Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 29 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Fortaleza14%29%+15 pts
Vila Nova7%13%+6 pts
Operário-PR1%3%+2 pts

Down

Novorizontino38%29%−9 pts
Juventude32%23%−9 pts
Criciúma4%1%−3 pts

Fortaleza won 2–1 at Londrina, and their title chances rose from 14% to 29%. Novorizontino lost 2–1 at Ceará, and their title chances fell from 38% to 29%. Fortaleza lead the title race at 29%.

Promotion

Up

Fortaleza32%52%+20 pts
Vila Nova18%28%+10 pts
Operário-PR2%8%+6 pts

Down

Novorizontino63%51%−12 pts
Juventude58%47%−11 pts
Criciúma13%5%−8 pts

Fortaleza won 2–1 at Londrina, and their promotion chances rose from 32% to 52%. Novorizontino lost 2–1 at Ceará, and their promotion chances fell from 63% to 51%.

Relegation

Up

Avaí41%51%+10 pts
Londrina72%81%+9 pts
Náutico5%8%+3 pts

Down

Ceará27%12%−15 pts
Botafogo-SP50%47%−3 pts
São Bernardo3%1%−2 pts

Avaí lost 2–1 at Goiás, and their relegation chances rose from 41% to 51%. Ceará beat Novorizontino 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 27% to 12%.

Changes since Matchday 28, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Londrina

1–2

Fortaleza

Londrina 1–2 Fortaleza moved the odds the most. Londrina lost 2–1 to Fortaleza at home, and their relegation chances rose from 72% to 81%. Fortaleza won 2–1 at Londrina, and their promotion chances rose from 32% to 52%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Fortaleza
Novorizontino
Juventude
Vila Nova
Operário-PR

Show as a table

Round	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Operário-PR
1	11%	1%	9%	<1%	1%
2	9%	2%	7%	1%	4%
3	10%	1%	3%	1%	3%
4	13%	3%	7%	2%	2%
5	24%	6%	11%	4%	1%
6	23%	3%	15%	6%	1%
7	40%	3%	11%	4%	3%
8	38%	4%	9%	2%	1%
9	30%	5%	10%	5%	<1%
10	38%	6%	4%	6%	<1%
11	24%	5%	7%	9%	<1%
12	29%	12%	3%	11%	1%
13	14%	13%	8%	9%	1%
14	11%	17%	14%	13%	2%
15	16%	21%	20%	8%	2%
16	17%	29%	12%	9%	4%
17	10%	20%	19%	7%	7%
18	14%	11%	25%	3%	6%
19	8%	6%	12%	6%	7%
20	11%	11%	17%	3%	5%
21	12%	8%	36%	2%	2%
22	10%	6%	28%	5%	1%
23	6%	7%	39%	8%	<1%
24	11%	12%	49%	6%	<1%
25	8%	22%	43%	12%	<1%
26	13%	30%	30%	5%	<1%
27	13%	34%	42%	5%	<1%
28	14%	38%	32%	7%	1%
29	29%	29%	23%	13%	3%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	Vila NovaVila Nova	51	13%+6 pts	28%+10 pts	0%±0
2	FortalezaFortaleza	51	29%+15 pts	52%+20 pts	0%±0
3	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	50	29%−9 pts	51%−12 pts	0%±0
4	JuventudeJuventude	50	23%−9 pts	47%−11 pts	0%±0
5	Operário-PROperário-PR	47	3%+2 pts	8%+6 pts	0%±0
6	CriciúmaCriciúma	47	1%−3 pts	5%−8 pts	0%±0
7	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	46	1%−1 pt	4%−3 pts	0%±0
8	CRBCRB	45	1%−1 pt	2%−4 pts	0%±0
9	SportSport	44	<1%±0	2%+2 pts	<1%±0
10	CuiabáCuiabá	43	<1%±0	1%+1 pt	0%±0
11	GoiásGoiás	42	<1%±0	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt
12	São BernardoSão Bernardo	41	<1%±0	<1%±0	1%−2 pts
13	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	41	<1%±0	<1%±0	1%±0
14	NáuticoNáutico	38	0%±0	<1%±0	8%+3 pts
15	CearáCeará	35	0%±0	0%±0	12%−15 pts
16	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	32	0%±0	0%±0	47%−3 pts
17	AvaíAvaí	30	0%±0	0%±0	51%+10 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	28	0%±0	0%±0	81%+9 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	17	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	13	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 29, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 28 below each.

