Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 20 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Juventude12%17%+5 pts
Novorizontino6%11%+5 pts
Fortaleza8%11%+3 pts

Down

Criciúma60%50%−10 pts
Vila Nova6%3%−3 pts
Operário-PR7%5%−2 pts

Juventude beat Avaí 1–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 12% to 17%. Criciúma drew 0–0 with Náutico at home, and their title chances fell from 60% to 50%. Criciúma lead the title race at 50%.

Promotion

Up

Novorizontino17%29%+12 pts
Juventude32%39%+7 pts
Fortaleza22%29%+7 pts

Down

Operário-PR21%13%−8 pts
Vila Nova18%10%−8 pts
Criciúma79%72%−7 pts

Novorizontino won 4–1 at Londrina, and their promotion chances rose from 17% to 29%. Operário-PR lost 3–1 at Atlético-GO, and their promotion chances fell from 21% to 13%.

Relegation

Up

Londrina50%63%+13 pts
Avaí38%42%+4 pts
Botafogo-SP15%18%+3 pts

Down

Ceará36%20%−16 pts
CRB7%3%−4 pts
Atlético-GO4%1%−3 pts

Londrina lost 4–1 to Novorizontino at home, and their relegation chances rose from 50% to 63%. Ceará won 4–3 at São Bernardo, and their relegation chances fell from 36% to 20%.

Changes since Matchday 19, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Londrina

1–4

Novorizontino

Londrina 1–4 Novorizontino moved the odds the most. Londrina lost 4–1 to Novorizontino at home, and their relegation chances rose from 50% to 63%. Novorizontino won 4–1 at Londrina, and their promotion chances rose from 17% to 29%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Criciúma
Juventude
Fortaleza
Novorizontino
Operário-PR

Show as a table

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Operário-PR
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	4%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	3%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	1%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	1%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	3%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	1%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	<1%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	<1%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	<1%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	1%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	1%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	2%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	2%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	4%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	6%
19	60%	12%	8%	6%	7%
20	50%	17%	11%	11%	5%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	CriciúmaCriciúma	40	50%−10 pts	72%−7 pts	0%±0
2	JuventudeJuventude	35	17%+5 pts	39%+7 pts	0%±0
3	Operário-PROperário-PR	35	5%−2 pts	13%−8 pts	<1%±0
4	FortalezaFortaleza	34	11%+3 pts	29%+7 pts	<1%±0
5	Vila NovaVila Nova	34	3%−3 pts	10%−8 pts	<1%±0
6	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	33	11%+5 pts	29%+12 pts	<1%±0
7	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	31	1%+1 pt	2%+1 pt	1%−3 pts
8	CRBCRB	29	<1%±0	2%+1 pt	3%−4 pts
9	GoiásGoiás	29	<1%±0	1%−1 pt	4%+2 pts
10	SportSport	29	1%±0	3%−2 pts	1%±0
11	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	28	<1%±0	<1%±0	9%+1 pt
12	São BernardoSão Bernardo	27	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	8%+2 pts
13	NáuticoNáutico	25	<1%±0	<1%±0	17%−2 pts
14	CuiabáCuiabá	25	<1%±0	<1%±0	15%−1 pt
15	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	24	0%±0	<1%±0	18%+3 pts
16	CearáCeará	22	<1%±0	<1%±0	20%−16 pts
17	LondrinaLondrina	20	0%±0	0%±0	63%+13 pts
18	AvaíAvaí	20	0%±0	0%±0	42%+4 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	11	0%±0	0%±0	99%−1 pt
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	9	0%±0	0%±0	>99%±0

Chances after Matchday 20, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 19 below each.

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Operário-PR
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	4%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	3%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	1%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	1%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	3%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	1%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	<1%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	<1%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	<1%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	1%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	1%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	2%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	2%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	4%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	6%
19	60%	12%	8%	6%	7%
20	50%	17%	11%	11%	5%

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Operário-PR
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	4%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	3%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	1%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	1%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	3%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	1%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	<1%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	<1%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	<1%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	1%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	1%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	2%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	2%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	4%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	6%
19	60%	12%	8%	6%	7%
20	50%	17%	11%	11%	5%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Criciúma	Juventude	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Operário-PR
1	16%	9%	11%	1%	1%
2	12%	7%	9%	2%	4%
3	6%	3%	10%	1%	3%
4	7%	7%	13%	3%	2%
5	4%	11%	24%	6%	1%
6	9%	15%	23%	3%	1%
7	7%	11%	40%	3%	3%
8	7%	9%	38%	4%	1%
9	8%	10%	30%	5%	<1%
10	5%	4%	38%	6%	<1%
11	9%	7%	24%	5%	<1%
12	10%	3%	29%	12%	1%
13	10%	8%	14%	13%	1%
14	14%	14%	11%	17%	2%
15	18%	20%	16%	21%	2%
16	22%	12%	17%	29%	4%
17	31%	19%	10%	20%	7%
18	38%	25%	14%	11%	6%
19	60%	12%	8%	6%	7%
20	50%	17%	11%	11%	5%