Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 32 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Novorizontino18%27%+9 pts
Juventude42%49%+7 pts
Fortaleza7%9%+2 pts

Down

Vila Nova25%13%−12 pts
Criciúma5%1%−4 pts
Atlético-GO2%<1%−2 pts

Novorizontino won 2–0 at Náutico, and their title chances rose from 18% to 27%. Vila Nova drew 0–0 with Cuiabá at home, and their title chances fell from 25% to 13%. Juventude lead the title race at 49%.

Promotion

Up

Novorizontino41%57%+16 pts
Juventude68%76%+8 pts
Fortaleza20%26%+6 pts

Down

Vila Nova47%31%−16 pts
Criciúma15%6%−9 pts
Atlético-GO8%2%−6 pts

Novorizontino won 2–0 at Náutico, and their promotion chances rose from 41% to 57%. Vila Nova drew 0–0 with Cuiabá at home, and their promotion chances fell from 47% to 31%.

Relegation

Up

Londrina91%98%+7 pts
Avaí71%75%+4 pts
Náutico<1%2%+2 pts

Down

Botafogo-SP36%22%−14 pts

Londrina lost 2–1 at Avaí, and their relegation chances rose from 91% to 98%. Botafogo-SP won 2–1 at Operário-PR, and their relegation chances fell from 36% to 22%.

Changes since Matchday 31, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Vila Nova

0–0

Cuiabá

Vila Nova 0–0 Cuiabá moved the odds the most. Vila Nova drew 0–0 with Cuiabá at home, and their promotion chances fell from 47% to 31%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Juventude
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Fortaleza
Criciúma

Show as a table

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	9%	1%	<1%	11%	16%
2	7%	2%	1%	9%	12%
3	3%	1%	1%	10%	6%
4	7%	3%	2%	13%	7%
5	11%	6%	4%	24%	4%
6	15%	3%	6%	23%	9%
7	11%	3%	4%	40%	7%
8	9%	4%	2%	38%	7%
9	10%	5%	5%	30%	8%
10	4%	6%	6%	38%	5%
11	7%	5%	9%	24%	9%
12	3%	12%	11%	29%	10%
13	8%	13%	9%	14%	10%
14	14%	17%	13%	11%	14%
15	20%	21%	8%	16%	18%
16	12%	29%	9%	17%	22%
17	19%	20%	7%	10%	31%
18	25%	11%	3%	14%	38%
19	12%	6%	6%	8%	60%
20	17%	11%	3%	11%	50%
21	36%	8%	2%	12%	36%
22	28%	6%	5%	10%	46%
23	39%	7%	8%	6%	37%
24	49%	12%	6%	11%	19%
25	43%	22%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	42%	34%	5%	13%	6%
28	32%	38%	7%	14%	4%
29	23%	29%	13%	29%	1%
30	36%	17%	20%	19%	3%
31	42%	18%	25%	7%	5%
32	49%	27%	13%	9%	1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	JuventudeJuventude	59	49%+7 pts	76%+8 pts	0%±0
2	Vila NovaVila Nova	58	13%−12 pts	31%−16 pts	0%±0
3	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	57	27%+9 pts	57%+16 pts	0%±0
4	FortalezaFortaleza	56	9%+2 pts	26%+6 pts	0%±0
5	CriciúmaCriciúma	53	1%−4 pts	6%−9 pts	0%±0
6	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	52	<1%−2 pts	2%−6 pts	0%±0
7	CRBCRB	51	<1%±0	1%±0	0%±0
8	SportSport	50	<1%±0	<1%±0	0%±0
9	Operário-PROperário-PR	48	0%±0	<1%−1 pt	0%±0
10	CuiabáCuiabá	47	0%±0	0%±0	0%±0
11	GoiásGoiás	45	0%±0	0%±0	<1%±0
12	São BernardoSão Bernardo	45	0%±0	0%±0	<1%±0
13	NáuticoNáutico	42	0%±0	0%±0	2%+2 pts
14	CearáCeará	42	0%±0	0%±0	1%±0
15	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	42	0%±0	0%±0	2%+2 pts
16	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	38	0%±0	0%±0	22%−14 pts
17	AvaíAvaí	33	0%±0	0%±0	75%+4 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	28	0%±0	0%±0	98%+7 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	17	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	13	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 32, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 31 below each.

