Latest Brasileirão Série A odds: what changed after Matchday 33

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Flamengo68%85%+17 pts

Down

Palmeiras32%15%−17 pts

Flamengo won 4–1 at Vasco, and their title chances rose from 68% to 85%. Palmeiras drew 0–0 at Santos, and their title chances fell from 32% to 15%. Flamengo lead the title race at 85%.

Libertadores

Up

Bahia34%48%+14 pts
Fluminense60%73%+13 pts
Cruzeiro85%96%+11 pts

Down

Atlético-MG35%17%−18 pts
Athletico-PR80%63%−17 pts
Santos4%2%−2 pts

Bahia beat São Paulo 3–2 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 34% to 48%. Atlético-MG lost 1–0 to Cruzeiro at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 35% to 17%.

Relegation

Up

Internacional36%51%+15 pts
Mirassol13%25%+12 pts
Vitória11%22%+11 pts

Down

Corinthians57%37%−20 pts
Grêmio62%45%−17 pts
Coritiba15%4%−11 pts

Internacional lost 2–1 at Fluminense, and their relegation chances rose from 36% to 51%. Corinthians beat Mirassol 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 57% to 37%.

Changes since Matchday 32, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Grêmio

2–0

Athletico Paranaense

Grêmio 2–0 Athletico-PR moved the odds the most. Grêmio beat Athletico-PR 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 62% to 45%. Athletico-PR lost 2–0 at Grêmio, and their Libertadores chances fell from 80% to 63%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Flamengo
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Athletico-PR

Show as a table

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Cruzeiro	Fluminense	Athletico-PR
1	44%	18%	2%	3%	0%
2	34%	38%	1%	4%	0%
3	34%	46%	1%	4%	<1%
4	47%	34%	<1%	6%	0%
5	61%	28%	<1%	3%	0%
6	63%	30%	<1%	2%	0%
7	51%	44%	0%	2%	<1%
8	30%	61%	<1%	6%	<1%
9	27%	68%	0%	3%	0%
10	39%	57%	0%	2%	0%
11	44%	52%	<1%	2%	0%
12	52%	47%	0%	1%	0%
13	50%	49%	0%	1%	0%
14	64%	36%	0%	<1%	0%
15	64%	34%	<1%	1%	0%
16	33%	66%	0%	1%	<1%
17	38%	61%	<1%	<1%	0%
18	38%	62%	0%	<1%	<1%
19	43%	56%	0%	<1%	<1%
20	27%	73%	0%	<1%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	0%	<1%	<1%
28	77%	23%	0%	<1%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	<1%	0%
30	65%	35%	0%	0%	<1%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%
32	68%	32%	0%	0%	0%
33	85%	15%	0%	0%	0%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	FlamengoFlamengo	73	85%+17 pts	100%±0	0%±0
2	PalmeirasPalmeiras	70	15%−17 pts	100%±0	0%±0
3	CruzeiroCruzeiro	57	0%±0	96%+11 pts	0%±0
4	FluminenseFluminense	54	0%±0	73%+13 pts	0%±0
5	Athletico-PRAthletico Paranaense	54	0%±0	63%−17 pts	0%±0
6	BahiaBahia	53	0%±0	48%+14 pts	0%±0
7	Atlético-MGAtlético Mineiro	50	0%±0	17%−18 pts	0%±0
8	SantosSantos	47	0%±0	2%−2 pts	0%±0
9	BragantinoRed Bull Bragantino	44	0%±0	<1%±0	<1%±0
10	São PauloSão Paulo	43	0%±0	<1%−1 pt	0%±0
11	CoritibaCoritiba	42	0%±0	0%±0	4%−11 pts
12	BotafogoBotafogo	39	0%±0	0%±0	8%+5 pts
13	VascoVasco	38	0%±0	0%±0	9%+4 pts
14	VitóriaVitória	38	0%±0	0%±0	22%+11 pts
15	GrêmioGrêmio	37	0%±0	0%±0	45%−17 pts
16	MirassolMirassol	37	0%±0	0%±0	25%+12 pts
17	CorinthiansCorinthians	36	0%±0	0%±0	37%−20 pts
18	InternacionalInternacional	35	0%±0	0%±0	51%+15 pts
19	RemoRemo	29	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	ChapecoenseChapecoense	21	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 33, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 32 below each.

