Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 17 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Criciúma22%31%+9 pts
Juventude12%19%+7 pts
Operário-PR4%7%+3 pts

Down

Novorizontino29%20%−9 pts
Fortaleza17%10%−7 pts
Vila Nova9%7%−2 pts

Criciúma won 2–1 at Ponte Preta, and their title chances rose from 22% to 31%. Novorizontino lost 2–1 at Operário-PR, and their title chances fell from 29% to 20%. Criciúma lead the title race at 31%.

Promotion

Up

Criciúma41%51%+10 pts
Juventude27%36%+9 pts
Operário-PR10%18%+8 pts

Down

Novorizontino49%39%−10 pts
Fortaleza34%24%−10 pts
Vila Nova21%17%−4 pts

Criciúma won 2–1 at Ponte Preta, and their promotion chances rose from 41% to 51%. Novorizontino lost 2–1 at Operário-PR, and their promotion chances fell from 49% to 39%.

Relegation

Up

Náutico13%23%+10 pts
Londrina28%33%+5 pts
Ceará13%17%+4 pts

Down

Avaí58%44%−14 pts
Atlético-GO12%6%−6 pts
Botafogo-SP32%30%−2 pts

Náutico lost 2–0 at Avaí, and their relegation chances rose from 13% to 23%. Avaí beat Náutico 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 58% to 44%.

Changes since Matchday 16, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Operário-PR

2–1

Novorizontino

Operário-PR 2–1 Novorizontino moved the odds the most. Operário-PR beat Novorizontino 2–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 10% to 18%. Novorizontino lost 2–1 at Operário-PR, and their promotion chances fell from 49% to 39%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Criciúma
Novorizontino
Juventude
Fortaleza
Operário-PR

Show as a table

Round	Criciúma	Novorizontino	Juventude	Fortaleza	Operário-PR
1	16%	1%	9%	11%	1%
2	12%	2%	7%	9%	4%
3	6%	1%	3%	10%	3%
4	7%	3%	7%	13%	2%
5	4%	6%	11%	24%	1%
6	9%	3%	15%	23%	1%
7	7%	3%	11%	40%	3%
8	7%	4%	9%	38%	1%
9	8%	5%	10%	30%	<1%
10	5%	6%	4%	38%	<1%
11	9%	5%	7%	24%	<1%
12	10%	12%	3%	29%	1%
13	10%	13%	8%	14%	1%
14	14%	17%	14%	11%	2%
15	18%	21%	20%	16%	2%
16	22%	29%	12%	17%	4%
17	31%	20%	19%	10%	7%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	CriciúmaCriciúma	33	31%+9 pts	51%+10 pts	<1%±0
2	Vila NovaVila Nova	31	7%−2 pts	17%−4 pts	<1%±0
3	Operário-PROperário-PR	31	7%+3 pts	18%+8 pts	<1%±0
4	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	30	20%−9 pts	39%−10 pts	<1%±0
5	JuventudeJuventude	29	19%+7 pts	36%+9 pts	<1%±0
6	FortalezaFortaleza	28	10%−7 pts	24%−10 pts	<1%±0
7	São BernardoSão Bernardo	26	1%±0	3%±0	2%±0
8	SportSport	26	3%−1 pt	8%−3 pts	<1%±0
9	GoiásGoiás	25	<1%±0	1%±0	4%±0
10	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	24	<1%±0	1%+1 pt	6%−6 pts
11	CuiabáCuiabá	24	<1%±0	1%±0	6%+1 pt
12	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	23	<1%±0	<1%±0	14%±0
13	NáuticoNáutico	21	<1%±0	<1%±0	23%+10 pts
14	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	20	0%±0	<1%±0	30%−2 pts
15	CRBCRB	20	<1%±0	<1%±0	21%+3 pts
16	LondrinaLondrina	19	0%±0	<1%±0	33%+5 pts
17	CearáCeará	18	<1%±0	<1%±0	17%+4 pts
18	AvaíAvaí	16	0%±0	<1%±0	44%−14 pts
19	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	8	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	7	0%±0	0%±0	99%±0

Chances after Matchday 17, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 16 below each.

Round	Criciúma	Novorizontino	Juventude	Fortaleza	Operário-PR
1	16%	1%	9%	11%	1%
2	12%	2%	7%	9%	4%
3	6%	1%	3%	10%	3%
4	7%	3%	7%	13%	2%
5	4%	6%	11%	24%	1%
6	9%	3%	15%	23%	1%
7	7%	3%	11%	40%	3%
8	7%	4%	9%	38%	1%
9	8%	5%	10%	30%	<1%
10	5%	6%	4%	38%	<1%
11	9%	5%	7%	24%	<1%
12	10%	12%	3%	29%	1%
13	10%	13%	8%	14%	1%
14	14%	17%	14%	11%	2%
15	18%	21%	20%	16%	2%
16	22%	29%	12%	17%	4%
17	31%	20%	19%	10%	7%

Round	Criciúma	Novorizontino	Juventude	Fortaleza	Operário-PR
1	16%	1%	9%	11%	1%
2	12%	2%	7%	9%	4%
3	6%	1%	3%	10%	3%
4	7%	3%	7%	13%	2%
5	4%	6%	11%	24%	1%
6	9%	3%	15%	23%	1%
7	7%	3%	11%	40%	3%
8	7%	4%	9%	38%	1%
9	8%	5%	10%	30%	<1%
10	5%	6%	4%	38%	<1%
11	9%	5%	7%	24%	<1%
12	10%	12%	3%	29%	1%
13	10%	13%	8%	14%	1%
14	14%	17%	14%	11%	2%
15	18%	21%	20%	16%	2%
16	22%	29%	12%	17%	4%
17	31%	20%	19%	10%	7%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Criciúma	Novorizontino	Juventude	Fortaleza	Operário-PR
1	16%	1%	9%	11%	1%
2	12%	2%	7%	9%	4%
3	6%	1%	3%	10%	3%
4	7%	3%	7%	13%	2%
5	4%	6%	11%	24%	1%
6	9%	3%	15%	23%	1%
7	7%	3%	11%	40%	3%
8	7%	4%	9%	38%	1%
9	8%	5%	10%	30%	<1%
10	5%	6%	4%	38%	<1%
11	9%	5%	7%	24%	<1%
12	10%	12%	3%	29%	1%
13	10%	13%	8%	14%	1%
14	14%	17%	14%	11%	2%
15	18%	21%	20%	16%	2%
16	22%	29%	12%	17%	4%
17	31%	20%	19%	10%	7%