Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 22 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Criciúma36%46%+10 pts
Vila Nova2%5%+3 pts
Sport2%3%+1 pt

Down

Juventude36%28%−8 pts
Fortaleza12%10%−2 pts
Novorizontino8%6%−2 pts

Criciúma beat Goiás 1–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 36% to 46%. Juventude drew 0–0 with Fortaleza at home, and their title chances fell from 36% to 28%. Criciúma lead the title race at 46%.

Promotion

Up

Criciúma61%70%+9 pts
Vila Nova6%13%+7 pts
Sport7%9%+2 pts

Down

Juventude61%55%−6 pts
Novorizontino21%17%−4 pts
Operário-PR7%3%−4 pts

Criciúma beat Goiás 1–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 61% to 70%. Juventude drew 0–0 with Fortaleza at home, and their promotion chances fell from 61% to 55%.

Relegation

Up

Ceará14%27%+13 pts
Londrina73%79%+6 pts
Náutico18%24%+6 pts

Down

Avaí58%43%−15 pts
Cuiabá14%6%−8 pts
Botafogo-SP12%6%−6 pts

Ceará lost 3–1 to Cuiabá at home, and their relegation chances rose from 14% to 27%. Avaí won 2–1 at Operário-PR, and their relegation chances fell from 58% to 43%.

Changes since Matchday 21, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Ceará

1–3

Cuiabá

Ceará 1–3 Cuiabá moved the odds the most. Ceará lost 3–1 to Cuiabá at home, and their relegation chances rose from 14% to 27%. Cuiabá won 3–1 at Ceará, and their relegation chances fell from 14% to 6%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Criciúma
Juventude
Fortaleza
Novorizontino
Vila Nova

Show as a table

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Vila Nova
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	<1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	1%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	1%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	4%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	6%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	4%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	2%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	5%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	6%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	9%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	11%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	9%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	13%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	8%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	9%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	3%
19	60%	12%	8%	6%	6%
20	50%	17%	11%	11%	3%
21	36%	36%	12%	8%	2%
22	46%	28%	10%	6%	5%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	CriciúmaCriciúma	43	46%+10 pts	70%+9 pts	0%±0
2	JuventudeJuventude	39	28%−8 pts	55%−6 pts	0%±0
3	Vila NovaVila Nova	37	5%+3 pts	13%+7 pts	<1%±0
4	FortalezaFortaleza	36	10%−2 pts	26%−2 pts	<1%±0
5	Operário-PROperário-PR	35	1%−1 pt	3%−4 pts	1%+1 pt
6	SportSport	35	3%+1 pt	9%+2 pts	<1%±0
7	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	34	6%−2 pts	17%−4 pts	<1%±0
8	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	34	<1%±0	2%+1 pt	2%−2 pts
9	CRBCRB	33	1%±0	3%−1 pt	1%±0
10	GoiásGoiás	32	<1%±0	1%±0	3%+1 pt
11	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	32	<1%−1 pt	1%−1 pt	3%+2 pts
12	São BernardoSão Bernardo	30	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	6%+3 pts
13	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	30	<1%±0	<1%±0	6%−6 pts
14	CuiabáCuiabá	29	<1%±0	<1%±0	6%−8 pts
15	NáuticoNáutico	27	0%±0	<1%±0	24%+6 pts
16	CearáCeará	25	0%±0	<1%±0	27%+13 pts
17	AvaíAvaí	23	0%±0	0%±0	43%−15 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	20	0%±0	0%±0	79%+6 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	11	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	10	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0

Chances after Matchday 22, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 21 below each.

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Vila Nova
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	<1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	1%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	1%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	4%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	6%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	4%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	2%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	5%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	6%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	9%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	11%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	9%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	13%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	8%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	9%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	3%
19	60%	12%	8%	6%	6%
20	50%	17%	11%	11%	3%
21	36%	36%	12%	8%	2%
22	46%	28%	10%	6%	5%

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Vila Nova
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	<1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	1%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	1%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	4%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	6%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	4%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	2%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	5%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	6%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	9%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	11%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	9%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	13%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	8%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	9%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	3%
19	60%	12%	8%	6%	6%
20	50%	17%	11%	11%	3%
21	36%	36%	12%	8%	2%
22	46%	28%	10%	6%	5%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Vila Nova
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	<1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	1%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	1%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	4%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	6%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	4%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	2%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	5%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	6%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	9%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	11%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	9%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	13%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	8%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	9%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	3%
19	60%	12%	8%	6%	6%
20	50%	17%	11%	11%	3%
21	36%	36%	12%	8%	2%
22	46%	28%	10%	6%	5%