Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 28 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Novorizontino34%38%+4 pts
Vila Nova5%7%+2 pts
Atlético-GO<1%2%+2 pts

Down

Juventude42%32%−10 pts
Criciúma6%4%−2 pts

Novorizontino drew 1–1 with Cuiabá at home, and their title chances rose from 34% to 38%. Juventude lost 2–0 to Athletic-MG at home, and their title chances fell from 42% to 32%. Novorizontino lead the title race at 38%.

Promotion

Up

Vila Nova13%18%+5 pts
Atlético-GO2%7%+5 pts
CRB2%6%+4 pts

Down

Juventude69%58%−11 pts
Criciúma18%13%−5 pts
Sport1%<1%−1 pt

Vila Nova drew 1–1 at Avaí, and their promotion chances rose from 13% to 18%. Juventude lost 2–0 to Athletic-MG at home, and their promotion chances fell from 69% to 58%.

Relegation

Up

Botafogo-SP30%50%+20 pts
Avaí34%41%+7 pts
Náutico4%5%+1 pt

Down

Londrina83%72%−11 pts
São Bernardo8%3%−5 pts
Ceará31%27%−4 pts

Botafogo-SP lost 3–1 to Goiás at home, and their relegation chances rose from 30% to 50%. Londrina beat Ponte Preta 6–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 83% to 72%.

Changes since Matchday 27, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Juventude

0–2

Athletic-MG

Juventude 0–2 Athletic-MG moved the odds the most. Juventude lost 2–0 to Athletic-MG at home, and their promotion chances fell from 69% to 58%. Athletic-MG won 2–0 at Juventude, and their relegation chances fell from 4% to 1%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Novorizontino
Juventude
Fortaleza
Vila Nova
Criciúma

Show as a table

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Fortaleza	Vila Nova	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	11%	<1%	16%
2	2%	7%	9%	1%	12%
3	1%	3%	10%	1%	6%
4	3%	7%	13%	2%	7%
5	6%	11%	24%	4%	4%
6	3%	15%	23%	6%	9%
7	3%	11%	40%	4%	7%
8	4%	9%	38%	2%	7%
9	5%	10%	30%	5%	8%
10	6%	4%	38%	6%	5%
11	5%	7%	24%	9%	9%
12	12%	3%	29%	11%	10%
13	13%	8%	14%	9%	10%
14	17%	14%	11%	13%	14%
15	21%	20%	16%	8%	18%
16	29%	12%	17%	9%	22%
17	20%	19%	10%	7%	31%
18	11%	25%	14%	3%	38%
19	6%	12%	8%	6%	60%
20	11%	17%	11%	3%	50%
21	8%	36%	12%	2%	36%
22	6%	28%	10%	5%	46%
23	7%	39%	6%	8%	37%
24	12%	49%	11%	6%	19%
25	22%	43%	8%	12%	12%
26	30%	30%	13%	5%	19%
27	34%	42%	13%	5%	6%
28	38%	32%	14%	7%	4%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	50	38%+4 pts	63%+1 pt	0%±0
2	JuventudeJuventude	50	32%−10 pts	58%−11 pts	0%±0
3	Vila NovaVila Nova	48	7%+2 pts	18%+5 pts	0%±0
4	FortalezaFortaleza	48	14%+1 pt	32%+1 pt	0%±0
5	CriciúmaCriciúma	47	4%−2 pts	13%−5 pts	0%±0
6	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	46	2%+2 pts	7%+5 pts	0%±0
7	CRBCRB	45	2%+2 pts	6%+4 pts	<1%±0
8	Operário-PROperário-PR	44	1%+1 pt	2%±0	<1%±0
9	SportSport	41	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	<1%±0
10	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	40	<1%±0	<1%±0	1%−3 pts
11	CuiabáCuiabá	40	<1%±0	<1%±0	<1%±0
12	GoiásGoiás	39	<1%±0	<1%±0	1%−3 pts
13	São BernardoSão Bernardo	38	0%±0	<1%±0	3%−5 pts
14	NáuticoNáutico	38	0%±0	<1%±0	5%+1 pt
15	CearáCeará	32	0%±0	0%±0	27%−4 pts
16	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	31	0%±0	0%±0	50%+20 pts
17	AvaíAvaí	30	0%±0	0%±0	41%+7 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	28	0%±0	0%±0	72%−11 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	17	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	10	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 28, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 27 below each.

