Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 25 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Novorizontino12%22%+10 pts
Vila Nova6%12%+6 pts
CRB1%2%+1 pt

Down

Criciúma19%12%−7 pts
Juventude49%43%−6 pts
Fortaleza11%8%−3 pts

Novorizontino beat Sport 2–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 12% to 22%. Criciúma lost 2–1 at CRB, and their title chances fell from 19% to 12%. Juventude lead the title race at 43%.

Promotion

Up

Novorizontino31%45%+14 pts
Vila Nova17%27%+10 pts
CRB3%6%+3 pts

Down

Criciúma40%28%−12 pts
Fortaleza28%21%−7 pts
Juventude73%67%−6 pts

Novorizontino beat Sport 2–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 31% to 45%. Criciúma lost 2–1 at CRB, and their promotion chances fell from 40% to 28%.

Relegation

Up

Ceará33%41%+8 pts
Avaí19%26%+7 pts
Botafogo-SP13%16%+3 pts

Down

Náutico15%6%−9 pts
Goiás6%2%−4 pts
Cuiabá4%1%−3 pts

Ceará lost 2–0 at Vila Nova, and their relegation chances rose from 33% to 41%. Náutico beat Athletic-MG 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 15% to 6%.

Changes since Matchday 24, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Novorizontino

2–1

Sport

Novorizontino 2–1 Sport moved the odds the most. Novorizontino beat Sport 2–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 31% to 45%. Sport lost 2–1 at Novorizontino, and their promotion chances fell from 6% to 3%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Juventude
Novorizontino
Criciúma
Vila Nova
Fortaleza

Show as a table

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Vila Nova	Fortaleza
1	9%	1%	16%	<1%	11%
2	7%	2%	12%	1%	9%
3	3%	1%	6%	1%	10%
4	7%	3%	7%	2%	13%
5	11%	6%	4%	4%	24%
6	15%	3%	9%	6%	23%
7	11%	3%	7%	4%	40%
8	9%	4%	7%	2%	38%
9	10%	5%	8%	5%	30%
10	4%	6%	5%	6%	38%
11	7%	5%	9%	9%	24%
12	3%	12%	10%	11%	29%
13	8%	13%	10%	9%	14%
14	14%	17%	14%	13%	11%
15	20%	21%	18%	8%	16%
16	12%	29%	22%	9%	17%
17	19%	20%	31%	7%	10%
18	25%	11%	38%	3%	14%
19	12%	6%	60%	6%	8%
20	17%	11%	50%	3%	11%
21	36%	8%	36%	2%	12%
22	28%	6%	46%	5%	10%
23	39%	7%	37%	8%	6%
24	49%	12%	19%	6%	11%
25	43%	22%	12%	12%	8%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	JuventudeJuventude	46	43%−6 pts	67%−6 pts	0%±0
2	Vila NovaVila Nova	44	12%+6 pts	27%+10 pts	0%±0
3	CriciúmaCriciúma	44	12%−7 pts	28%−12 pts	0%±0
4	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	43	22%+10 pts	45%+14 pts	0%±0
5	FortalezaFortaleza	41	8%−3 pts	21%−7 pts	0%±0
6	CRBCRB	39	2%+1 pt	6%+3 pts	<1%±0
7	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	39	<1%±0	2%+1 pt	<1%−1 pt
8	SportSport	38	1%±0	3%−3 pts	<1%±0
9	Operário-PROperário-PR	37	<1%±0	1%±0	1%−1 pt
10	GoiásGoiás	36	<1%±0	<1%±0	2%−4 pts
11	CuiabáCuiabá	36	<1%±0	<1%±0	1%−3 pts
12	NáuticoNáutico	34	<1%±0	<1%±0	6%−9 pts
13	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	34	0%±0	<1%±0	10%+2 pts
14	São BernardoSão Bernardo	32	<1%±0	<1%±0	10%+3 pts
15	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	31	0%±0	0%±0	16%+3 pts
16	AvaíAvaí	29	0%±0	0%±0	26%+7 pts
17	CearáCeará	28	0%±0	0%±0	41%+8 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	22	0%±0	0%±0	88%−1 pt
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	14	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	10	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 25, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 24 below each.

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Vila Nova	Fortaleza
1	9%	1%	16%	<1%	11%
2	7%	2%	12%	1%	9%
3	3%	1%	6%	1%	10%
4	7%	3%	7%	2%	13%
5	11%	6%	4%	4%	24%
6	15%	3%	9%	6%	23%
7	11%	3%	7%	4%	40%
8	9%	4%	7%	2%	38%
9	10%	5%	8%	5%	30%
10	4%	6%	5%	6%	38%
11	7%	5%	9%	9%	24%
12	3%	12%	10%	11%	29%
13	8%	13%	10%	9%	14%
14	14%	17%	14%	13%	11%
15	20%	21%	18%	8%	16%
16	12%	29%	22%	9%	17%
17	19%	20%	31%	7%	10%
18	25%	11%	38%	3%	14%
19	12%	6%	60%	6%	8%
20	17%	11%	50%	3%	11%
21	36%	8%	36%	2%	12%
22	28%	6%	46%	5%	10%
23	39%	7%	37%	8%	6%
24	49%	12%	19%	6%	11%
25	43%	22%	12%	12%	8%

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Vila Nova	Fortaleza
1	9%	1%	16%	<1%	11%
2	7%	2%	12%	1%	9%
3	3%	1%	6%	1%	10%
4	7%	3%	7%	2%	13%
5	11%	6%	4%	4%	24%
6	15%	3%	9%	6%	23%
7	11%	3%	7%	4%	40%
8	9%	4%	7%	2%	38%
9	10%	5%	8%	5%	30%
10	4%	6%	5%	6%	38%
11	7%	5%	9%	9%	24%
12	3%	12%	10%	11%	29%
13	8%	13%	10%	9%	14%
14	14%	17%	14%	13%	11%
15	20%	21%	18%	8%	16%
16	12%	29%	22%	9%	17%
17	19%	20%	31%	7%	10%
18	25%	11%	38%	3%	14%
19	12%	6%	60%	6%	8%
20	17%	11%	50%	3%	11%
21	36%	8%	36%	2%	12%
22	28%	6%	46%	5%	10%
23	39%	7%	37%	8%	6%
24	49%	12%	19%	6%	11%
25	43%	22%	12%	12%	8%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Vila Nova	Fortaleza
1	9%	1%	16%	<1%	11%
2	7%	2%	12%	1%	9%
3	3%	1%	6%	1%	10%
4	7%	3%	7%	2%	13%
5	11%	6%	4%	4%	24%
6	15%	3%	9%	6%	23%
7	11%	3%	7%	4%	40%
8	9%	4%	7%	2%	38%
9	10%	5%	8%	5%	30%
10	4%	6%	5%	6%	38%
11	7%	5%	9%	9%	24%
12	3%	12%	10%	11%	29%
13	8%	13%	10%	9%	14%
14	14%	17%	14%	13%	11%
15	20%	21%	18%	8%	16%
16	12%	29%	22%	9%	17%
17	19%	20%	31%	7%	10%
18	25%	11%	38%	3%	14%
19	12%	6%	60%	6%	8%
20	17%	11%	50%	3%	11%
21	36%	8%	36%	2%	12%
22	28%	6%	46%	5%	10%
23	39%	7%	37%	8%	6%
24	49%	12%	19%	6%	11%
25	43%	22%	12%	12%	8%