Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 12 May 2026
Fortaleza lead the title race at 38%. Ponte Preta 1–3 Sport moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Sport15%25%+10 pts
São Bernardo2%4%+2 pts
Novorizontino3%4%+1 pt
Sport won 3–1 at Ponte Preta, and their title chances rose from 15% to 25%. Ceará lost 1–0 to Atlético-GO at home, and their title chances fell from 12% to 5%. Fortaleza lead the title race at 38%.
Promotion
Up
Sport31%44%+13 pts
São Bernardo5%10%+5 pts
Novorizontino7%10%+3 pts
Down
Ceará26%13%−13 pts
Operário-PR8%3%−5 pts
Vila Nova9%5%−4 pts
Sport won 3–1 at Ponte Preta, and their promotion chances rose from 31% to 44%. Ceará lost 1–0 to Atlético-GO at home, and their promotion chances fell from 26% to 13%.
Relegation
Up
Londrina63%78%+15 pts
Ponte Preta68%79%+11 pts
América-MG85%95%+10 pts
Down
Náutico40%18%−22 pts
CRB26%13%−13 pts
Atlético-GO18%8%−10 pts
Londrina lost 3–1 to São Bernardo at home, and their relegation chances rose from 63% to 78%. Náutico beat América-MG 4–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 40% to 18%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Ponte Preta 1–3 Sport moved the odds the most. Ponte Preta lost 3–1 to Sport at home, and their relegation chances rose from 68% to 79%. Sport won 3–1 at Ponte Preta, and their promotion chances rose from 31% to 44%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Fortaleza
- Sport
- Juventude
- Criciúma
- Ceará
Show as a table
| Round | Fortaleza | Sport | Juventude | Criciúma | Ceará |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 29% |
| 2 | 9% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 23% |
| 3 | 10% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 37% |
| 4 | 13% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| 5 | 24% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 35% |
| 6 | 23% | 9% | 15% | 9% | 27% |
| 7 | 40% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 12% |
| 8 | 38% | 25% | 9% | 7% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 4%+2 pts | 10%+5 pts | 2%−3 pts | |
| 2 | 16 | 25%+10 pts | 44%+13 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 3 | 15 | 38%−2 pts | 59%−1 pt | <1%±0 | |
| 4 | 13 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 18%−22 pts | |
| 5 | 13 | 2%−2 pts | 5%−4 pts | 5%+3 pts | |
| 6 | 12 | 4%+1 pt | 10%+3 pts | 2%−1 pt | |
| 7 | 12 | 7%±0 | 18%+1 pt | 1%±0 | |
| 8 | 12 | 1%−2 pts | 3%−5 pts | 7%+4 pts | |
| 9 | 12 | 9%−2 pts | 22%−2 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 10 | 11 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+2 pts | 8%−10 pts | |
| 11 | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 16%−9 pts | |
| 12 | 10 | 2%−1 pt | 7%−1 pt | 3%±0 | |
| 13 | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 25%+3 pts | |
| 14 | 10 | 5%−7 pts | 13%−13 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 15 | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 30%+6 pts | |
| 16 | 9 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 14%+2 pts | |
| 17 | 8 | 1%+1 pt | 2%+2 pts | 13%−13 pts | |
| 18 | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 79%+11 pts | |
| 19 | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 78%+15 pts | |
| 20 | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 95%+10 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.
All reports this season
- Matchday 362 Nov
- Matchday 3527 Oct
- Matchday 3420 Oct
- Matchday 3313 Oct
- Matchday 328 Oct
- Matchday 313 Oct
- Matchday 3029 Sept
- Matchday 2922 Sept
- Matchday 2815 Sept
- Matchday 2710 Sept
- Matchday 266 Sept
- Matchday 251 Sept
- Matchday 2425 Aug
- Matchday 2320 Aug
- Matchday 2216 Aug
- Matchday 2111 Aug
- Matchday 2028 Jul
- Matchday 1923 Jul
- Matchday 1818 Jul
- Matchday 1713 Jul
- Matchday 167 Jul
- Matchday 1530 Jun
- Matchday 1423 Jun
- Matchday 1316 Jun
- Matchday 1210 Jun
- Matchday 111 Jun
- Matchday 1025 May
- Matchday 918 May
- Matchday 812 May
- Matchday 74 May
- Matchday 627 Apr
- Matchday 519 Apr
- Matchday 412 Apr
- Matchday 36 Apr
- Matchday 22 Apr
- Matchday 122 Mar