Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 34 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Fortaleza4%14%+10 pts
Criciúma2%7%+5 pts

Down

Novorizontino35%29%−6 pts
Juventude30%26%−4 pts
Vila Nova28%25%−3 pts

Fortaleza won 2–0 at Sport, and their title chances rose from 4% to 14%. Novorizontino drew 2–2 at Vila Nova, and their title chances fell from 35% to 29%. Novorizontino lead the title race at 29%.

Promotion

Up

Fortaleza14%31%+17 pts
Criciúma7%18%+11 pts

Down

Juventude62%51%−11 pts
Novorizontino63%53%−10 pts
Vila Nova53%47%−6 pts

Fortaleza won 2–0 at Sport, and their promotion chances rose from 14% to 31%. Juventude drew 2–2 at Ceará, and their promotion chances fell from 62% to 51%.

Relegation

Up

Avaí63%80%+17 pts

Down

Botafogo-SP18%3%−15 pts
Athletic-MG5%3%−2 pts

Avaí drew 0–0 with Athletic-MG at home, and their relegation chances rose from 63% to 80%. Botafogo-SP won 1–0 at CRB, and their relegation chances fell from 18% to 3%.

Changes since Matchday 33, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Sport

0–2

Fortaleza

Sport 0–2 Fortaleza moved the odds the most. Fortaleza won 2–0 at Sport, and their promotion chances rose from 14% to 31%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Novorizontino
Juventude
Vila Nova
Fortaleza
Criciúma

Show as a table

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	<1%	11%	16%
2	2%	7%	1%	9%	12%
3	1%	3%	1%	10%	6%
4	3%	7%	2%	13%	7%
5	6%	11%	4%	24%	4%
6	3%	15%	6%	23%	9%
7	3%	11%	4%	40%	7%
8	4%	9%	2%	38%	7%
9	5%	10%	5%	30%	8%
10	6%	4%	6%	38%	5%
11	5%	7%	9%	24%	9%
12	12%	3%	11%	29%	10%
13	13%	8%	9%	14%	10%
14	17%	14%	13%	11%	14%
15	21%	20%	8%	16%	18%
16	29%	12%	9%	17%	22%
17	20%	19%	7%	10%	31%
18	11%	25%	3%	14%	38%
19	6%	12%	6%	8%	60%
20	11%	17%	3%	11%	50%
21	8%	36%	2%	12%	36%
22	6%	28%	5%	10%	46%
23	7%	39%	8%	6%	37%
24	12%	49%	6%	11%	19%
25	22%	43%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	34%	42%	5%	13%	6%
28	38%	32%	7%	14%	4%
29	29%	23%	13%	29%	1%
30	17%	36%	20%	19%	3%
31	18%	42%	25%	7%	5%
32	27%	49%	13%	9%	1%
33	35%	30%	28%	4%	2%
34	29%	26%	25%	14%	7%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	Vila NovaVila Nova	62	25%−3 pts	47%−6 pts	0%±0
2	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	61	29%−6 pts	53%−10 pts	0%±0
3	JuventudeJuventude	61	26%−4 pts	51%−11 pts	0%±0
4	FortalezaFortaleza	60	14%+10 pts	31%+17 pts	0%±0
5	CriciúmaCriciúma	59	7%+5 pts	18%+11 pts	0%±0
6	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	54	0%±0	<1%−1 pt	0%±0
7	CRBCRB	52	0%±0	0%−1 pt	0%±0
8	SportSport	51	0%±0	0%±0	0%±0
9	GoiásGoiás	49	0%±0	0%±0	0%±0
10	Operário-PROperário-PR	48	0%±0	0%±0	0%±0
11	CuiabáCuiabá	47	0%±0	0%±0	<1%±0
12	São BernardoSão Bernardo	46	0%±0	0%±0	<1%±0
13	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	44	0%±0	0%±0	3%−15 pts
14	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	44	0%±0	0%±0	3%−2 pts
15	NáuticoNáutico	43	0%±0	0%±0	11%±0
16	CearáCeará	43	0%±0	0%±0	3%±0
17	AvaíAvaí	37	0%±0	0%±0	80%+17 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	32	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	20	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	14	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 34, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 33 below each.