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Fortaleza	Vila Nova	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	11%	<1%	16%
2	2%	7%	9%	1%	12%
3	1%	3%	10%	1%	6%
4	3%	7%	13%	2%	7%
5	6%	11%	24%	4%	4%
6	3%	15%	23%	6%	9%
7	3%	11%	40%	4%	7%
8	4%	9%	38%	2%	7%
9	5%	10%	30%	5%	8%
10	6%	4%	38%	6%	5%
11	5%	7%	24%	9%	9%
12	12%	3%	29%	11%	10%
13	13%	8%	14%	9%	10%
14	17%	14%	11%	13%	14%
15	21%	20%	16%	8%	18%
16	29%	12%	17%	9%	22%
17	20%	19%	10%	7%	31%
18	11%	25%	14%	3%	38%
19	6%	12%	8%	6%	60%
20	11%	17%	11%	3%	50%
21	8%	36%	12%	2%	36%
22	6%	28%	10%	5%	46%
23	7%	39%	6%	8%	37%
24	12%	49%	11%	6%	19%
25	22%	43%	8%	12%	12%
26	30%	30%	13%	5%	19%
27	34%	42%	13%	5%	6%
28	38%	32%	14%	7%	4%

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Fortaleza	Vila Nova	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	11%	<1%	16%
2	2%	7%	9%	1%	12%
3	1%	3%	10%	1%	6%
4	3%	7%	13%	2%	7%
5	6%	11%	24%	4%	4%
6	3%	15%	23%	6%	9%
7	3%	11%	40%	4%	7%
8	4%	9%	38%	2%	7%
9	5%	10%	30%	5%	8%
10	6%	4%	38%	6%	5%
11	5%	7%	24%	9%	9%
12	12%	3%	29%	11%	10%
13	13%	8%	14%	9%	10%
14	17%	14%	11%	13%	14%
15	21%	20%	16%	8%	18%
16	29%	12%	17%	9%	22%
17	20%	19%	10%	7%	31%
18	11%	25%	14%	3%	38%
19	6%	12%	8%	6%	60%
20	11%	17%	11%	3%	50%
21	8%	36%	12%	2%	36%
22	6%	28%	10%	5%	46%
23	7%	39%	6%	8%	37%
24	12%	49%	11%	6%	19%
25	22%	43%	8%	12%	12%
26	30%	30%	13%	5%	19%
27	34%	42%	13%	5%	6%
28	38%	32%	14%	7%	4%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Fortaleza	Vila Nova	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	11%	<1%	16%
2	2%	7%	9%	1%	12%
3	1%	3%	10%	1%	6%
4	3%	7%	13%	2%	7%
5	6%	11%	24%	4%	4%
6	3%	15%	23%	6%	9%
7	3%	11%	40%	4%	7%
8	4%	9%	38%	2%	7%
9	5%	10%	30%	5%	8%
10	6%	4%	38%	6%	5%
11	5%	7%	24%	9%	9%
12	12%	3%	29%	11%	10%
13	13%	8%	14%	9%	10%
14	17%	14%	11%	13%	14%
15	21%	20%	16%	8%	18%
16	29%	12%	17%	9%	22%
17	20%	19%	10%	7%	31%
18	11%	25%	14%	3%	38%
19	6%	12%	8%	6%	60%
20	11%	17%	11%	3%	50%
21	8%	36%	12%	2%	36%
22	6%	28%	10%	5%	46%
23	7%	39%	6%	8%	37%
24	12%	49%	11%	6%	19%
25	22%	43%	8%	12%	12%
26	30%	30%	13%	5%	19%
27	34%	42%	13%	5%	6%
28	38%	32%	14%	7%	4%