Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 31 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Juventude36%42%+6 pts
Vila Nova20%25%+5 pts
Criciúma3%5%+2 pts

Down

Fortaleza19%7%−12 pts
Operário-PR1%<1%−1 pt
CRB1%<1%−1 pt

Juventude beat Operário-PR 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 36% to 42%. Fortaleza drew 1–1 with Náutico at home, and their title chances fell from 19% to 7%. Juventude lead the title race at 42%.

Promotion

Up

Vila Nova37%47%+10 pts
Juventude60%68%+8 pts
Novorizontino36%41%+5 pts

Down

Fortaleza39%20%−19 pts
Operário-PR4%1%−3 pts
CRB4%1%−3 pts

Vila Nova won 1–0 at Botafogo-SP, and their promotion chances rose from 37% to 47%. Fortaleza drew 1–1 with Náutico at home, and their promotion chances fell from 39% to 20%.

Relegation

Up

Avaí65%71%+6 pts
Botafogo-SP33%36%+3 pts
Londrina89%91%+2 pts

Down

Ceará11%1%−10 pts
Náutico2%<1%−2 pts
Athletic-MG1%<1%−1 pt

Avaí lost 1–0 to Ceará at home, and their relegation chances rose from 65% to 71%. Ceará won 1–0 at Avaí, and their relegation chances fell from 11% to 1%.

Changes since Matchday 30, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Fortaleza

1–1

Náutico

Fortaleza 1–1 Náutico moved the odds the most. Fortaleza drew 1–1 with Náutico at home, and their promotion chances fell from 39% to 20%. Náutico drew 1–1 at Fortaleza, and their relegation chances fell from 2% to <1%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Juventude
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Fortaleza
Criciúma

Show as a table

Round	Juventude	Vila Nova	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	9%	<1%	1%	11%	16%
2	7%	1%	2%	9%	12%
3	3%	1%	1%	10%	6%
4	7%	2%	3%	13%	7%
5	11%	4%	6%	24%	4%
6	15%	6%	3%	23%	9%
7	11%	4%	3%	40%	7%
8	9%	2%	4%	38%	7%
9	10%	5%	5%	30%	8%
10	4%	6%	6%	38%	5%
11	7%	9%	5%	24%	9%
12	3%	11%	12%	29%	10%
13	8%	9%	13%	14%	10%
14	14%	13%	17%	11%	14%
15	20%	8%	21%	16%	18%
16	12%	9%	29%	17%	22%
17	19%	7%	20%	10%	31%
18	25%	3%	11%	14%	38%
19	12%	6%	6%	8%	60%
20	17%	3%	11%	11%	50%
21	36%	2%	8%	12%	36%
22	28%	5%	6%	10%	46%
23	39%	8%	7%	6%	37%
24	49%	6%	12%	11%	19%
25	43%	12%	22%	8%	12%
26	30%	5%	30%	13%	19%
27	42%	5%	34%	13%	6%
28	32%	7%	38%	14%	4%
29	23%	13%	29%	29%	1%
30	36%	20%	17%	19%	3%
31	42%	25%	18%	7%	5%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	Vila NovaVila Nova	57	25%+5 pts	47%+10 pts	0%±0
2	JuventudeJuventude	56	42%+6 pts	68%+8 pts	0%±0
3	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	54	18%+1 pt	41%+5 pts	0%±0
4	CriciúmaCriciúma	53	5%+2 pts	15%+5 pts	0%±0
5	FortalezaFortaleza	53	7%−12 pts	20%−19 pts	0%±0
6	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	52	2%±0	8%±0	0%±0
7	CRBCRB	48	<1%−1 pt	1%−3 pts	0%±0
8	Operário-PROperário-PR	48	<1%−1 pt	1%−3 pts	0%±0
9	SportSport	47	<1%±0	<1%±0	0%±0
10	CuiabáCuiabá	46	<1%±0	<1%±0	0%±0
11	São BernardoSão Bernardo	45	0%±0	<1%±0	<1%±0
12	GoiásGoiás	42	0%±0	0%±0	<1%±0
13	NáuticoNáutico	42	0%±0	0%±0	<1%−2 pts
14	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	42	0%±0	0%±0	<1%−1 pt
15	CearáCeará	39	0%±0	0%±0	1%−10 pts
16	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	35	0%±0	0%±0	36%+3 pts
17	AvaíAvaí	30	0%±0	0%±0	71%+6 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	28	0%±0	0%±0	91%+2 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	17	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	13	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 31, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 30 below each.

