Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 24 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Juventude39%49%+10 pts
Novorizontino7%12%+5 pts
Fortaleza6%11%+5 pts

Down

Criciúma37%19%−18 pts
Vila Nova8%6%−2 pts
CRB2%1%−1 pt

Juventude beat CRB 2–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 39% to 49%. Criciúma lost 2–0 to Fortaleza at home, and their title chances fell from 37% to 19%. Juventude lead the title race at 49%.

Promotion

Up

Fortaleza17%28%+11 pts
Novorizontino21%31%+10 pts
Juventude65%73%+8 pts

Down

Criciúma64%40%−24 pts
Vila Nova20%17%−3 pts
CRB5%3%−2 pts

Fortaleza won 2–0 at Criciúma, and their promotion chances rose from 17% to 28%. Criciúma lost 2–0 to Fortaleza at home, and their promotion chances fell from 64% to 40%.

Relegation

Up

Botafogo-SP7%13%+6 pts
Londrina84%89%+5 pts
Athletic-MG4%8%+4 pts

Down

Ceará43%33%−10 pts
Avaí27%19%−8 pts
Atlético-GO3%1%−2 pts

Botafogo-SP lost 3–0 at Atlético-GO, and their relegation chances rose from 7% to 13%. Ceará beat Londrina 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 43% to 33%.

Changes since Matchday 23, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Criciúma

0–2

Fortaleza

Criciúma 0–2 Fortaleza moved the odds the most. Criciúma lost 2–0 to Fortaleza at home, and their promotion chances fell from 64% to 40%. Fortaleza won 2–0 at Criciúma, and their promotion chances rose from 17% to 28%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Juventude
Criciúma
Novorizontino
Fortaleza
Vila Nova

Show as a table

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Vila Nova
1	9%	16%	1%	11%	<1%
2	7%	12%	2%	9%	1%
3	3%	6%	1%	10%	1%
4	7%	7%	3%	13%	2%
5	11%	4%	6%	24%	4%
6	15%	9%	3%	23%	6%
7	11%	7%	3%	40%	4%
8	9%	7%	4%	38%	2%
9	10%	8%	5%	30%	5%
10	4%	5%	6%	38%	6%
11	7%	9%	5%	24%	9%
12	3%	10%	12%	29%	11%
13	8%	10%	13%	14%	9%
14	14%	14%	17%	11%	13%
15	20%	18%	21%	16%	8%
16	12%	22%	29%	17%	9%
17	19%	31%	20%	10%	7%
18	25%	38%	11%	14%	3%
19	12%	60%	6%	8%	6%
20	17%	50%	11%	11%	3%
21	36%	36%	8%	12%	2%
22	28%	46%	6%	10%	5%
23	39%	37%	7%	6%	8%
24	49%	19%	12%	11%	6%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	JuventudeJuventude	45	49%+10 pts	73%+8 pts	0%±0
2	CriciúmaCriciúma	44	19%−18 pts	40%−24 pts	0%±0
3	Vila NovaVila Nova	41	6%−2 pts	17%−3 pts	<1%±0
4	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	40	12%+5 pts	31%+10 pts	0%±0
5	FortalezaFortaleza	40	11%+5 pts	28%+11 pts	0%±0
6	SportSport	38	1%±0	6%+2 pts	<1%±0
7	CRBCRB	36	1%−1 pt	3%−2 pts	<1%±0
8	Operário-PROperário-PR	36	<1%±0	1%±0	2%+1 pt
9	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	36	<1%±0	1%+1 pt	1%−2 pts
10	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	34	<1%±0	<1%±0	8%+4 pts
11	GoiásGoiás	33	<1%±0	<1%±0	6%±0
12	CuiabáCuiabá	33	<1%±0	<1%±0	4%+1 pt
13	São BernardoSão Bernardo	32	<1%±0	<1%±0	7%+1 pt
14	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	31	0%±0	<1%±0	13%+6 pts
15	NáuticoNáutico	31	0%±0	<1%±0	15%±0
16	AvaíAvaí	29	0%±0	<1%±0	19%−8 pts
17	CearáCeará	28	0%±0	<1%±0	33%−10 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	21	0%±0	0%±0	89%+5 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	11	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	10	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 24, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 23 below each.

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Vila Nova
1	9%	16%	1%	11%	<1%
2	7%	12%	2%	9%	1%
3	3%	6%	1%	10%	1%
4	7%	7%	3%	13%	2%
5	11%	4%	6%	24%	4%
6	15%	9%	3%	23%	6%
7	11%	7%	3%	40%	4%
8	9%	7%	4%	38%	2%
9	10%	8%	5%	30%	5%
10	4%	5%	6%	38%	6%
11	7%	9%	5%	24%	9%
12	3%	10%	12%	29%	11%
13	8%	10%	13%	14%	9%
14	14%	14%	17%	11%	13%
15	20%	18%	21%	16%	8%
16	12%	22%	29%	17%	9%
17	19%	31%	20%	10%	7%
18	25%	38%	11%	14%	3%
19	12%	60%	6%	8%	6%
20	17%	50%	11%	11%	3%
21	36%	36%	8%	12%	2%
22	28%	46%	6%	10%	5%
23	39%	37%	7%	6%	8%
24	49%	19%	12%	11%	6%

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Vila Nova
1	9%	16%	1%	11%	<1%
2	7%	12%	2%	9%	1%
3	3%	6%	1%	10%	1%
4	7%	7%	3%	13%	2%
5	11%	4%	6%	24%	4%
6	15%	9%	3%	23%	6%
7	11%	7%	3%	40%	4%
8	9%	7%	4%	38%	2%
9	10%	8%	5%	30%	5%
10	4%	5%	6%	38%	6%
11	7%	9%	5%	24%	9%
12	3%	10%	12%	29%	11%
13	8%	10%	13%	14%	9%
14	14%	14%	17%	11%	13%
15	20%	18%	21%	16%	8%
16	12%	22%	29%	17%	9%
17	19%	31%	20%	10%	7%
18	25%	38%	11%	14%	3%
19	12%	60%	6%	8%	6%
20	17%	50%	11%	11%	3%
21	36%	36%	8%	12%	2%
22	28%	46%	6%	10%	5%
23	39%	37%	7%	6%	8%
24	49%	19%	12%	11%	6%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Juventude	Criciúma	Novorizontino	Fortaleza	Vila Nova
1	9%	16%	1%	11%	<1%
2	7%	12%	2%	9%	1%
3	3%	6%	1%	10%	1%
4	7%	7%	3%	13%	2%
5	11%	4%	6%	24%	4%
6	15%	9%	3%	23%	6%
7	11%	7%	3%	40%	4%
8	9%	7%	4%	38%	2%
9	10%	8%	5%	30%	5%
10	4%	5%	6%	38%	6%
11	7%	9%	5%	24%	9%
12	3%	10%	12%	29%	11%
13	8%	10%	13%	14%	9%
14	14%	14%	17%	11%	13%
15	20%	18%	21%	16%	8%
16	12%	22%	29%	17%	9%
17	19%	31%	20%	10%	7%
18	25%	38%	11%	14%	3%
19	12%	60%	6%	8%	6%
20	17%	50%	11%	11%	3%
21	36%	36%	8%	12%	2%
22	28%	46%	6%	10%	5%
23	39%	37%	7%	6%	8%
24	49%	19%	12%	11%	6%