Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 23 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Juventude28%39%+11 pts
Vila Nova5%8%+3 pts
Novorizontino6%7%+1 pt

Down

Criciúma46%37%−9 pts
Fortaleza10%6%−4 pts
Sport3%1%−2 pts

Juventude won 1–0 at Goiás, and their title chances rose from 28% to 39%. Criciúma drew 1–1 at Botafogo-SP, and their title chances fell from 46% to 37%. Juventude lead the title race at 39%.

Promotion

Up

Juventude55%65%+10 pts
Vila Nova13%20%+7 pts
Novorizontino17%21%+4 pts

Down

Fortaleza26%17%−9 pts
Criciúma70%64%−6 pts
Sport9%4%−5 pts

Juventude won 1–0 at Goiás, and their promotion chances rose from 55% to 65%. Fortaleza drew 1–1 with São Bernardo at home, and their promotion chances fell from 26% to 17%.

Relegation

Up

Ceará27%43%+16 pts
Londrina79%84%+5 pts
Goiás3%6%+3 pts

Down

Avaí43%27%−16 pts
Náutico24%15%−9 pts
Cuiabá6%3%−3 pts

Ceará lost 1–0 at Náutico, and their relegation chances rose from 27% to 43%. Avaí beat Sport 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 43% to 27%.

Changes since Matchday 22, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Náutico

1–0

Ceará

Náutico 1–0 Ceará moved the odds the most. Náutico beat Ceará 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 24% to 15%. Ceará lost 1–0 at Náutico, and their relegation chances rose from 27% to 43%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Juventude
Criciúma
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Fortaleza

Show as a table

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Vila Nova	Novorizontino	Fortaleza
1	9%	16%	<1%	1%	11%
2	7%	12%	1%	2%	9%
3	3%	6%	1%	1%	10%
4	7%	7%	2%	3%	13%
5	11%	4%	4%	6%	24%
6	15%	9%	6%	3%	23%
7	11%	7%	4%	3%	40%
8	9%	7%	2%	4%	38%
9	10%	8%	5%	5%	30%
10	4%	5%	6%	6%	38%
11	7%	9%	9%	5%	24%
12	3%	10%	11%	12%	29%
13	8%	10%	9%	13%	14%
14	14%	14%	13%	17%	11%
15	20%	18%	8%	21%	16%
16	12%	22%	9%	29%	17%
17	19%	31%	7%	20%	10%
18	25%	38%	3%	11%	14%
19	12%	60%	6%	6%	8%
20	17%	50%	3%	11%	11%
21	36%	36%	2%	8%	12%
22	28%	46%	5%	6%	10%
23	39%	37%	8%	7%	6%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	CriciúmaCriciúma	44	37%−9 pts	64%−6 pts	0%±0
2	JuventudeJuventude	42	39%+11 pts	65%+10 pts	0%±0
3	Vila NovaVila Nova	40	8%+3 pts	20%+7 pts	<1%±0
4	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	37	7%+1 pt	21%+4 pts	0%±0
5	FortalezaFortaleza	37	6%−4 pts	17%−9 pts	<1%±0
6	CRBCRB	36	2%+1 pt	5%+2 pts	<1%−1 pt
7	Operário-PROperário-PR	35	<1%−1 pt	1%−2 pts	1%±0
8	SportSport	35	1%−2 pts	4%−5 pts	<1%±0
9	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	34	<1%±0	<1%−2 pts	4%+2 pts
10	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	33	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	3%±0
11	GoiásGoiás	32	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	6%+3 pts
12	CuiabáCuiabá	32	<1%±0	<1%±0	3%−3 pts
13	São BernardoSão Bernardo	31	<1%±0	<1%±0	6%±0
14	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	31	<1%±0	<1%±0	7%+1 pt
15	NáuticoNáutico	30	<1%±0	<1%±0	15%−9 pts
16	AvaíAvaí	26	0%±0	0%±0	27%−16 pts
17	CearáCeará	25	0%±0	0%±0	43%+16 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	21	0%±0	0%±0	84%+5 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	11	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	10	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 23, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 22 below each.

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Vila Nova	Novorizontino	Fortaleza
1	9%	16%	<1%	1%	11%
2	7%	12%	1%	2%	9%
3	3%	6%	1%	1%	10%
4	7%	7%	2%	3%	13%
5	11%	4%	4%	6%	24%
6	15%	9%	6%	3%	23%
7	11%	7%	4%	3%	40%
8	9%	7%	2%	4%	38%
9	10%	8%	5%	5%	30%
10	4%	5%	6%	6%	38%
11	7%	9%	9%	5%	24%
12	3%	10%	11%	12%	29%
13	8%	10%	9%	13%	14%
14	14%	14%	13%	17%	11%
15	20%	18%	8%	21%	16%
16	12%	22%	9%	29%	17%
17	19%	31%	7%	20%	10%
18	25%	38%	3%	11%	14%
19	12%	60%	6%	6%	8%
20	17%	50%	3%	11%	11%
21	36%	36%	2%	8%	12%
22	28%	46%	5%	6%	10%
23	39%	37%	8%	7%	6%

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Vila Nova	Novorizontino	Fortaleza
1	9%	16%	<1%	1%	11%
2	7%	12%	1%	2%	9%
3	3%	6%	1%	1%	10%
4	7%	7%	2%	3%	13%
5	11%	4%	4%	6%	24%
6	15%	9%	6%	3%	23%
7	11%	7%	4%	3%	40%
8	9%	7%	2%	4%	38%
9	10%	8%	5%	5%	30%
10	4%	5%	6%	6%	38%
11	7%	9%	9%	5%	24%
12	3%	10%	11%	12%	29%
13	8%	10%	9%	13%	14%
14	14%	14%	13%	17%	11%
15	20%	18%	8%	21%	16%
16	12%	22%	9%	29%	17%
17	19%	31%	7%	20%	10%
18	25%	38%	3%	11%	14%
19	12%	60%	6%	6%	8%
20	17%	50%	3%	11%	11%
21	36%	36%	2%	8%	12%
22	28%	46%	5%	6%	10%
23	39%	37%	8%	7%	6%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Vila Nova	Novorizontino	Fortaleza
1	9%	16%	<1%	1%	11%
2	7%	12%	1%	2%	9%
3	3%	6%	1%	1%	10%
4	7%	7%	2%	3%	13%
5	11%	4%	4%	6%	24%
6	15%	9%	6%	3%	23%
7	11%	7%	4%	3%	40%
8	9%	7%	2%	4%	38%
9	10%	8%	5%	5%	30%
10	4%	5%	6%	6%	38%
11	7%	9%	9%	5%	24%
12	3%	10%	11%	12%	29%
13	8%	10%	9%	13%	14%
14	14%	14%	13%	17%	11%
15	20%	18%	8%	21%	16%
16	12%	22%	9%	29%	17%
17	19%	31%	7%	20%	10%
18	25%	38%	3%	11%	14%
19	12%	60%	6%	6%	8%
20	17%	50%	3%	11%	11%
21	36%	36%	2%	8%	12%
22	28%	46%	5%	6%	10%
23	39%	37%	8%	7%	6%