Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 6 April 2026
Ceará lead the title race at 37%. Cuiabá 0–2 Ceará moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Ceará won 2–0 at Cuiabá, and their title chances rose from 23% to 37%. Avaí drew 0–0 with Operário-PR at home, and their title chances fell from 26% to 18%. Ceará lead the title race at 37%.
Promotion
Ceará won 2–0 at Cuiabá, and their promotion chances rose from 41% to 57%. Avaí drew 0–0 with Operário-PR at home, and their promotion chances fell from 44% to 35%.
Relegation
Up
Cuiabá17%28%+11 pts
Atlético-GO34%44%+10 pts
Ponte Preta65%74%+9 pts
Down
São Bernardo64%41%−23 pts
Náutico50%36%−14 pts
Vila Nova20%12%−8 pts
Cuiabá lost 2–0 to Ceará at home, and their relegation chances rose from 17% to 28%. São Bernardo won 2–1 at Botafogo-SP, and their relegation chances fell from 64% to 41%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Cuiabá 0–2 Ceará moved the odds the most. Cuiabá lost 2–0 to Ceará at home, and their relegation chances rose from 17% to 28%. Ceará won 2–0 at Cuiabá, and their promotion chances rose from 41% to 57%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Ceará
- Avaí
- Fortaleza
- Goiás
- Sport
Show as a table
| Round | Ceará | Avaí | Fortaleza | Goiás | Sport |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 7% |
| 2 | 23% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 6% |
| 3 | 37% | 18% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 9%+3 pts | 20%+7 pts | 2%−2 pts | |
| 2 | 7 | 18%−8 pts | 35%−9 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 3 | 7 | 3%−1 pt | 8%−1 pt | 5%−1 pt | |
| 4 | 6 | <1%−2 pts | 2%−3 pts | 20%+8 pts | |
| 5 | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 36%−14 pts | |
| 6 | 5 | 37%+14 pts | 57%+16 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1%±0 | 4%+2 pts | 12%−8 pts | |
| 8 | 5 | 1%±0 | 2%±0 | 22%+3 pts | |
| 9 | 5 | 8%+2 pts | 19%+6 pts | 2%−2 pts | |
| 10 | 4 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 34%+6 pts | |
| 11 | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 41%−23 pts | |
| 12 | 4 | 6%−6 pts | 14%−9 pts | 2%+1 pt | |
| 13 | 4 | 10%+1 pt | 22%+4 pts | 1%−2 pts | |
| 14 | 2 | 1%−1 pt | 4%±0 | 12%−1 pt | |
| 15 | 2 | 1%−1 pt | 3%−2 pts | 13%+2 pts | |
| 16 | 2 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 28%+11 pts | |
| 17 | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 74%+9 pts | |
| 18 | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 44%−2 pts | |
| 19 | 1 | 3%−4 pts | 8%−7 pts | 6%+3 pts | |
| 20 | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 44%+10 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.
All reports this season
- Matchday 362 Nov
- Matchday 3527 Oct
- Matchday 3420 Oct
- Matchday 3313 Oct
- Matchday 328 Oct
- Matchday 313 Oct
- Matchday 3029 Sept
- Matchday 2922 Sept
- Matchday 2815 Sept
- Matchday 2710 Sept
- Matchday 266 Sept
- Matchday 251 Sept
- Matchday 2425 Aug
- Matchday 2320 Aug
- Matchday 2216 Aug
- Matchday 2111 Aug
- Matchday 2028 Jul
- Matchday 1923 Jul
- Matchday 1818 Jul
- Matchday 1713 Jul
- Matchday 167 Jul
- Matchday 1530 Jun
- Matchday 1423 Jun
- Matchday 1316 Jun
- Matchday 1210 Jun
- Matchday 111 Jun
- Matchday 1025 May
- Matchday 918 May
- Matchday 812 May
- Matchday 74 May
- Matchday 627 Apr
- Matchday 519 Apr
- Matchday 412 Apr
- Matchday 36 Apr
- Matchday 22 Apr
- Matchday 122 Mar