Foot Simu
Brasileirão Série B 2026

Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 4

After the games up to 12 April 2026

Ceará lead the title race at 40%. América-MG 0–3 Novorizontino moved the odds the most.

Simulate the rest of the season

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Down

Juventude beat Goiás 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 3% to 7%. Goiás lost 2–0 at Juventude, and their title chances fell from 9% to 4%. Ceará lead the title race at 40%.

Promotion

Up

Down

Juventude beat Goiás 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 8% to 16%. Goiás lost 2–0 at Juventude, and their promotion chances fell from 20% to 9%.

Relegation

Up

Down

América-MG lost 3–0 to Novorizontino at home, and their relegation chances rose from 44% to 64%. Atlético-GO beat Londrina 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 44% to 29%.

Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

América Mineiro0–3Novorizontino

América-MG 0–3 Novorizontino moved the odds the most. América-MG lost 3–0 to Novorizontino at home, and their relegation chances rose from 44% to 64%. Novorizontino won 3–0 at América-MG, and their relegation chances fell from 13% to 3%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

  • Ceará
  • Avaí
  • Fortaleza
  • Criciúma
  • Juventude
0%10%20%30%40%1234Ceará 40%Avaí 15%Fortaleza 13%Criciúma 7%Juventude 7%
Show as a table
RoundCearáAvaíFortalezaCriciúmaJuventude
129%12%11%16%9%
223%26%9%12%7%
337%18%10%6%3%
440%15%13%7%7%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitlePromotionRelegation
1Avaí15%−3 pts30%−5 pts1%±0
2Ceará40%+3 pts60%+3 pts<1%±0
3Athletic-MG1%±03%+1 pt10%−12 pts
4Vila Nova2%+1 pt5%+1 pt6%−6 pts
5Operário-PR2%−1 pt5%−3 pts6%+1 pt
6Goiás4%−5 pts9%−11 pts3%+1 pt
7Criciúma7%+1 pt17%+3 pts1%−1 pt
8Fortaleza13%+3 pts28%+6 pts<1%−1 pt
9Botafogo-SP<1%±01%−1 pt23%+3 pts
10Náutico<1%±0<1%−1 pt37%+1 pt
11Sport6%−2 pts14%−5 pts2%±0
12Novorizontino3%+2 pts9%+6 pts3%−10 pts
13Londrina<1%±0<1%−1 pt39%+5 pts
14São Bernardo<1%±0<1%±048%+7 pts
15Juventude7%+4 pts16%+8 pts2%−4 pts
16Atlético-GO<1%±0<1%±029%−15 pts
17Cuiabá<1%±01%±027%−1 pt
18CRB<1%−1 pt1%−3 pts19%+7 pts
19Ponte Preta0%±0<1%±080%+6 pts
20América-MG<1%±0<1%±064%+20 pts

Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.

All reports this season