Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 3 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Palmeiras38%46%+8 pts
Bahia2%3%+1 pt

Down

Botafogo12%6%−6 pts
Mirassol8%5%−3 pts
Grêmio1%<1%−1 pt

Palmeiras won 3–1 at Internacional, and their title chances rose from 38% to 46%. Botafogo lost 1–0 at Fluminense, and their title chances fell from 12% to 6%. Palmeiras lead the title race at 46%.

Libertadores

Up

Bahia31%46%+15 pts
São Paulo19%30%+11 pts
Fluminense47%56%+9 pts

Down

Grêmio23%13%−10 pts
Botafogo71%62%−9 pts
Bragantino15%6%−9 pts

Bahia won 1–0 at Vasco, and their Libertadores chances rose from 31% to 46%. Grêmio lost 2–0 at São Paulo, and their Libertadores chances fell from 23% to 13%.

Relegation

Up

Internacional27%36%+9 pts
Santos22%31%+9 pts
Vasco13%21%+8 pts

Down

Athletico-PR71%54%−17 pts
Corinthians17%8%−9 pts
Remo88%81%−7 pts

Internacional lost 3–1 to Palmeiras at home, and their relegation chances rose from 27% to 36%. Athletico-PR beat Santos 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 71% to 54%.

Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Vasco

0–1

Bahia

Vasco 0–1 Bahia moved the odds the most. Vasco lost 1–0 to Bahia at home, and their relegation chances rose from 13% to 21%. Bahia won 1–0 at Vasco, and their Libertadores chances rose from 31% to 46%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Palmeiras
Flamengo
Botafogo
Mirassol
Fluminense

Show as a table

Round	Palmeiras	Flamengo	Botafogo	Mirassol	Fluminense
1	18%	44%	20%	10%	3%
2	38%	34%	12%	8%	4%
3	46%	34%	6%	5%	4%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	PalmeirasPalmeiras	7	46%+8 pts	96%+4 pts	0%±0
2	São PauloSão Paulo	7	1%±0	30%+11 pts	1%−2 pts
3	BahiaBahia	7	3%+1 pt	46%+15 pts	<1%−1 pt
4	FluminenseFluminense	7	4%±0	56%+9 pts	<1%−1 pt
5	Athletico-PRAthletico Paranaense	6	<1%±0	<1%±0	54%−17 pts
6	BragantinoRed Bull Bragantino	6	<1%±0	6%−9 pts	9%+5 pts
7	ChapecoenseChapecoense	5	0%±0	<1%±0	56%+6 pts
8	MirassolMirassol	5	5%−3 pts	56%−8 pts	<1%±0
9	CoritibaCoritiba	4	0%±0	<1%±0	50%−6 pts
10	FlamengoFlamengo	4	34%±0	93%+2 pts	<1%±0
11	BotafogoBotafogo	3	6%−6 pts	62%−9 pts	<1%±0
12	CorinthiansCorinthians	3	<1%±0	8%+4 pts	8%−9 pts
13	GrêmioGrêmio	3	<1%−1 pt	13%−10 pts	4%+2 pts
14	VitóriaVitória	3	0%±0	1%±0	35%+2 pts
15	Atlético-MGAtlético Mineiro	2	<1%±0	4%−4 pts	13%+5 pts
16	RemoRemo	2	0%±0	<1%±0	81%−7 pts
17	VascoVasco	1	<1%±0	2%−3 pts	21%+8 pts
18	SantosSantos	1	0%±0	1%−2 pts	31%+9 pts
19	InternacionalInternacional	1	0%±0	1%−1 pt	36%+9 pts
20	CruzeiroCruzeiro	1	1%±0	25%+3 pts	2%±0