6%+3 pts	1%−3 pts
11	VitóriaVitória	32	0%±0	<1%±0	13%−12 pts
12	CorinthiansCorinthians	32	0%±0	<1%−2 pts	10%+6 pts
13	SantosSantos	32	0%±0	1%+1 pt	8%−10 pts
14	BotafogoBotafogo	31	0%±0	5%−3 pts	1%−1 pt
15	GrêmioGrêmio	28	0%±0	<1%±0	27%+8 pts
16	MirassolMirassol	28	0%±0	<1%±0	22%−13 pts
17	VascoVasco	25	0%±0	<1%±0	57%+7 pts
18	InternacionalInternacional	25	0%±0	0%±0	65%+13 pts
19	RemoRemo	23	0%±0	0%±0	93%+2 pts
20	ChapecoenseChapecoense	17	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0

Chances after Matchday 26, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 25 below each.

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Fluminense	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	3%	0%	2%
2	34%	38%	4%	0%	1%
3	34%	46%	4%	<1%	1%
4	47%	34%	6%	0%	<1%
5	61%	28%	3%	0%	<1%
6	63%	30%	2%	0%	<1%
7	51%	44%	2%	<1%	0%
8	30%	61%	6%	<1%	<1%
9	27%	68%	3%	0%	0%
10	39%	57%	2%	0%	0%
11	44%	52%	2%	0%	<1%
12	52%	47%	1%	0%	0%
13	50%	49%	1%	0%	0%
14	64%	36%	<1%	0%	0%
15	64%	34%	1%	0%	<1%
16	33%	66%	1%	<1%	0%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Fluminense	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	3%	0%	2%
2	34%	38%	4%	0%	1%
3	34%	46%	4%	<1%	1%
4	47%	34%	6%	0%	<1%
5	61%	28%	3%	0%	<1%
6	63%	30%	2%	0%	<1%
7	51%	44%	2%	<1%	0%
8	30%	61%	6%	<1%	<1%
9	27%	68%	3%	0%	0%
10	39%	57%	2%	0%	0%
11	44%	52%	2%	0%	<1%
12	52%	47%	1%	0%	0%
13	50%	49%	1%	0%	0%
14	64%	36%	<1%	0%	0%
15	64%	34%	1%	0%	<1%
16	33%	66%	1%	<1%	0%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Fluminense	Athletico-PR	Cruzeiro
1	44%	18%	3%	0%	2%
2	34%	38%	4%	0%	1%
3	34%	46%	4%	<1%	1%
4	47%	34%	6%	0%	<1%
5	61%	28%	3%	0%	<1%
6	63%	30%	2%	0%	<1%
7	51%	44%	2%	<1%	0%
8	30%	61%	6%	<1%	<1%
9	27%	68%	3%	0%	0%
10	39%	57%	2%	0%	0%
11	44%	52%	2%	0%	<1%
12	52%	47%	1%	0%	0%
13	50%	49%	1%	0%	0%
14	64%	36%	<1%	0%	0%
15	64%	34%	1%	0%	<1%
16	33%	66%	1%	<1%	0%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	<1%	<1%	0%
19	43%	56%	<1%	<1%	0%
20	27%	73%	<1%	<1%	0%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%