Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 33 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Vila Nova13%28%+15 pts
Novorizontino27%35%+8 pts
Criciúma1%2%+1 pt

Down

Juventude49%30%−19 pts
Fortaleza9%4%−5 pts

Vila Nova won 2–0 at Náutico, and their title chances rose from 13% to 28%. Juventude drew 2–2 with São Bernardo at home, and their title chances fell from 49% to 30%. Novorizontino lead the title race at 35%.

Promotion

Up

Vila Nova31%53%+22 pts
Novorizontino57%63%+6 pts
Criciúma6%7%+1 pt

Down

Juventude76%62%−14 pts
Fortaleza26%14%−12 pts
Atlético-GO2%1%−1 pt

Vila Nova won 2–0 at Náutico, and their promotion chances rose from 31% to 53%. Juventude drew 2–2 with São Bernardo at home, and their promotion chances fell from 76% to 62%.

Relegation

Up

Náutico2%11%+9 pts
Athletic-MG2%5%+3 pts
Londrina98%>99%+2 pts

Down

Avaí75%63%−12 pts
Botafogo-SP22%18%−4 pts

Náutico lost 2–0 to Vila Nova at home, and their relegation chances rose from 2% to 11%. Avaí won 1–0 at Cuiabá, and their relegation chances fell from 75% to 63%.

Changes since Matchday 32, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Náutico

0–2

Vila Nova

Náutico 0–2 Vila Nova moved the odds the most. Náutico lost 2–0 to Vila Nova at home, and their relegation chances rose from 2% to 11%. Vila Nova won 2–0 at Náutico, and their promotion chances rose from 31% to 53%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Novorizontino
Juventude
Vila Nova
Fortaleza
Criciúma

Show as a table

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	<1%	11%	16%
2	2%	7%	1%	9%	12%
3	1%	3%	1%	10%	6%
4	3%	7%	2%	13%	7%
5	6%	11%	4%	24%	4%
6	3%	15%	6%	23%	9%
7	3%	11%	4%	40%	7%
8	4%	9%	2%	38%	7%
9	5%	10%	5%	30%	8%
10	6%	4%	6%	38%	5%
11	5%	7%	9%	24%	9%
12	12%	3%	11%	29%	10%
13	13%	8%	9%	14%	10%
14	17%	14%	13%	11%	14%
15	21%	20%	8%	16%	18%
16	29%	12%	9%	17%	22%
17	20%	19%	7%	10%	31%
18	11%	25%	3%	14%	38%
19	6%	12%	6%	8%	60%
20	11%	17%	3%	11%	50%
21	8%	36%	2%	12%	36%
22	6%	28%	5%	10%	46%
23	7%	39%	8%	6%	37%
24	12%	49%	6%	11%	19%
25	22%	43%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	34%	42%	5%	13%	6%
28	38%	32%	7%	14%	4%
29	29%	23%	13%	29%	1%
30	17%	36%	20%	19%	3%
31	18%	42%	25%	7%	5%
32	27%	49%	13%	9%	1%
33	35%	30%	28%	4%	2%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	Vila NovaVila Nova	61	28%+15 pts	53%+22 pts	0%±0
2	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	60	35%+8 pts	63%+6 pts	0%±0
3	JuventudeJuventude	60	30%−19 pts	62%−14 pts	0%±0
4	FortalezaFortaleza	57	4%−5 pts	14%−12 pts	0%±0
5	CriciúmaCriciúma	56	2%+1 pt	7%+1 pt	0%±0
6	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	53	<1%±0	1%−1 pt	0%±0
7	CRBCRB	52	<1%±0	1%±0	0%±0
8	SportSport	51	0%±0	<1%±0	0%±0
9	GoiásGoiás	48	0%±0	0%±0	0%±0
10	Operário-PROperário-PR	48	0%±0	0%±0	0%±0
11	CuiabáCuiabá	47	0%±0	0%±0	<1%±0
12	São BernardoSão Bernardo	46	0%±0	0%±0	<1%±0
13	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	43	0%±0	0%±0	5%+3 pts
14	NáuticoNáutico	42	0%±0	0%±0	11%+9 pts
15	CearáCeará	42	0%±0	0%±0	3%+2 pts
16	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	41	0%±0	0%±0	18%−4 pts
17	AvaíAvaí	36	0%±0	0%±0	63%−12 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	29	0%±0	0%±0	>99%+2 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	17	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	13	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 33, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 32 below each.

