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Brasileirão Série B 2026

Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 15

After the games up to 30 June 2026

Novorizontino lead the title race at 21%. Fortaleza 2–1 Sport moved the odds the most.

Simulate the rest of the season

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

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Juventude beat Ceará 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 14% to 20%. Sport lost 2–1 at Fortaleza, and their title chances fell from 20% to 10%. Novorizontino lead the title race at 21%.

Promotion

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Juventude beat Ceará 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 28% to 38%. Sport lost 2–1 at Fortaleza, and their promotion chances fell from 37% to 22%.

Relegation

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Botafogo-SP lost 1–0 to CRB at home, and their relegation chances rose from 36% to 47%. Goiás won 1–0 at Náutico, and their relegation chances fell from 21% to 11%.

Changes since Matchday 14, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Fortaleza2–1Sport

Fortaleza 2–1 Sport moved the odds the most. Fortaleza beat Sport 2–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 22% to 30%. Sport lost 2–1 at Fortaleza, and their promotion chances fell from 37% to 22%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

  • Novorizontino
  • Juventude
  • Criciúma
  • Fortaleza
  • Sport
0%15%30%45%60%123456789101112131415Novorizonti… 21%Juventude 20%Criciúma 18%Fortaleza 16%Sport 10%
Show as a table
RoundNovorizontinoJuventudeCriciúmaFortalezaSport
11%9%16%11%7%
22%7%12%9%6%
31%3%6%10%8%
43%7%7%13%6%
56%11%4%24%5%
63%15%9%23%9%
73%11%7%40%15%
84%9%7%38%25%
95%10%8%30%17%
106%4%5%38%23%
115%7%9%24%34%
1212%3%10%29%23%
1313%8%10%14%27%
1417%14%14%11%20%
1521%20%18%16%10%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitlePromotionRelegation
1Vila Nova8%−5 pts17%−8 pts<1%±0
2Novorizontino21%+4 pts38%+6 pts<1%±0
3Criciúma18%+4 pts34%+7 pts<1%±0
4São Bernardo2%−3 pts7%−5 pts1%±0
5Juventude20%+6 pts38%+10 pts<1%±0
6Operário-PR2%±07%+1 pt1%−1 pt
7Fortaleza16%+5 pts30%+8 pts<1%±0
8Sport10%−10 pts22%−15 pts<1%±0
9Athletic-MG<1%±01%±08%−7 pts
10Goiás<1%±01%+1 pt11%−10 pts
11Atlético-GO<1%±01%±06%−5 pts
12Náutico<1%−1 pt1%−1 pt12%+4 pts
13Cuiabá<1%−1 pt1%−1 pt8%+1 pt
14CRB<1%±01%±07%−5 pts
15Ceará1%±02%−2 pts7%+4 pts
16Botafogo-SP0%±0<1%±047%+11 pts
17Londrina<1%±0<1%±053%−3 pts
18Avaí0%±0<1%±042%+10 pts
19Ponte Preta0%±00%±0>99%+1 pt
20América-MG0%±00%±098%+1 pt

Chances after Matchday 15, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 14 below each.

All reports this season