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	9%	1%	<1%	11%	16%
2	7%	2%	1%	9%	12%
3	3%	1%	1%	10%	6%
4	7%	3%	2%	13%	7%
5	11%	6%	4%	24%	4%
6	15%	3%	6%	23%	9%
7	11%	3%	4%	40%	7%
8	9%	4%	2%	38%	7%
9	10%	5%	5%	30%	8%
10	4%	6%	6%	38%	5%
11	7%	5%	9%	24%	9%
12	3%	12%	11%	29%	10%
13	8%	13%	9%	14%	10%
14	14%	17%	13%	11%	14%
15	20%	21%	8%	16%	18%
16	12%	29%	9%	17%	22%
17	19%	20%	7%	10%	31%
18	25%	11%	3%	14%	38%
19	12%	6%	6%	8%	60%
20	17%	11%	3%	11%	50%
21	36%	8%	2%	12%	36%
22	28%	6%	5%	10%	46%
23	39%	7%	8%	6%	37%
24	49%	12%	6%	11%	19%
25	43%	22%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	42%	34%	5%	13%	6%
28	32%	38%	7%	14%	4%
29	23%	29%	13%	29%	1%
30	36%	17%	20%	19%	3%
31	42%	18%	25%	7%	5%
32	49%	27%	13%	9%	1%

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	9%	1%	<1%	11%	16%
2	7%	2%	1%	9%	12%
3	3%	1%	1%	10%	6%
4	7%	3%	2%	13%	7%
5	11%	6%	4%	24%	4%
6	15%	3%	6%	23%	9%
7	11%	3%	4%	40%	7%
8	9%	4%	2%	38%	7%
9	10%	5%	5%	30%	8%
10	4%	6%	6%	38%	5%
11	7%	5%	9%	24%	9%
12	3%	12%	11%	29%	10%
13	8%	13%	9%	14%	10%
14	14%	17%	13%	11%	14%
15	20%	21%	8%	16%	18%
16	12%	29%	9%	17%	22%
17	19%	20%	7%	10%	31%
18	25%	11%	3%	14%	38%
19	12%	6%	6%	8%	60%
20	17%	11%	3%	11%	50%
21	36%	8%	2%	12%	36%
22	28%	6%	5%	10%	46%
23	39%	7%	8%	6%	37%
24	49%	12%	6%	11%	19%
25	43%	22%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	42%	34%	5%	13%	6%
28	32%	38%	7%	14%	4%
29	23%	29%	13%	29%	1%
30	36%	17%	20%	19%	3%
31	42%	18%	25%	7%	5%
32	49%	27%	13%	9%	1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	9%	1%	<1%	11%	16%
2	7%	2%	1%	9%	12%
3	3%	1%	1%	10%	6%
4	7%	3%	2%	13%	7%
5	11%	6%	4%	24%	4%
6	15%	3%	6%	23%	9%
7	11%	3%	4%	40%	7%
8	9%	4%	2%	38%	7%
9	10%	5%	5%	30%	8%
10	4%	6%	6%	38%	5%
11	7%	5%	9%	24%	9%
12	3%	12%	11%	29%	10%
13	8%	13%	9%	14%	10%
14	14%	17%	13%	11%	14%
15	20%	21%	8%	16%	18%
16	12%	29%	9%	17%	22%
17	19%	20%	7%	10%	31%
18	25%	11%	3%	14%	38%
19	12%	6%	6%	8%	60%
20	17%	11%	3%	11%	50%
21	36%	8%	2%	12%	36%
22	28%	6%	5%	10%	46%
23	39%	7%	8%	6%	37%
24	49%	12%	6%	11%	19%
25	43%	22%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	42%	34%	5%	13%	6%
28	32%	38%	7%	14%	4%
29	23%	29%	13%	29%	1%
30	36%	17%	20%	19%	3%
31	42%	18%	25%	7%	5%
32	49%	27%	13%	9%	1%