Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 27 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Juventude30%42%+12 pts
Novorizontino30%34%+4 pts

Down

Criciúma19%6%−13 pts
CRB2%<1%−2 pts

Juventude won 2–0 at Criciúma, and their title chances rose from 30% to 42%. Criciúma lost 2–0 to Juventude at home, and their title chances fell from 19% to 6%. Juventude lead the title race at 42%.

Promotion

Up

Juventude55%69%+14 pts
Novorizontino53%62%+9 pts
Fortaleza29%31%+2 pts

Down

Criciúma40%18%−22 pts
CRB7%2%−5 pts

Juventude won 2–0 at Criciúma, and their promotion chances rose from 55% to 69%. Criciúma lost 2–0 to Juventude at home, and their promotion chances fell from 40% to 18%.

Relegation

Up

Botafogo-SP25%30%+5 pts
Ceará27%31%+4 pts
São Bernardo5%8%+3 pts

Down

Londrina95%83%−12 pts
Cuiabá2%<1%−2 pts
Avaí35%34%−1 pt

Botafogo-SP lost 3–1 to Novorizontino at home, and their relegation chances rose from 25% to 30%. Londrina won 2–1 at São Bernardo, and their relegation chances fell from 95% to 83%.

Changes since Matchday 26, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Criciúma

0–2

Juventude

Criciúma 0–2 Juventude moved the odds the most. Criciúma lost 2–0 to Juventude at home, and their promotion chances fell from 40% to 18%. Juventude won 2–0 at Criciúma, and their promotion chances rose from 55% to 69%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Juventude
Novorizontino
Fortaleza
Criciúma
Vila Nova

Show as a table

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Criciúma	Vila Nova
1	9%	1%	11%	16%	<1%
2	7%	2%	9%	12%	1%
3	3%	1%	10%	6%	1%
4	7%	3%	13%	7%	2%
5	11%	6%	24%	4%	4%
6	15%	3%	23%	9%	6%
7	11%	3%	40%	7%	4%
8	9%	4%	38%	7%	2%
9	10%	5%	30%	8%	5%
10	4%	6%	38%	5%	6%
11	7%	5%	24%	9%	9%
12	3%	12%	29%	10%	11%
13	8%	13%	14%	10%	9%
14	14%	17%	11%	14%	13%
15	20%	21%	16%	18%	8%
16	12%	29%	17%	22%	9%
17	19%	20%	10%	31%	7%
18	25%	11%	14%	38%	3%
19	12%	6%	8%	60%	6%
20	17%	11%	11%	50%	3%
21	36%	8%	12%	36%	2%
22	28%	6%	10%	46%	5%
23	39%	7%	6%	37%	8%
24	49%	12%	11%	19%	6%
25	43%	22%	8%	12%	12%
26	30%	30%	13%	19%	5%
27	42%	34%	13%	6%	5%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	JuventudeJuventude	50	42%+12 pts	69%+14 pts	0%±0
2	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	49	34%+4 pts	62%+9 pts	0%±0
3	Vila NovaVila Nova	47	5%±0	13%+1 pt	0%±0
4	FortalezaFortaleza	47	13%±0	31%+2 pts	0%±0
5	CriciúmaCriciúma	47	6%−13 pts	18%−22 pts	0%±0
6	Operário-PROperário-PR	43	<1%±0	2%+1 pt	0%±0
7	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	43	<1%±0	2%±0	0%±0
8	CRBCRB	42	<1%−2 pts	2%−5 pts	<1%±0
9	SportSport	41	<1%±0	1%±0	<1%±0
10	CuiabáCuiabá	39	<1%±0	<1%±0	<1%−2 pts
11	NáuticoNáutico	37	<1%±0	<1%±0	4%+1 pt
12	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	37	0%±0	<1%±0	4%+1 pt
13	GoiásGoiás	36	0%±0	0%±0	4%±0
14	São BernardoSão Bernardo	35	0%±0	0%±0	8%+3 pts
15	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	31	0%±0	0%±0	30%+5 pts
16	CearáCeará	31	0%±0	0%±0	31%+4 pts
17	AvaíAvaí	29	0%±0	0%±0	34%−1 pt
18	LondrinaLondrina	25	0%±0	0%±0	83%−12 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	17	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	10	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 27, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 26 below each.