Brasileirão Série A title odds after Matchday 33

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Cruzeiro	Fluminense	Athletico-PR
1	44%	18%	2%	3%	0%
2	34%	38%	1%	4%	0%
3	34%	46%	1%	4%	<1%
4	47%	34%	<1%	6%	0%
5	61%	28%	<1%	3%	0%
6	63%	30%	<1%	2%	0%
7	51%	44%	0%	2%	<1%
8	30%	61%	<1%	6%	<1%
9	27%	68%	0%	3%	0%
10	39%	57%	0%	2%	0%
11	44%	52%	<1%	2%	0%
12	52%	47%	0%	1%	0%
13	50%	49%	0%	1%	0%
14	64%	36%	0%	<1%	0%
15	64%	34%	<1%	1%	0%
16	33%	66%	0%	1%	<1%
17	38%	61%	<1%	<1%	0%
18	38%	62%	0%	<1%	<1%
19	43%	56%	0%	<1%	<1%
20	27%	73%	0%	<1%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	0%	<1%	<1%
28	77%	23%	0%	<1%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	<1%	0%
30	65%	35%	0%	0%	<1%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%
32	68%	32%	0%	0%	0%
33	85%	15%	0%	0%	0%

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Cruzeiro	Fluminense	Athletico-PR
1	44%	18%	2%	3%	0%
2	34%	38%	1%	4%	0%
3	34%	46%	1%	4%	<1%
4	47%	34%	<1%	6%	0%
5	61%	28%	<1%	3%	0%
6	63%	30%	<1%	2%	0%
7	51%	44%	0%	2%	<1%
8	30%	61%	<1%	6%	<1%
9	27%	68%	0%	3%	0%
10	39%	57%	0%	2%	0%
11	44%	52%	<1%	2%	0%
12	52%	47%	0%	1%	0%
13	50%	49%	0%	1%	0%
14	64%	36%	0%	<1%	0%
15	64%	34%	<1%	1%	0%
16	33%	66%	0%	1%	<1%
17	38%	61%	<1%	<1%	0%
18	38%	62%	0%	<1%	<1%
19	43%	56%	0%	<1%	<1%
20	27%	73%	0%	<1%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	0%	<1%	<1%
28	77%	23%	0%	<1%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	<1%	0%
30	65%	35%	0%	0%	<1%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%
32	68%	32%	0%	0%	0%
33	85%	15%	0%	0%	0%

Round	Flamengo	Palmeiras	Cruzeiro	Fluminense	Athletico-PR
1	44%	18%	2%	3%	0%
2	34%	38%	1%	4%	0%
3	34%	46%	1%	4%	<1%
4	47%	34%	<1%	6%	0%
5	61%	28%	<1%	3%	0%
6	63%	30%	<1%	2%	0%
7	51%	44%	0%	2%	<1%
8	30%	61%	<1%	6%	<1%
9	27%	68%	0%	3%	0%
10	39%	57%	0%	2%	0%
11	44%	52%	<1%	2%	0%
12	52%	47%	0%	1%	0%
13	50%	49%	0%	1%	0%
14	64%	36%	0%	<1%	0%
15	64%	34%	<1%	1%	0%
16	33%	66%	0%	1%	<1%
17	38%	61%	<1%	<1%	0%
18	38%	62%	0%	<1%	<1%
19	43%	56%	0%	<1%	<1%
20	27%	73%	0%	<1%	<1%
21	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22	60%	40%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23	43%	57%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25	55%	44%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26	69%	31%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27	68%	32%	0%	<1%	<1%
28	77%	23%	0%	<1%	<1%
29	66%	34%	0%	<1%	0%
30	65%	35%	0%	0%	<1%
31	69%	31%	0%	0%	0%
32	68%	32%	0%	0%	0%
33	85%	15%	0%	0%	0%