Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 26 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Novorizontino22%30%+8 pts
Criciúma12%19%+7 pts
Fortaleza8%13%+5 pts

Down

Juventude43%30%−13 pts
Vila Nova12%5%−7 pts
Sport1%<1%−1 pt

Novorizontino beat Avaí 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 22% to 30%. Juventude drew 2–2 with Atlético-GO at home, and their title chances fell from 43% to 30%. Juventude lead the title race at 30%.

Promotion

Up

Criciúma28%40%+12 pts
Novorizontino45%53%+8 pts
Fortaleza21%29%+8 pts

Down

Vila Nova27%12%−15 pts
Juventude67%55%−12 pts
Sport3%1%−2 pts

Criciúma beat Cuiabá 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 28% to 40%. Vila Nova lost 5–0 at Athletic-MG, and their promotion chances fell from 27% to 12%.

Relegation

Up

Avaí26%35%+9 pts
Botafogo-SP16%25%+9 pts
Londrina88%95%+7 pts

Down

Ceará41%27%−14 pts
Athletic-MG10%3%−7 pts
São Bernardo10%5%−5 pts

Avaí lost 3–1 at Novorizontino, and their relegation chances rose from 26% to 35%. Ceará beat Sport 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 41% to 27%.

Changes since Matchday 25, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Athletic-MG

5–0

Vila Nova

Athletic-MG 5–0 Vila Nova moved the odds the most. Athletic-MG beat Vila Nova 5–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 10% to 3%. Vila Nova lost 5–0 at Athletic-MG, and their promotion chances fell from 27% to 12%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Juventude
Novorizontino
Criciúma
Fortaleza
Vila Nova

Show as a table

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Fortaleza	Vila Nova
1	9%	1%	16%	11%	<1%
2	7%	2%	12%	9%	1%
3	3%	1%	6%	10%	1%
4	7%	3%	7%	13%	2%
5	11%	6%	4%	24%	4%
6	15%	3%	9%	23%	6%
7	11%	3%	7%	40%	4%
8	9%	4%	7%	38%	2%
9	10%	5%	8%	30%	5%
10	4%	6%	5%	38%	6%
11	7%	5%	9%	24%	9%
12	3%	12%	10%	29%	11%
13	8%	13%	10%	14%	9%
14	14%	17%	14%	11%	13%
15	20%	21%	18%	16%	8%
16	12%	29%	22%	17%	9%
17	19%	20%	31%	10%	7%
18	25%	11%	38%	14%	3%
19	12%	6%	60%	8%	6%
20	17%	11%	50%	11%	3%
21	36%	8%	36%	12%	2%
22	28%	6%	46%	10%	5%
23	39%	7%	37%	6%	8%
24	49%	12%	19%	11%	6%
25	43%	22%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	19%	13%	5%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	JuventudeJuventude	47	30%−13 pts	55%−12 pts	0%±0
2	CriciúmaCriciúma	47	19%+7 pts	40%+12 pts	0%±0
3	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	46	30%+8 pts	53%+8 pts	0%±0
4	Vila NovaVila Nova	44	5%−7 pts	12%−15 pts	<1%±0
5	FortalezaFortaleza	44	13%+5 pts	29%+8 pts	0%±0
6	CRBCRB	42	2%±0	7%+1 pt	<1%±0
7	Operário-PROperário-PR	40	<1%±0	1%±0	<1%−1 pt
8	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	40	<1%±0	2%±0	<1%±0
9	SportSport	38	<1%−1 pt	1%−2 pts	<1%±0
10	NáuticoNáutico	37	<1%±0	<1%±0	3%−3 pts
11	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	37	<1%±0	<1%±0	3%−7 pts
12	GoiásGoiás	36	0%±0	<1%±0	4%+2 pts
13	CuiabáCuiabá	36	<1%±0	<1%±0	2%+1 pt
14	São BernardoSão Bernardo	35	<1%±0	<1%±0	5%−5 pts
15	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	31	<1%±0	<1%±0	25%+9 pts
16	CearáCeará	31	0%±0	0%±0	27%−14 pts
17	AvaíAvaí	29	0%±0	0%±0	35%+9 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	22	0%±0	0%±0	95%+7 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	14	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	10	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 26, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 25 below each.

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Fortaleza	Vila Nova
1	9%	1%	16%	11%	<1%
2	7%	2%	12%	9%	1%
3	3%	1%	6%	10%	1%
4	7%	3%	7%	13%	2%
5	11%	6%	4%	24%	4%
6	15%	3%	9%	23%	6%
7	11%	3%	7%	40%	4%
8	9%	4%	7%	38%	2%
9	10%	5%	8%	30%	5%
10	4%	6%	5%	38%	6%
11	7%	5%	9%	24%	9%
12	3%	12%	10%	29%	11%
13	8%	13%	10%	14%	9%
14	14%	17%	14%	11%	13%
15	20%	21%	18%	16%	8%
16	12%	29%	22%	17%	9%
17	19%	20%	31%	10%	7%
18	25%	11%	38%	14%	3%
19	12%	6%	60%	8%	6%
20	17%	11%	50%	11%	3%
21	36%	8%	36%	12%	2%
22	28%	6%	46%	10%	5%
23	39%	7%	37%	6%	8%
24	49%	12%	19%	11%	6%
25	43%	22%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	19%	13%	5%

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Fortaleza	Vila Nova
1	9%	1%	16%	11%	<1%
2	7%	2%	12%	9%	1%
3	3%	1%	6%	10%	1%
4	7%	3%	7%	13%	2%
5	11%	6%	4%	24%	4%
6	15%	3%	9%	23%	6%
7	11%	3%	7%	40%	4%
8	9%	4%	7%	38%	2%
9	10%	5%	8%	30%	5%
10	4%	6%	5%	38%	6%
11	7%	5%	9%	24%	9%
12	3%	12%	10%	29%	11%
13	8%	13%	10%	14%	9%
14	14%	17%	14%	11%	13%
15	20%	21%	18%	16%	8%
16	12%	29%	22%	17%	9%
17	19%	20%	31%	10%	7%
18	25%	11%	38%	14%	3%
19	12%	6%	60%	8%	6%
20	17%	11%	50%	11%	3%
21	36%	8%	36%	12%	2%
22	28%	6%	46%	10%	5%
23	39%	7%	37%	6%	8%
24	49%	12%	19%	11%	6%
25	43%	22%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	19%	13%	5%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Juventude	Novorizontino	Criciúma	Fortaleza	Vila Nova
1	9%	1%	16%	11%	<1%
2	7%	2%	12%	9%	1%
3	3%	1%	6%	10%	1%
4	7%	3%	7%	13%	2%
5	11%	6%	4%	24%	4%
6	15%	3%	9%	23%	6%
7	11%	3%	7%	40%	4%
8	9%	4%	7%	38%	2%
9	10%	5%	8%	30%	5%
10	4%	6%	5%	38%	6%
11	7%	5%	9%	24%	9%
12	3%	12%	10%	29%	11%
13	8%	13%	10%	14%	9%
14	14%	17%	14%	11%	13%
15	20%	21%	18%	16%	8%
16	12%	29%	22%	17%	9%
17	19%	20%	31%	10%	7%
18	25%	11%	38%	14%	3%
19	12%	6%	60%	8%	6%
20	17%	11%	50%	11%	3%
21	36%	8%	36%	12%	2%
22	28%	6%	46%	10%	5%
23	39%	7%	37%	6%	8%
24	49%	12%	19%	11%	6%
25	43%	22%	12%	8%	12%
26	30%	30%	19%	13%	5%