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	<1%	11%	16%
2	2%	7%	1%	9%	12%
3	1%	3%	1%	10%	6%
4	3%	7%	2%	13%	7%
5	6%	11%	4%	24%	4%
6	3%	15%	6%	23%	9%
7	3%	11%	4%	40%	7%
8	4%	9%	2%	38%	7%
9	5%	10%	5%	30%	8%
10	6%	4%	6%	38%	5%
11	5%	7%	9%	24%	9%
12	12%	3%	11%	29%	10%
13	13%	8%	9%	14%	10%
14	17%	14%	13%	11%	14%
15	21%	20%	8%	16%	18%
16	29%	12%	9%	17%	22%
17	20%	19%	7%	10%	31%
18	11%	25%	3%	14%	38%
19	6%	12%	6%	8%	60%
20	11%	17%	3%	11%	50%
21	8%	36%	2%	12%	36%
22	6%	28%	5%	10%	46%
23	7%	39%	8%	6%	37%
24	12%	49%	6%	11%	19%
25	22%	43%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	34%	42%	5%	13%	6%
28	38%	32%	7%	14%	4%
29	29%	23%	13%	29%	1%
30	17%	36%	20%	19%	3%
31	18%	42%	25%	7%	5%
32	27%	49%	13%	9%	1%
33	35%	30%	28%	4%	2%
34	29%	26%	25%	14%	7%

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	<1%	11%	16%
2	2%	7%	1%	9%	12%
3	1%	3%	1%	10%	6%
4	3%	7%	2%	13%	7%
5	6%	11%	4%	24%	4%
6	3%	15%	6%	23%	9%
7	3%	11%	4%	40%	7%
8	4%	9%	2%	38%	7%
9	5%	10%	5%	30%	8%
10	6%	4%	6%	38%	5%
11	5%	7%	9%	24%	9%
12	12%	3%	11%	29%	10%
13	13%	8%	9%	14%	10%
14	17%	14%	13%	11%	14%
15	21%	20%	8%	16%	18%
16	29%	12%	9%	17%	22%
17	20%	19%	7%	10%	31%
18	11%	25%	3%	14%	38%
19	6%	12%	6%	8%	60%
20	11%	17%	3%	11%	50%
21	8%	36%	2%	12%	36%
22	6%	28%	5%	10%	46%
23	7%	39%	8%	6%	37%
24	12%	49%	6%	11%	19%
25	22%	43%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	34%	42%	5%	13%	6%
28	38%	32%	7%	14%	4%
29	29%	23%	13%	29%	1%
30	17%	36%	20%	19%	3%
31	18%	42%	25%	7%	5%
32	27%	49%	13%	9%	1%
33	35%	30%	28%	4%	2%
34	29%	26%	25%	14%	7%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	<1%	11%	16%
2	2%	7%	1%	9%	12%
3	1%	3%	1%	10%	6%
4	3%	7%	2%	13%	7%
5	6%	11%	4%	24%	4%
6	3%	15%	6%	23%	9%
7	3%	11%	4%	40%	7%
8	4%	9%	2%	38%	7%
9	5%	10%	5%	30%	8%
10	6%	4%	6%	38%	5%
11	5%	7%	9%	24%	9%
12	12%	3%	11%	29%	10%
13	13%	8%	9%	14%	10%
14	17%	14%	13%	11%	14%
15	21%	20%	8%	16%	18%
16	29%	12%	9%	17%	22%
17	20%	19%	7%	10%	31%
18	11%	25%	3%	14%	38%
19	6%	12%	6%	8%	60%
20	11%	17%	3%	11%	50%
21	8%	36%	2%	12%	36%
22	6%	28%	5%	10%	46%
23	7%	39%	8%	6%	37%
24	12%	49%	6%	11%	19%
25	22%	43%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	34%	42%	5%	13%	6%
28	38%	32%	7%	14%	4%
29	29%	23%	13%	29%	1%
30	17%	36%	20%	19%	3%
31	18%	42%	25%	7%	5%
32	27%	49%	13%	9%	1%
33	35%	30%	28%	4%	2%
34	29%	26%	25%	14%	7%