Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 19 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Criciúma38%60%+22 pts
Vila Nova3%6%+3 pts
Operário-PR6%7%+1 pt

Down

Juventude25%12%−13 pts
Fortaleza14%8%−6 pts
Novorizontino11%6%−5 pts

Criciúma won 1–0 at Novorizontino, and their title chances rose from 38% to 60%. Juventude lost 4–2 at Botafogo-SP, and their title chances fell from 25% to 12%. Criciúma lead the title race at 60%.

Promotion

Up

Criciúma61%79%+18 pts
Vila Nova10%18%+8 pts
Operário-PR16%21%+5 pts

Down

Juventude47%32%−15 pts
Fortaleza31%22%−9 pts
Novorizontino26%17%−9 pts

Criciúma won 1–0 at Novorizontino, and their promotion chances rose from 61% to 79%. Juventude lost 4–2 at Botafogo-SP, and their promotion chances fell from 47% to 32%.

Relegation

Up

Ceará19%36%+17 pts
Londrina37%50%+13 pts
Cuiabá8%16%+8 pts

Down

Botafogo-SP29%15%−14 pts
Náutico26%19%−7 pts
Avaí43%38%−5 pts

Ceará lost 1–0 to CRB at home, and their relegation chances rose from 19% to 36%. Botafogo-SP beat Juventude 4–2 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 29% to 15%.

Changes since Matchday 18, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Novorizontino

0–1

Criciúma

Novorizontino 0–1 Criciúma moved the odds the most. Novorizontino lost 1–0 to Criciúma at home, and their promotion chances fell from 26% to 17%. Criciúma won 1–0 at Novorizontino, and their title chances rose from 38% to 60%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Criciúma
Juventude
Fortaleza
Operário-PR
Vila Nova

Show as a table

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Operário-PR	Vila Nova
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	<1%
2	12%	7%	9%	4%	1%
3	6%	3%	10%	3%	1%
4	7%	7%	13%	2%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	1%	4%
6	9%	15%	23%	1%	6%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	4%
8	7%	9%	38%	1%	2%
9	8%	10%	30%	<1%	5%
10	5%	4%	38%	<1%	6%
11	9%	7%	24%	<1%	9%
12	10%	3%	29%	1%	11%
13	10%	8%	14%	1%	9%
14	14%	14%	11%	2%	13%
15	18%	20%	16%	2%	8%
16	22%	12%	17%	4%	9%
17	31%	19%	10%	7%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	6%	3%
19	60%	12%	8%	7%	6%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	CriciúmaCriciúma	39	60%+22 pts	79%+18 pts	0%±0
2	Operário-PROperário-PR	35	7%+1 pt	21%+5 pts	<1%±0
3	Vila NovaVila Nova	34	6%+3 pts	18%+8 pts	<1%±0
4	JuventudeJuventude	32	12%−13 pts	32%−15 pts	<1%±0
5	FortalezaFortaleza	31	8%−6 pts	22%−9 pts	<1%±0
6	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	30	6%−5 pts	17%−9 pts	<1%±0
7	GoiásGoiás	29	<1%±0	2%±0	2%±0
8	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	28	<1%±0	1%+1 pt	4%−3 pts
9	SportSport	28	1%±0	5%±0	1%±0
10	São BernardoSão Bernardo	27	<1%±0	1%−1 pt	6%+3 pts
11	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	27	<1%±0	<1%±0	8%−5 pts
12	CRBCRB	26	<1%±0	1%+1 pt	7%−5 pts
13	NáuticoNáutico	24	<1%±0	<1%±0	19%−7 pts
14	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	24	<1%±0	<1%±0	15%−14 pts
15	CuiabáCuiabá	24	<1%±0	<1%±0	16%+8 pts
16	LondrinaLondrina	20	<1%±0	<1%±0	50%+13 pts
17	AvaíAvaí	20	0%±0	0%±0	38%−5 pts
18	CearáCeará	19	0%±0	<1%±0	36%+17 pts
19	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	8	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	8	0%±0	0%±0	>99%+1 pt

Chances after Matchday 19, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 18 below each.

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Operário-PR	Vila Nova
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	<1%
2	12%	7%	9%	4%	1%
3	6%	3%	10%	3%	1%
4	7%	7%	13%	2%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	1%	4%
6	9%	15%	23%	1%	6%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	4%
8	7%	9%	38%	1%	2%
9	8%	10%	30%	<1%	5%
10	5%	4%	38%	<1%	6%
11	9%	7%	24%	<1%	9%
12	10%	3%	29%	1%	11%
13	10%	8%	14%	1%	9%
14	14%	14%	11%	2%	13%
15	18%	20%	16%	2%	8%
16	22%	12%	17%	4%	9%
17	31%	19%	10%	7%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	6%	3%
19	60%	12%	8%	7%	6%

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Operário-PR	Vila Nova
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	<1%
2	12%	7%	9%	4%	1%
3	6%	3%	10%	3%	1%
4	7%	7%	13%	2%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	1%	4%
6	9%	15%	23%	1%	6%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	4%
8	7%	9%	38%	1%	2%
9	8%	10%	30%	<1%	5%
10	5%	4%	38%	<1%	6%
11	9%	7%	24%	<1%	9%
12	10%	3%	29%	1%	11%
13	10%	8%	14%	1%	9%
14	14%	14%	11%	2%	13%
15	18%	20%	16%	2%	8%
16	22%	12%	17%	4%	9%
17	31%	19%	10%	7%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	6%	3%
19	60%	12%	8%	7%	6%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Operário-PR	Vila Nova
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	<1%
2	12%	7%	9%	4%	1%
3	6%	3%	10%	3%	1%
4	7%	7%	13%	2%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	1%	4%
6	9%	15%	23%	1%	6%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	4%
8	7%	9%	38%	1%	2%
9	8%	10%	30%	<1%	5%
10	5%	4%	38%	<1%	6%
11	9%	7%	24%	<1%	9%
12	10%	3%	29%	1%	11%
13	10%	8%	14%	1%	9%
14	14%	14%	11%	2%	13%
15	18%	20%	16%	2%	8%
16	22%	12%	17%	4%	9%
17	31%	19%	10%	7%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	6%	3%
19	60%	12%	8%	7%	6%