Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 11
After the games up to 1 June 2026
Sport lead the title race at 34%. Athletic-MG 1–0 Fortaleza moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Sport beat Náutico 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 23% to 34%. Fortaleza lost 1–0 at Athletic-MG, and their title chances fell from 38% to 24%. Sport lead the title race at 34%.
Promotion
Sport beat Náutico 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 42% to 53%. Fortaleza lost 1–0 at Athletic-MG, and their promotion chances fell from 58% to 42%.
Relegation
Up
Londrina67%75%+8 pts
Avaí15%22%+7 pts
Botafogo-SP50%55%+5 pts
Down
Cuiabá22%9%−13 pts
Operário-PR19%8%−11 pts
Athletic-MG13%6%−7 pts
Londrina lost 1–0 to Vila Nova at home, and their relegation chances rose from 67% to 75%. Cuiabá beat CRB 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 22% to 9%.
Changes since Matchday 10, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Athletic-MG 1–0 Fortaleza moved the odds the most. Athletic-MG beat Fortaleza 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 13% to 6%. Fortaleza lost 1–0 at Athletic-MG, and their promotion chances fell from 58% to 42%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Sport
- Fortaleza
- Vila Nova
- Criciúma
- Juventude
Show as a table
| Round | Sport | Fortaleza | Vila Nova | Criciúma | Juventude |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7% | 11% | <1% | 16% | 9% |
| 2 | 6% | 9% | 1% | 12% | 7% |
| 3 | 8% | 10% | 1% | 6% | 3% |
| 4 | 6% | 13% | 2% | 7% | 7% |
| 5 | 5% | 24% | 4% | 4% | 11% |
| 6 | 9% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 15% |
| 7 | 15% | 40% | 4% | 7% | 11% |
| 8 | 25% | 38% | 2% | 7% | 9% |
| 9 | 17% | 30% | 5% | 8% | 10% |
| 10 | 23% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| 11 | 34% | 24% | 9% | 9% | 7% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 34%+11 pts | 53%+11 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 22 | 9%+3 pts | 20%+5 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 3 | 21 | 4%−1 pt | 10%−3 pts | 1%±0 | |
| 4 | 19 | 1%−2 pts | 4%−4 pts | 4%+2 pts | |
| 5 | 18 | 24%−14 pts | 42%−16 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 6 | 17 | 2%±0 | 5%±0 | 3%±0 | |
| 7 | 17 | 5%−1 pt | 12%−3 pts | 1%±0 | |
| 8 | 17 | 9%+4 pts | 20%+8 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 9 | 17 | 1%+1 pt | 2%+1 pt | 6%−7 pts | |
| 10 | 16 | 7%+3 pts | 18%+8 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 11 | 16 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 8%−11 pts | |
| 12 | 14 | 1%−1 pt | 3%−3 pts | 6%+2 pts | |
| 13 | 13 | 2%−3 pts | 6%−8 pts | 2%+1 pt | |
| 14 | 13 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 15%+2 pts | |
| 15 | 13 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 9%−13 pts | |
| 16 | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 55%+5 pts | |
| 17 | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 22%+7 pts | |
| 18 | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 75%+8 pts | |
| 19 | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 94%+2 pts | |
| 20 | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 98%+3 pts |
Chances after Matchday 11, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 10 below each.
All reports this season
- Matchday 362 Nov
- Matchday 3527 Oct
- Matchday 3420 Oct
- Matchday 3313 Oct
- Matchday 328 Oct
- Matchday 313 Oct
- Matchday 3029 Sept
- Matchday 2922 Sept
- Matchday 2815 Sept
- Matchday 2710 Sept
- Matchday 266 Sept
- Matchday 251 Sept
- Matchday 2425 Aug
- Matchday 2320 Aug
- Matchday 2216 Aug
- Matchday 2111 Aug
- Matchday 2028 Jul
- Matchday 1923 Jul
- Matchday 1818 Jul
- Matchday 1713 Jul
- Matchday 167 Jul
- Matchday 1530 Jun
- Matchday 1423 Jun
- Matchday 1316 Jun
- Matchday 1210 Jun
- Matchday 111 Jun
- Matchday 1025 May
- Matchday 918 May
- Matchday 812 May
- Matchday 74 May
- Matchday 627 Apr
- Matchday 519 Apr
- Matchday 412 Apr
- Matchday 36 Apr
- Matchday 22 Apr
- Matchday 122 Mar