Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 27 April 2026
Ceará lead the title race at 27%. Athletic-MG 0–1 Náutico moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Ceará35%27%−8 pts
Avaí7%4%−3 pts
Novorizontino6%3%−3 pts
Criciúma beat CRB 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 4% to 9%. Ceará drew 3–3 with Vila Nova at home, and their title chances fell from 35% to 27%. Ceará lead the title race at 27%.
Promotion
Down
Ceará56%46%−10 pts
Avaí16%10%−6 pts
Novorizontino14%9%−5 pts
Criciúma beat CRB 3–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 10% to 19%. Ceará drew 3–3 with Vila Nova at home, and their promotion chances fell from 56% to 46%.
Relegation
Up
CRB28%42%+14 pts
América-MG67%79%+12 pts
Athletic-MG15%27%+12 pts
Down
Náutico63%45%−18 pts
Atlético-GO33%19%−14 pts
Ponte Preta65%52%−13 pts
CRB lost 3–1 at Criciúma, and their relegation chances rose from 28% to 42%. Náutico won 1–0 at Athletic-MG, and their relegation chances fell from 63% to 45%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Athletic-MG 0–1 Náutico moved the odds the most. Athletic-MG lost 1–0 to Náutico at home, and their relegation chances rose from 15% to 27%. Náutico won 1–0 at Athletic-MG, and their relegation chances fell from 63% to 45%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Ceará
- Fortaleza
- Juventude
- Criciúma
- Sport
Show as a table
| Round | Ceará | Fortaleza | Juventude | Criciúma | Sport |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29% | 11% | 9% | 16% | 7% |
| 2 | 23% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 6% |
| 3 | 37% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
| 4 | 40% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| 5 | 35% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 5% |
| 6 | 27% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 9% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 6%+2 pts | 14%+3 pts | 2%−1 pt | |
| 2 | 11 | 23%−1 pt | 40%−4 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 3 | 10 | 1%+1 pt | 2%+1 pt | 14%−10 pts | |
| 4 | 10 | 9%+5 pts | 19%+9 pts | 1%−2 pts | |
| 5 | 10 | 15%+4 pts | 31%+8 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 6 | 10 | 27%−8 pts | 46%−10 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 10 | 9%+4 pts | 19%+7 pts | 1%−1 pt | |
| 8 | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 45%−18 pts | |
| 9 | 9 | 1%±0 | 3%±0 | 10%+1 pt | |
| 10 | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 24%±0 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4%−3 pts | 10%−6 pts | 3%+2 pts | |
| 12 | 8 | 3%−3 pts | 9%−5 pts | 4%+2 pts | |
| 13 | 8 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt | 27%+12 pts | |
| 14 | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 19%−14 pts | |
| 15 | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 52%−13 pts | |
| 16 | 7 | 1%±0 | 2%−2 pts | 16%+7 pts | |
| 17 | 7 | 1%±0 | 2%±0 | 14%+3 pts | |
| 18 | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 46%+8 pts | |
| 19 | 2 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 42%+14 pts | |
| 20 | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 79%+12 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.
All reports this season
- Matchday 362 Nov
- Matchday 3527 Oct
- Matchday 3420 Oct
- Matchday 3313 Oct
- Matchday 328 Oct
- Matchday 313 Oct
- Matchday 3029 Sept
- Matchday 2922 Sept
- Matchday 2815 Sept
- Matchday 2710 Sept
- Matchday 266 Sept
- Matchday 251 Sept
- Matchday 2425 Aug
- Matchday 2320 Aug
- Matchday 2216 Aug
- Matchday 2111 Aug
- Matchday 2028 Jul
- Matchday 1923 Jul
- Matchday 1818 Jul
- Matchday 1713 Jul
- Matchday 167 Jul
- Matchday 1530 Jun
- Matchday 1423 Jun
- Matchday 1316 Jun
- Matchday 1210 Jun
- Matchday 111 Jun
- Matchday 1025 May
- Matchday 918 May
- Matchday 812 May
- Matchday 74 May
- Matchday 627 Apr
- Matchday 519 Apr
- Matchday 412 Apr
- Matchday 36 Apr
- Matchday 22 Apr
- Matchday 122 Mar