Round	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Operário-PR
1	11%	1%	9%	<1%	1%
2	9%	2%	7%	1%	4%
3	10%	1%	3%	1%	3%
4	13%	3%	7%	2%	2%
5	24%	6%	11%	4%	1%
6	23%	3%	15%	6%	1%
7	40%	3%	11%	4%	3%
8	38%	4%	9%	2%	1%
9	30%	5%	10%	5%	<1%
10	38%	6%	4%	6%	<1%
11	24%	5%	7%	9%	<1%
12	29%	12%	3%	11%	1%
13	14%	13%	8%	9%	1%
14	11%	17%	14%	13%	2%
15	16%	21%	20%	8%	2%
16	17%	29%	12%	9%	4%
17	10%	20%	19%	7%	7%
18	14%	11%	25%	3%	6%
19	8%	6%	12%	6%	7%
20	11%	11%	17%	3%	5%
21	12%	8%	36%	2%	2%
22	10%	6%	28%	5%	1%
23	6%	7%	39%	8%	<1%
24	11%	12%	49%	6%	<1%
25	8%	22%	43%	12%	<1%
26	13%	30%	30%	5%	<1%
27	13%	34%	42%	5%	<1%
28	14%	38%	32%	7%	1%
29	29%	29%	23%	13%	3%

Round	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Operário-PR
1	11%	1%	9%	<1%	1%
2	9%	2%	7%	1%	4%
3	10%	1%	3%	1%	3%
4	13%	3%	7%	2%	2%
5	24%	6%	11%	4%	1%
6	23%	3%	15%	6%	1%
7	40%	3%	11%	4%	3%
8	38%	4%	9%	2%	1%
9	30%	5%	10%	5%	<1%
10	38%	6%	4%	6%	<1%
11	24%	5%	7%	9%	<1%
12	29%	12%	3%	11%	1%
13	14%	13%	8%	9%	1%
14	11%	17%	14%	13%	2%
15	16%	21%	20%	8%	2%
16	17%	29%	12%	9%	4%
17	10%	20%	19%	7%	7%
18	14%	11%	25%	3%	6%
19	8%	6%	12%	6%	7%
20	11%	11%	17%	3%	5%
21	12%	8%	36%	2%	2%
22	10%	6%	28%	5%	1%
23	6%	7%	39%	8%	<1%
24	11%	12%	49%	6%	<1%
25	8%	22%	43%	12%	<1%
26	13%	30%	30%	5%	<1%
27	13%	34%	42%	5%	<1%
28	14%	38%	32%	7%	1%
29	29%	29%	23%	13%	3%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Juventude	Vila Nova	Operário-PR
1	11%	1%	9%	<1%	1%
2	9%	2%	7%	1%	4%
3	10%	1%	3%	1%	3%
4	13%	3%	7%	2%	2%
5	24%	6%	11%	4%	1%
6	23%	3%	15%	6%	1%
7	40%	3%	11%	4%	3%
8	38%	4%	9%	2%	1%
9	30%	5%	10%	5%	<1%
10	38%	6%	4%	6%	<1%
11	24%	5%	7%	9%	<1%
12	29%	12%	3%	11%	1%
13	14%	13%	8%	9%	1%
14	11%	17%	14%	13%	2%
15	16%	21%	20%	8%	2%
16	17%	29%	12%	9%	4%
17	10%	20%	19%	7%	7%
18	14%	11%	25%	3%	6%
19	8%	6%	12%	6%	7%
20	11%	11%	17%	3%	5%
21	12%	8%	36%	2%	2%
22	10%	6%	28%	5%	1%
23	6%	7%	39%	8%	<1%
24	11%	12%	49%	6%	<1%
25	8%	22%	43%	12%	<1%
26	13%	30%	30%	5%	<1%
27	13%	34%	42%	5%	<1%
28	14%	38%	32%	7%	1%
29	29%	29%	23%	13%	3%