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	<1%	11%	16%
2	2%	7%	1%	9%	12%
3	1%	3%	1%	10%	6%
4	3%	7%	2%	13%	7%
5	6%	11%	4%	24%	4%
6	3%	15%	6%	23%	9%
7	3%	11%	4%	40%	7%
8	4%	9%	2%	38%	7%
9	5%	10%	5%	30%	8%
10	6%	4%	6%	38%	5%
11	5%	7%	9%	24%	9%
12	12%	3%	11%	29%	10%
13	13%	8%	9%	14%	10%
14	17%	14%	13%	11%	14%
15	21%	20%	8%	16%	18%
16	29%	12%	9%	17%	22%
17	20%	19%	7%	10%	31%
18	11%	25%	3%	14%	38%
19	6%	12%	6%	8%	60%
20	11%	17%	3%	11%	50%
21	8%	36%	2%	12%	36%
22	6%	28%	5%	10%	46%
23	7%	39%	8%	6%	37%
24	12%	49%	6%	11%	19%
25	22%	43%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	34%	42%	5%	13%	6%
28	38%	32%	7%	14%	4%
29	29%	23%	13%	29%	1%
30	17%	36%	20%	19%	3%
31	18%	42%	25%	7%	5%
32	27%	49%	13%	9%	1%
33	35%	30%	28%	4%	2%

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	<1%	11%	16%
2	2%	7%	1%	9%	12%
3	1%	3%	1%	10%	6%
4	3%	7%	2%	13%	7%
5	6%	11%	4%	24%	4%
6	3%	15%	6%	23%	9%
7	3%	11%	4%	40%	7%
8	4%	9%	2%	38%	7%
9	5%	10%	5%	30%	8%
10	6%	4%	6%	38%	5%
11	5%	7%	9%	24%	9%
12	12%	3%	11%	29%	10%
13	13%	8%	9%	14%	10%
14	17%	14%	13%	11%	14%
15	21%	20%	8%	16%	18%
16	29%	12%	9%	17%	22%
17	20%	19%	7%	10%	31%
18	11%	25%	3%	14%	38%
19	6%	12%	6%	8%	60%
20	11%	17%	3%	11%	50%
21	8%	36%	2%	12%	36%
22	6%	28%	5%	10%	46%
23	7%	39%	8%	6%	37%
24	12%	49%	6%	11%	19%
25	22%	43%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	34%	42%	5%	13%	6%
28	38%	32%	7%	14%	4%
29	29%	23%	13%	29%	1%
30	17%	36%	20%	19%	3%
31	18%	42%	25%	7%	5%
32	27%	49%	13%	9%	1%
33	35%	30%	28%	4%	2%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Criciúma
1	1%	9%	<1%	11%	16%
2	2%	7%	1%	9%	12%
3	1%	3%	1%	10%	6%
4	3%	7%	2%	13%	7%
5	6%	11%	4%	24%	4%
6	3%	15%	6%	23%	9%
7	3%	11%	4%	40%	7%
8	4%	9%	2%	38%	7%
9	5%	10%	5%	30%	8%
10	6%	4%	6%	38%	5%
11	5%	7%	9%	24%	9%
12	12%	3%	11%	29%	10%
13	13%	8%	9%	14%	10%
14	17%	14%	13%	11%	14%
15	21%	20%	8%	16%	18%
16	29%	12%	9%	17%	22%
17	20%	19%	7%	10%	31%
18	11%	25%	3%	14%	38%
19	6%	12%	6%	8%	60%
20	11%	17%	3%	11%	50%
21	8%	36%	2%	12%	36%
22	6%	28%	5%	10%	46%
23	7%	39%	8%	6%	37%
24	12%	49%	6%	11%	19%
25	22%	43%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	5%	13%	19%
27	34%	42%	5%	13%	6%
28	38%	32%	7%	14%	4%
29	29%	23%	13%	29%	1%
30	17%	36%	20%	19%	3%
31	18%	42%	25%	7%	5%
32	27%	49%	13%	9%	1%
33	35%	30%	28%	4%	2%