Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 9 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Ceará5%13%+8 pts
Vila Nova2%5%+3 pts
Náutico<1%2%+2 pts

Down

Fortaleza38%30%−8 pts
Sport25%17%−8 pts
Avaí2%1%−1 pt

Ceará beat Fortaleza 2–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 5% to 13%. Fortaleza lost 2–1 at Ceará, and their title chances fell from 38% to 30%. Fortaleza lead the title race at 30%.

Promotion

Up

Ceará13%26%+13 pts
Vila Nova5%12%+7 pts
Náutico1%6%+5 pts

Down

Sport44%32%−12 pts
Fortaleza59%48%−11 pts
Avaí7%3%−4 pts

Ceará beat Fortaleza 2–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 13% to 26%. Sport lost 2–1 to CRB at home, and their promotion chances fell from 44% to 32%.

Relegation

Up

Operário-PR7%22%+15 pts
Ponte Preta79%91%+12 pts
Botafogo-SP30%41%+11 pts

Down

Londrina78%59%−19 pts
Náutico18%5%−13 pts
CRB13%6%−7 pts

Operário-PR lost 6–2 to Náutico at home, and their relegation chances rose from 7% to 22%. Londrina won 4–1 at Ponte Preta, and their relegation chances fell from 78% to 59%.

Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Ceará

2–1

Fortaleza

Ceará 2–1 Fortaleza moved the odds the most. Ceará beat Fortaleza 2–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 13% to 26%. Fortaleza lost 2–1 at Ceará, and their promotion chances fell from 59% to 48%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Fortaleza
Sport
Ceará
Juventude
Criciúma

Show as a table

Round	Fortaleza	Sport	Ceará	Juventude	Criciúma
1	11%	7%	29%	9%	16%
2	9%	6%	23%	7%	12%
3	10%	8%	37%	3%	6%
4	13%	6%	40%	7%	7%
5	24%	5%	35%	11%	4%
6	23%	9%	27%	15%	9%
7	40%	15%	12%	11%	7%
8	38%	25%	5%	9%	7%
9	30%	17%	13%	10%	8%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	São BernardoSão Bernardo	17	4%±0	8%−2 pts	3%+1 pt
2	NáuticoNáutico	16	2%+2 pts	6%+5 pts	5%−13 pts
3	SportSport	16	17%−8 pts	32%−12 pts	<1%±0
4	Vila NovaVila Nova	16	5%+3 pts	12%+7 pts	2%−3 pts
5	FortalezaFortaleza	15	30%−8 pts	48%−11 pts	<1%±0
6	GoiásGoiás	13	1%+1 pt	3%+2 pts	11%−5 pts
7	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	13	5%+1 pt	11%+1 pt	2%±0
8	CriciúmaCriciúma	13	8%+1 pt	18%±0	1%±0
9	CearáCeará	13	13%+8 pts	26%+13 pts	<1%−1 pt
10	JuventudeJuventude	13	10%+1 pt	22%±0	1%±0
11	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	12	1%±0	3%±0	9%+1 pt
12	Operário-PROperário-PR	12	<1%−1 pt	1%−2 pts	22%+15 pts
13	CRBCRB	11	2%+1 pt	5%+3 pts	6%−7 pts
14	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	11	<1%±0	1%±0	26%+1 pt
15	AvaíAvaí	10	1%−1 pt	3%−4 pts	8%+5 pts
16	CuiabáCuiabá	10	<1%±0	1%±0	17%+3 pts
17	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	9	<1%±0	<1%±0	41%+11 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	8	<1%±0	<1%±0	59%−19 pts
19	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	7	0%±0	0%±0	91%+12 pts
20	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	3	0%±0	0%±0	95%±0

Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.

Round	Fortaleza	Sport	Ceará	Juventude	Criciúma
1	11%	7%	29%	9%	16%
2	9%	6%	23%	7%	12%
3	10%	8%	37%	3%	6%
4	13%	6%	40%	7%	7%
5	24%	5%	35%	11%	4%
6	23%	9%	27%	15%	9%
7	40%	15%	12%	11%	7%
8	38%	25%	5%	9%	7%
9	30%	17%	13%	10%	8%

Round	Fortaleza	Sport	Ceará	Juventude	Criciúma
1	11%	7%	29%	9%	16%
2	9%	6%	23%	7%	12%
3	10%	8%	37%	3%	6%
4	13%	6%	40%	7%	7%
5	24%	5%	35%	11%	4%
6	23%	9%	27%	15%	9%
7	40%	15%	12%	11%	7%
8	38%	25%	5%	9%	7%
9	30%	17%	13%	10%	8%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Fortaleza	Sport	Ceará	Juventude	Criciúma
1	11%	7%	29%	9%	16%
2	9%	6%	23%	7%	12%
3	10%	8%	37%	3%	6%
4	13%	6%	40%	7%	7%
5	24%	5%	35%	11%	4%
6	23%	9%	27%	15%	9%
7	40%	15%	12%	11%	7%
8	38%	25%	5%	9%	7%
9	30%	17%	13%	10%	8%