Round	Juventude	Vila Nova	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	9%	<1%	1%	11%	16%
2	7%	1%	2%	9%	12%
3	3%	1%	1%	10%	6%
4	7%	2%	3%	13%	7%
5	11%	4%	6%	24%	4%
6	15%	6%	3%	23%	9%
7	11%	4%	3%	40%	7%
8	9%	2%	4%	38%	7%
9	10%	5%	5%	30%	8%
10	4%	6%	6%	38%	5%
11	7%	9%	5%	24%	9%
12	3%	11%	12%	29%	10%
13	8%	9%	13%	14%	10%
14	14%	13%	17%	11%	14%
15	20%	8%	21%	16%	18%
16	12%	9%	29%	17%	22%
17	19%	7%	20%	10%	31%
18	25%	3%	11%	14%	38%
19	12%	6%	6%	8%	60%
20	17%	3%	11%	11%	50%
21	36%	2%	8%	12%	36%
22	28%	5%	6%	10%	46%
23	39%	8%	7%	6%	37%
24	49%	6%	12%	11%	19%
25	43%	12%	22%	8%	12%
26	30%	5%	30%	13%	19%
27	42%	5%	34%	13%	6%
28	32%	7%	38%	14%	4%
29	23%	13%	29%	29%	1%
30	36%	20%	17%	19%	3%
31	42%	25%	18%	7%	5%

Round	Juventude	Vila Nova	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	9%	<1%	1%	11%	16%
2	7%	1%	2%	9%	12%
3	3%	1%	1%	10%	6%
4	7%	2%	3%	13%	7%
5	11%	4%	6%	24%	4%
6	15%	6%	3%	23%	9%
7	11%	4%	3%	40%	7%
8	9%	2%	4%	38%	7%
9	10%	5%	5%	30%	8%
10	4%	6%	6%	38%	5%
11	7%	9%	5%	24%	9%
12	3%	11%	12%	29%	10%
13	8%	9%	13%	14%	10%
14	14%	13%	17%	11%	14%
15	20%	8%	21%	16%	18%
16	12%	9%	29%	17%	22%
17	19%	7%	20%	10%	31%
18	25%	3%	11%	14%	38%
19	12%	6%	6%	8%	60%
20	17%	3%	11%	11%	50%
21	36%	2%	8%	12%	36%
22	28%	5%	6%	10%	46%
23	39%	8%	7%	6%	37%
24	49%	6%	12%	11%	19%
25	43%	12%	22%	8%	12%
26	30%	5%	30%	13%	19%
27	42%	5%	34%	13%	6%
28	32%	7%	38%	14%	4%
29	23%	13%	29%	29%	1%
30	36%	20%	17%	19%	3%
31	42%	25%	18%	7%	5%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Juventude	Vila Nova	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	9%	<1%	1%	11%	16%
2	7%	1%	2%	9%	12%
3	3%	1%	1%	10%	6%
4	7%	2%	3%	13%	7%
5	11%	4%	6%	24%	4%
6	15%	6%	3%	23%	9%
7	11%	4%	3%	40%	7%
8	9%	2%	4%	38%	7%
9	10%	5%	5%	30%	8%
10	4%	6%	6%	38%	5%
11	7%	9%	5%	24%	9%
12	3%	11%	12%	29%	10%
13	8%	9%	13%	14%	10%
14	14%	13%	17%	11%	14%
15	20%	8%	21%	16%	18%
16	12%	9%	29%	17%	22%
17	19%	7%	20%	10%	31%
18	25%	3%	11%	14%	38%
19	12%	6%	6%	8%	60%
20	17%	3%	11%	11%	50%
21	36%	2%	8%	12%	36%
22	28%	5%	6%	10%	46%
23	39%	8%	7%	6%	37%
24	49%	6%	12%	11%	19%
25	43%	12%	22%	8%	12%
26	30%	5%	30%	13%	19%
27	42%	5%	34%	13%	6%
28	32%	7%	38%	14%	4%
29	23%	13%	29%	29%	1%
30	36%	20%	17%	19%	3%
31	42%	25%	18%	7%	5%