Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 10 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Fortaleza30%38%+8 pts
Sport17%23%+6 pts
Novorizontino5%6%+1 pt

Down

Ceará13%5%−8 pts
Juventude10%4%−6 pts
Criciúma8%5%−3 pts

Fortaleza beat Londrina 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 30% to 38%. Ceará lost 2–1 at Novorizontino, and their title chances fell from 13% to 5%. Fortaleza lead the title race at 38%.

Promotion

Up

Fortaleza48%58%+10 pts
Sport32%42%+10 pts
São Bernardo8%13%+5 pts

Down

Ceará26%14%−12 pts
Juventude22%10%−12 pts
Criciúma18%12%−6 pts

Fortaleza beat Londrina 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 48% to 58%. Ceará lost 2–1 at Novorizontino, and their promotion chances fell from 26% to 14%.

Relegation

Up

Botafogo-SP41%50%+9 pts
Londrina59%67%+8 pts
Avaí8%15%+7 pts

Down

Athletic-MG26%13%−13 pts
Goiás11%3%−8 pts
Operário-PR22%19%−3 pts

Botafogo-SP lost 2–1 to Athletic-MG at home, and their relegation chances rose from 41% to 50%. Athletic-MG won 2–1 at Botafogo-SP, and their relegation chances fell from 26% to 13%.

Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Juventude

0–1

Sport

Juventude 0–1 Sport moved the odds the most. Juventude lost 1–0 to Sport at home, and their promotion chances fell from 22% to 10%. Sport won 1–0 at Juventude, and their promotion chances rose from 32% to 42%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Fortaleza
Sport
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Ceará

Show as a table

Round	Fortaleza	Sport	Novorizontino	Vila Nova	Ceará
1	11%	7%	1%	<1%	29%
2	9%	6%	2%	1%	23%
3	10%	8%	1%	1%	37%
4	13%	6%	3%	2%	40%
5	24%	5%	6%	4%	35%
6	23%	9%	3%	6%	27%
7	40%	15%	3%	4%	12%
8	38%	25%	4%	2%	5%
9	30%	17%	5%	5%	13%
10	38%	23%	6%	6%	5%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	São BernardoSão Bernardo	20	5%+1 pt	13%+5 pts	1%−2 pts
2	NáuticoNáutico	19	3%+1 pt	8%+2 pts	2%−3 pts
3	SportSport	19	23%+6 pts	42%+10 pts	<1%±0
4	Vila NovaVila Nova	19	6%+1 pt	15%+3 pts	1%−1 pt
5	FortalezaFortaleza	18	38%+8 pts	58%+10 pts	<1%±0
6	GoiásGoiás	16	2%+1 pt	5%+2 pts	3%−8 pts
7	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	16	6%+1 pt	15%+4 pts	1%−1 pt
8	CRBCRB	14	2%±0	6%+1 pt	4%−2 pts
9	CriciúmaCriciúma	14	5%−3 pts	12%−6 pts	1%±0
10	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	14	<1%±0	1%±0	13%−13 pts
11	CearáCeará	13	5%−8 pts	14%−12 pts	1%+1 pt
12	JuventudeJuventude	13	4%−6 pts	10%−12 pts	1%±0
13	Operário-PROperário-PR	13	<1%±0	1%±0	19%−3 pts
14	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	12	<1%−1 pt	1%−2 pts	13%+4 pts
15	AvaíAvaí	10	<1%−1 pt	1%−2 pts	15%+7 pts
16	CuiabáCuiabá	10	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	22%+5 pts
17	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	9	0%±0	<1%±0	50%+9 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	8	<1%±0	<1%±0	67%+8 pts
19	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	7	0%±0	0%±0	92%+1 pt
20	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	3	0%±0	0%±0	95%±0

Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.

Round	Fortaleza	Sport	Novorizontino	Vila Nova	Ceará
1	11%	7%	1%	<1%	29%
2	9%	6%	2%	1%	23%
3	10%	8%	1%	1%	37%
4	13%	6%	3%	2%	40%
5	24%	5%	6%	4%	35%
6	23%	9%	3%	6%	27%
7	40%	15%	3%	4%	12%
8	38%	25%	4%	2%	5%
9	30%	17%	5%	5%	13%
10	38%	23%	6%	6%	5%

Round	Fortaleza	Sport	Novorizontino	Vila Nova	Ceará
1	11%	7%	1%	<1%	29%
2	9%	6%	2%	1%	23%
3	10%	8%	1%	1%	37%
4	13%	6%	3%	2%	40%
5	24%	5%	6%	4%	35%
6	23%	9%	3%	6%	27%
7	40%	15%	3%	4%	12%
8	38%	25%	4%	2%	5%
9	30%	17%	5%	5%	13%
10	38%	23%	6%	6%	5%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Fortaleza	Sport	Novorizontino	Vila Nova	Ceará
1	11%	7%	1%	<1%	29%
2	9%	6%	2%	1%	23%
3	10%	8%	1%	1%	37%
4	13%	6%	3%	2%	40%
5	24%	5%	6%	4%	35%
6	23%	9%	3%	6%	27%
7	40%	15%	3%	4%	12%
8	38%	25%	4%	2%	5%
9	30%	17%	5%	5%	13%
10	38%	23%	6%	6%	5%