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Criciúma	Vila Nova
1	9%	1%	11%	16%	<1%
2	7%	2%	9%	12%	1%
3	3%	1%	10%	6%	1%
4	7%	3%	13%	7%	2%
5	11%	6%	24%	4%	4%
6	15%	3%	23%	9%	6%
7	11%	3%	40%	7%	4%
8	9%	4%	38%	7%	2%
9	10%	5%	30%	8%	5%
10	4%	6%	38%	5%	6%
11	7%	5%	24%	9%	9%
12	3%	12%	29%	10%	11%
13	8%	13%	14%	10%	9%
14	14%	17%	11%	14%	13%
15	20%	21%	16%	18%	8%
16	12%	29%	17%	22%	9%
17	19%	20%	10%	31%	7%
18	25%	11%	14%	38%	3%
19	12%	6%	8%	60%	6%
20	17%	11%	11%	50%	3%
21	36%	8%	12%	36%	2%
22	28%	6%	10%	46%	5%
23	39%	7%	6%	37%	8%
24	49%	12%	11%	19%	6%
25	43%	22%	8%	12%	12%
26	30%	30%	13%	19%	5%
27	42%	34%	13%	6%	5%

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Criciúma	Vila Nova
1	9%	1%	11%	16%	<1%
2	7%	2%	9%	12%	1%
3	3%	1%	10%	6%	1%
4	7%	3%	13%	7%	2%
5	11%	6%	24%	4%	4%
6	15%	3%	23%	9%	6%
7	11%	3%	40%	7%	4%
8	9%	4%	38%	7%	2%
9	10%	5%	30%	8%	5%
10	4%	6%	38%	5%	6%
11	7%	5%	24%	9%	9%
12	3%	12%	29%	10%	11%
13	8%	13%	14%	10%	9%
14	14%	17%	11%	14%	13%
15	20%	21%	16%	18%	8%
16	12%	29%	17%	22%	9%
17	19%	20%	10%	31%	7%
18	25%	11%	14%	38%	3%
19	12%	6%	8%	60%	6%
20	17%	11%	11%	50%	3%
21	36%	8%	12%	36%	2%
22	28%	6%	10%	46%	5%
23	39%	7%	6%	37%	8%
24	49%	12%	11%	19%	6%
25	43%	22%	8%	12%	12%
26	30%	30%	13%	19%	5%
27	42%	34%	13%	6%	5%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Criciúma	Vila Nova
1	9%	1%	11%	16%	<1%
2	7%	2%	9%	12%	1%
3	3%	1%	10%	6%	1%
4	7%	3%	13%	7%	2%
5	11%	6%	24%	4%	4%
6	15%	3%	23%	9%	6%
7	11%	3%	40%	7%	4%
8	9%	4%	38%	7%	2%
9	10%	5%	30%	8%	5%
10	4%	6%	38%	5%	6%
11	7%	5%	24%	9%	9%
12	3%	12%	29%	10%	11%
13	8%	13%	14%	10%	9%
14	14%	17%	11%	14%	13%
15	20%	21%	16%	18%	8%
16	12%	29%	17%	22%	9%
17	19%	20%	10%	31%	7%
18	25%	11%	14%	38%	3%
19	12%	6%	8%	60%	6%
20	17%	11%	11%	50%	3%
21	36%	8%	12%	36%	2%
22	28%	6%	10%	46%	5%
23	39%	7%	6%	37%	8%
24	49%	12%	11%	19%	6%
25	43%	22%	8%	12%	12%
26	30%	30%	13%	19%	5%
27	42%	34%	13%	6%	5%