Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 21 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Juventude17%36%+19 pts
Fortaleza11%12%+1 pt
Sport1%2%+1 pt

Down

Criciúma50%36%−14 pts
Novorizontino11%8%−3 pts
Operário-PR5%2%−3 pts

Juventude won 1–0 at Novorizontino, and their title chances rose from 17% to 36%. Criciúma lost 2–0 at Athletic-MG, and their title chances fell from 50% to 36%. Juventude lead the title race at 36%.

Promotion

Up

Juventude39%61%+22 pts
Sport3%7%+4 pts
CRB2%4%+2 pts

Down

Criciúma72%61%−11 pts
Novorizontino29%21%−8 pts
Operário-PR13%7%−6 pts

Juventude won 1–0 at Novorizontino, and their promotion chances rose from 39% to 61%. Criciúma lost 2–0 at Athletic-MG, and their promotion chances fell from 72% to 61%.

Relegation

Up

Avaí42%58%+16 pts
Londrina63%73%+10 pts
América-MG99%>99%+1 pt

Down

Ceará20%14%−6 pts
Botafogo-SP18%12%−6 pts
Athletic-MG9%4%−5 pts

Avaí lost 1–0 to CRB at home, and their relegation chances rose from 42% to 58%. Ceará beat Ponte Preta 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 20% to 14%.

Changes since Matchday 20, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Novorizontino

0–1

Juventude

Novorizontino 0–1 Juventude moved the odds the most. Novorizontino lost 1–0 to Juventude at home, and their promotion chances fell from 29% to 21%. Juventude won 1–0 at Novorizontino, and their promotion chances rose from 39% to 61%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Juventude
Criciúma
Fortaleza
Novorizontino
Sport

Show as a table

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Sport
1	9%	16%	11%	1%	7%
2	7%	12%	9%	2%	6%
3	3%	6%	10%	1%	8%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	6%
5	11%	4%	24%	6%	5%
6	15%	9%	23%	3%	9%
7	11%	7%	40%	3%	15%
8	9%	7%	38%	4%	25%
9	10%	8%	30%	5%	17%
10	4%	5%	38%	6%	23%
11	7%	9%	24%	5%	34%
12	3%	10%	29%	12%	23%
13	8%	10%	14%	13%	27%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	20%
15	20%	18%	16%	21%	10%
16	12%	22%	17%	29%	4%
17	19%	31%	10%	20%	3%
18	25%	38%	14%	11%	1%
19	12%	60%	8%	6%	1%
20	17%	50%	11%	11%	1%
21	36%	36%	12%	8%	2%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	CriciúmaCriciúma	40	36%−14 pts	61%−11 pts	0%±0
2	JuventudeJuventude	38	36%+19 pts	61%+22 pts	0%±0
3	FortalezaFortaleza	35	12%+1 pt	28%−1 pt	<1%±0
4	Operário-PROperário-PR	35	2%−3 pts	7%−6 pts	<1%±0
5	Vila NovaVila Nova	34	2%−1 pt	6%−4 pts	<1%±0
6	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	33	8%−3 pts	21%−8 pts	<1%±0
7	CRBCRB	32	1%+1 pt	4%+2 pts	1%−2 pts
8	GoiásGoiás	32	<1%±0	1%±0	2%−2 pts
9	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	32	1%±0	2%±0	1%±0
10	SportSport	32	2%+1 pt	7%+4 pts	<1%−1 pt
11	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	31	<1%±0	1%+1 pt	4%−5 pts
12	São BernardoSão Bernardo	30	<1%±0	1%+1 pt	3%−5 pts
13	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	27	<1%±0	<1%±0	12%−6 pts
14	NáuticoNáutico	26	<1%±0	<1%±0	18%+1 pt
15	CuiabáCuiabá	26	<1%±0	<1%±0	14%−1 pt
16	CearáCeará	25	<1%±0	<1%±0	14%−6 pts
17	LondrinaLondrina	20	0%±0	0%±0	73%+10 pts
18	AvaíAvaí	20	0%±0	0%±0	58%+16 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	11	0%±0	0%±0	>99%+1 pt
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	9	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 21, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 20 below each.

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Sport
1	9%	16%	11%	1%	7%
2	7%	12%	9%	2%	6%
3	3%	6%	10%	1%	8%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	6%
5	11%	4%	24%	6%	5%
6	15%	9%	23%	3%	9%
7	11%	7%	40%	3%	15%
8	9%	7%	38%	4%	25%
9	10%	8%	30%	5%	17%
10	4%	5%	38%	6%	23%
11	7%	9%	24%	5%	34%
12	3%	10%	29%	12%	23%
13	8%	10%	14%	13%	27%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	20%
15	20%	18%	16%	21%	10%
16	12%	22%	17%	29%	4%
17	19%	31%	10%	20%	3%
18	25%	38%	14%	11%	1%
19	12%	60%	8%	6%	1%
20	17%	50%	11%	11%	1%
21	36%	36%	12%	8%	2%

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Sport
1	9%	16%	11%	1%	7%
2	7%	12%	9%	2%	6%
3	3%	6%	10%	1%	8%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	6%
5	11%	4%	24%	6%	5%
6	15%	9%	23%	3%	9%
7	11%	7%	40%	3%	15%
8	9%	7%	38%	4%	25%
9	10%	8%	30%	5%	17%
10	4%	5%	38%	6%	23%
11	7%	9%	24%	5%	34%
12	3%	10%	29%	12%	23%
13	8%	10%	14%	13%	27%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	20%
15	20%	18%	16%	21%	10%
16	12%	22%	17%	29%	4%
17	19%	31%	10%	20%	3%
18	25%	38%	14%	11%	1%
19	12%	60%	8%	6%	1%
20	17%	50%	11%	11%	1%
21	36%	36%	12%	8%	2%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Sport
1	9%	16%	11%	1%	7%
2	7%	12%	9%	2%	6%
3	3%	6%	10%	1%	8%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	6%
5	11%	4%	24%	6%	5%
6	15%	9%	23%	3%	9%
7	11%	7%	40%	3%	15%
8	9%	7%	38%	4%	25%
9	10%	8%	30%	5%	17%
10	4%	5%	38%	6%	23%
11	7%	9%	24%	5%	34%
12	3%	10%	29%	12%	23%
13	8%	10%	14%	13%	27%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	20%
15	20%	18%	16%	21%	10%
16	12%	22%	17%	29%	4%
17	19%	31%	10%	20%	3%
18	25%	38%	14%	11%	1%
19	12%	60%	8%	6%	1%
20	17%	50%	11%	11%	1%
21	36%	36%	12%	8%	2%