Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 32 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Palmeiras31%32%+1 pt

Down

Flamengo69%68%−1 pt

Palmeiras beat Bragantino 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 31% to 32%. Flamengo beat Atlético-MG 3–2 at home, and their title chances fell from 69% to 68%. Flamengo lead the title race at 68%.

Libertadores

Up

Cruzeiro74%85%+11 pts
Athletico-PR76%80%+4 pts
Bahia31%34%+3 pts

Down

Fluminense75%60%−15 pts
Santos6%4%−2 pts
Bragantino1%<1%−1 pt

Cruzeiro beat Remo 1–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 74% to 85%. Fluminense lost 2–1 at Chapecoense, and their Libertadores chances fell from 75% to 60%.

Relegation

Up

Corinthians38%57%+19 pts
Coritiba6%15%+9 pts
Mirassol8%13%+5 pts

Down

Internacional55%36%−19 pts
Grêmio75%62%−13 pts
Vasco10%5%−5 pts

Corinthians lost 3–2 at Vasco, and their relegation chances rose from 38% to 57%. Internacional beat Botafogo 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 55% to 36%.

Changes since Matchday 31, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Vasco

3–2

Corinthians

Vasco 3–2 Corinthians moved the odds the most. Vasco beat Corinthians 3–2 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 10% to 5%. Corinthians lost 3–2 at Vasco, and their relegation chances rose from 38% to 57%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Flamengo
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Athletico-PR
Fluminense

Show as a table

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Cruzeiro	Athletico-PR	Fluminense
1	44%	18%	2%	0%	3%
2	34%	38%	1%	0%	4%
3	34%	46%	1%	<1%	4%
4	47%	34%	<1%	0%	6%
5	61%	28%	<1%	0%	3%
6	63%	30%	<1%	0%	2%
7	51%	44%	0%	<1%	2%
8	30%	61%	<1%	<1%	6%
9	27%	68%	0%	0%	3%
10	39%	57%	0%	0%	2%
11	44%	52%	<1%	0%	2%
12	52%	47%	0%	0%	1%
13	50%	49%	0%	0%	1%
14	64%	36%	0%	0%	<1%
15	64%	34%	<1%	0%	1%
16	33%	66%	0%	<1%	1%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	0%	<1%	<1%
19	43%	56%	0%	<1%	<1%
20	27%	73%	0%	<1%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	0%	<1%	<1%
28	77%	23%	0%	<1%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	0%	<1%
30	65%	35%	0%	<1%	0%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%
32	68%	32%	0%	0%	0%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	FlamengoFlamengo	70	68%−1 pt	100%±0	0%±0
2	PalmeirasPalmeiras	69	32%+1 pt	100%±0	0%±0
3	CruzeiroCruzeiro	54	0%±0	85%+11 pts	0%±0
4	Athletico-PRAthletico Paranaense	54	0%±0	80%+4 pts	0%±0
5	FluminenseFluminense	51	0%±0	60%−15 pts	0%±0
6	Atlético-MGAtlético Mineiro	50	0%±0	35%±0	0%±0
7	BahiaBahia	50	0%±0	34%+3 pts	0%±0
8	SantosSantos	46	0%±0	4%−2 pts	0%±0
9	São PauloSão Paulo	43	0%±0	1%±0	<1%±0
10	BragantinoRed Bull Bragantino	41	0%±0	<1%−1 pt	<1%±0
11	BotafogoBotafogo	39	0%±0	<1%±0	3%+2 pts
12	CoritibaCoritiba	39	0%±0	0%±0	15%+9 pts
13	VascoVasco	38	0%±0	<1%±0	5%−5 pts
14	VitóriaVitória	38	0%±0	0%±0	11%+4 pts
15	MirassolMirassol	37	0%±0	0%±0	13%+5 pts
16	InternacionalInternacional	35	0%±0	0%±0	36%−19 pts
17	GrêmioGrêmio	34	0%±0	0%±0	62%−13 pts
18	CorinthiansCorinthians	33	0%±0	0%±0	57%+19 pts
19	RemoRemo	26	0%±0	0%±0	>99%+1 pt
20	ChapecoenseChapecoense	21	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0

Chances after Matchday 32, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 31 below each.

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Cruzeiro	Athletico-PR	Fluminense
1	44%	18%	2%	0%	3%
2	34%	38%	1%	0%	4%
3	34%	46%	1%	<1%	4%
4	47%	34%	<1%	0%	6%
5	61%	28%	<1%	0%	3%
6	63%	30%	<1%	0%	2%
7	51%	44%	0%	<1%	2%
8	30%	61%	<1%	<1%	6%
9	27%	68%	0%	0%	3%
10	39%	57%	0%	0%	2%
11	44%	52%	<1%	0%	2%
12	52%	47%	0%	0%	1%
13	50%	49%	0%	0%	1%
14	64%	36%	0%	0%	<1%
15	64%	34%	<1%	0%	1%
16	33%	66%	0%	<1%	1%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	0%	<1%	<1%
19	43%	56%	0%	<1%	<1%
20	27%	73%	0%	<1%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	0%	<1%	<1%
28	77%	23%	0%	<1%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	0%	<1%
30	65%	35%	0%	<1%	0%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%
32	68%	32%	0%	0%	0%

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Cruzeiro	Athletico-PR	Fluminense
1	44%	18%	2%	0%	3%
2	34%	38%	1%	0%	4%
3	34%	46%	1%	<1%	4%
4	47%	34%	<1%	0%	6%
5	61%	28%	<1%	0%	3%
6	63%	30%	<1%	0%	2%
7	51%	44%	0%	<1%	2%
8	30%	61%	<1%	<1%	6%
9	27%	68%	0%	0%	3%
10	39%	57%	0%	0%	2%
11	44%	52%	<1%	0%	2%
12	52%	47%	0%	0%	1%
13	50%	49%	0%	0%	1%
14	64%	36%	0%	0%	<1%
15	64%	34%	<1%	0%	1%
16	33%	66%	0%	<1%	1%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	0%	<1%	<1%
19	43%	56%	0%	<1%	<1%
20	27%	73%	0%	<1%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	0%	<1%	<1%
28	77%	23%	0%	<1%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	0%	<1%
30	65%	35%	0%	<1%	0%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%
32	68%	32%	0%	0%	0%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Cruzeiro	Athletico-PR	Fluminense
1	44%	18%	2%	0%	3%
2	34%	38%	1%	0%	4%
3	34%	46%	1%	<1%	4%
4	47%	34%	<1%	0%	6%
5	61%	28%	<1%	0%	3%
6	63%	30%	<1%	0%	2%
7	51%	44%	0%	<1%	2%
8	30%	61%	<1%	<1%	6%
9	27%	68%	0%	0%	3%
10	39%	57%	0%	0%	2%
11	44%	52%	<1%	0%	2%
12	52%	47%	0%	0%	1%
13	50%	49%	0%	0%	1%
14	64%	36%	0%	0%	<1%
15	64%	34%	<1%	0%	1%
16	33%	66%	0%	<1%	1%
17	38%	61%	<1%	0%	<1%
18	38%	62%	0%	<1%	<1%
19	43%	56%	0%	<1%	<1%
20	27%	73%	0%	<1%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	0%	<1%	<1%
28	77%	23%	0%	<1%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	0%	<1%
30	65%	35%	0%	<1%	0%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%
32	68%	32%	0%	0%	0%