Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 18 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Criciúma31%38%+7 pts
Juventude19%25%+6 pts
Fortaleza10%14%+4 pts

Down

Novorizontino20%11%−9 pts
Vila Nova7%3%−4 pts
Sport3%1%−2 pts

Criciúma beat Vila Nova 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 31% to 38%. Novorizontino lost 1–0 at Fortaleza, and their title chances fell from 20% to 11%. Criciúma lead the title race at 38%.

Promotion

Up

Juventude36%47%+11 pts
Criciúma51%61%+10 pts
Fortaleza24%31%+7 pts

Down

Novorizontino39%26%−13 pts
Vila Nova17%10%−7 pts
Sport8%5%−3 pts

Juventude beat Cuiabá 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 36% to 47%. Novorizontino lost 1–0 at Fortaleza, and their promotion chances fell from 39% to 26%.

Relegation

Up

Londrina33%37%+4 pts
Náutico23%26%+3 pts
Ceará17%19%+2 pts

Down

CRB21%12%−9 pts
Goiás4%2%−2 pts
Avaí44%43%−1 pt

Londrina drew 0–0 with Botafogo-SP at home, and their relegation chances rose from 33% to 37%. CRB beat Náutico 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 21% to 12%.

Changes since Matchday 17, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Fortaleza

1–0

Novorizontino

Fortaleza 1–0 Novorizontino moved the odds the most. Fortaleza beat Novorizontino 1–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 24% to 31%. Novorizontino lost 1–0 at Fortaleza, and their promotion chances fell from 39% to 26%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Criciúma
Juventude
Fortaleza
Novorizontino
Operário-PR

Show as a table

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Operário-PR
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	4%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	3%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	1%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	1%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	3%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	1%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	<1%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	<1%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	<1%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	1%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	1%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	2%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	2%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	4%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	6%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	CriciúmaCriciúma	36	38%+7 pts	61%+10 pts	0%±0
2	JuventudeJuventude	32	25%+6 pts	47%+11 pts	0%±0
3	Operário-PROperário-PR	32	6%−1 pt	16%−2 pts	<1%±0
4	Vila NovaVila Nova	31	3%−4 pts	10%−7 pts	<1%±0
5	FortalezaFortaleza	31	14%+4 pts	31%+7 pts	<1%±0
6	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	30	11%−9 pts	26%−13 pts	<1%±0
7	GoiásGoiás	28	<1%±0	2%+1 pt	2%−2 pts
8	São BernardoSão Bernardo	27	<1%−1 pt	2%−1 pt	3%+1 pt
9	SportSport	27	1%−2 pts	5%−3 pts	1%+1 pt
10	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	25	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	7%+1 pt
11	CuiabáCuiabá	24	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	8%+2 pts
12	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	24	<1%±0	<1%±0	13%−1 pt
13	CRBCRB	23	<1%±0	<1%±0	12%−9 pts
14	NáuticoNáutico	21	<1%±0	<1%±0	26%+3 pts
15	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	21	<1%±0	<1%±0	29%−1 pt
16	LondrinaLondrina	20	<1%±0	<1%±0	37%+4 pts
17	CearáCeará	19	<1%±0	<1%±0	19%+2 pts
18	AvaíAvaí	17	0%±0	0%±0	43%−1 pt
19	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	8	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	8	0%±0	0%±0	99%±0

Chances after Matchday 18, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 17 below each.

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Operário-PR
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	4%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	3%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	1%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	1%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	3%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	1%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	<1%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	<1%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	<1%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	1%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	1%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	2%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	2%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	4%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	6%

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Operário-PR
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	4%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	3%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	1%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	1%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	3%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	1%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	<1%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	<1%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	<1%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	1%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	1%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	2%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	2%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	4%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	6%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Operário-PR
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	4%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	3%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	1%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	1%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	3%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	1%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	<1%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	<1%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	<1%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	1%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	1%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	2%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	2%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	4%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	6%