Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 13 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Juventude3%8%+5 pts
Sport23%27%+4 pts
Novorizontino12%13%+1 pt

Down

Fortaleza29%14%−15 pts
Vila Nova11%9%−2 pts

Juventude beat Ponte Preta 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 3% to 8%. Fortaleza lost 3–0 to América-MG at home, and their title chances fell from 29% to 14%. Sport lead the title race at 27%.

Promotion

Up

Juventude8%18%+10 pts
Sport41%45%+4 pts
São Bernardo15%18%+3 pts

Down

Fortaleza48%27%−21 pts
Vila Nova22%19%−3 pts
Operário-PR3%2%−1 pt

Juventude beat Ponte Preta 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 8% to 18%. Fortaleza lost 3–0 to América-MG at home, and their promotion chances fell from 48% to 27%.

Relegation

Up

Avaí24%41%+17 pts
Operário-PR3%6%+3 pts
Ponte Preta96%98%+2 pts

Down

Botafogo-SP62%50%−12 pts
Londrina79%69%−10 pts
América-MG99%94%−5 pts

Avaí lost 3–2 at Londrina, and their relegation chances rose from 24% to 41%. Botafogo-SP beat Operário-PR 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 62% to 50%.

Changes since Matchday 12, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Fortaleza

0–3

América Mineiro

Fortaleza 0–3 América-MG moved the odds the most. Fortaleza lost 3–0 to América-MG at home, and their promotion chances fell from 48% to 27%. América-MG won 3–0 at Fortaleza, and their relegation chances fell from 99% to 94%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Sport
Fortaleza
Novorizontino
Criciúma
Vila Nova

Show as a table

Round	Sport	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Vila Nova
1	7%	11%	1%	16%	<1%
2	6%	9%	2%	12%	1%
3	8%	10%	1%	6%	1%
4	6%	13%	3%	7%	2%
5	5%	24%	6%	4%	4%
6	9%	23%	3%	9%	6%
7	15%	40%	3%	7%	4%
8	25%	38%	4%	7%	2%
9	17%	30%	5%	8%	5%
10	23%	38%	6%	5%	6%
11	34%	24%	5%	9%	9%
12	23%	29%	12%	10%	11%
13	27%	14%	13%	10%	9%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	São BernardoSão Bernardo	25	8%+1 pt	18%+3 pts	<1%±0
2	Vila NovaVila Nova	25	9%−2 pts	19%−3 pts	<1%±0
3	SportSport	24	27%+4 pts	45%+4 pts	<1%±0
4	FortalezaFortaleza	21	14%−15 pts	27%−21 pts	<1%±0
5	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	21	13%+1 pt	26%+1 pt	<1%±0
6	CriciúmaCriciúma	21	10%±0	21%±0	<1%±0
7	NáuticoNáutico	20	1%±0	3%+1 pt	4%±0
8	JuventudeJuventude	19	8%+5 pts	18%+10 pts	<1%−1 pt
9	Operário-PROperário-PR	19	1%±0	2%−1 pt	6%+3 pts
10	CuiabáCuiabá	19	1%±0	4%+2 pts	3%−2 pts
11	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	19	1%±0	2%±0	6%+2 pts
12	GoiásGoiás	18	<1%±0	1%±0	8%+1 pt
13	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	17	<1%±0	1%±0	9%+2 pts
14	CearáCeará	17	4%±0	10%+2 pts	1%±0
15	CRBCRB	15	<1%±0	1%±0	9%+1 pt
16	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	13	<1%±0	<1%±0	50%−12 pts
17	LondrinaLondrina	11	0%±0	<1%±0	69%−10 pts
18	AvaíAvaí	10	<1%±0	<1%±0	41%+17 pts
19	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	8	0%±0	0%±0	98%+2 pts
20	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	6	0%±0	0%±0	94%−5 pts

Chances after Matchday 13, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 12 below each.

Round	Sport	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Vila Nova
1	7%	11%	1%	16%	<1%
2	6%	9%	2%	12%	1%
3	8%	10%	1%	6%	1%
4	6%	13%	3%	7%	2%
5	5%	24%	6%	4%	4%
6	9%	23%	3%	9%	6%
7	15%	40%	3%	7%	4%
8	25%	38%	4%	7%	2%
9	17%	30%	5%	8%	5%
10	23%	38%	6%	5%	6%
11	34%	24%	5%	9%	9%
12	23%	29%	12%	10%	11%
13	27%	14%	13%	10%	9%

Round	Sport	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Vila Nova
1	7%	11%	1%	16%	<1%
2	6%	9%	2%	12%	1%
3	8%	10%	1%	6%	1%
4	6%	13%	3%	7%	2%
5	5%	24%	6%	4%	4%
6	9%	23%	3%	9%	6%
7	15%	40%	3%	7%	4%
8	25%	38%	4%	7%	2%
9	17%	30%	5%	8%	5%
10	23%	38%	6%	5%	6%
11	34%	24%	5%	9%	9%
12	23%	29%	12%	10%	11%
13	27%	14%	13%	10%	9%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Sport	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Vila Nova
1	7%	11%	1%	16%	<1%
2	6%	9%	2%	12%	1%
3	8%	10%	1%	6%	1%
4	6%	13%	3%	7%	2%
5	5%	24%	6%	4%	4%
6	9%	23%	3%	9%	6%
7	15%	40%	3%	7%	4%
8	25%	38%	4%	7%	2%
9	17%	30%	5%	8%	5%
10	23%	38%	6%	5%	6%
11	34%	24%	5%	9%	9%
12	23%	29%	12%	10%	11%
13	27%	14%	13%	10%	9%