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Brasileirão Série B 2026

Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 5

After the games up to 19 April 2026

Ceará lead the title race at 35%. Náutico 0–3 São Bernardo moved the odds the most.

Simulate the rest of the season

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Down

Fortaleza beat Criciúma 3–2 at home, and their title chances rose from 13% to 24%. Avaí lost 2–1 to Ponte Preta at home, and their title chances fell from 15% to 7%. Ceará lead the title race at 35%.

Promotion

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Down

Fortaleza beat Criciúma 3–2 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 28% to 44%. Avaí lost 2–1 to Ponte Preta at home, and their promotion chances fell from 30% to 16%.

Relegation

Up

Down

Náutico lost 3–0 to São Bernardo at home, and their relegation chances rose from 37% to 63%. São Bernardo won 3–0 at Náutico, and their relegation chances fell from 48% to 24%.

Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Náutico0–3São Bernardo

Náutico 0–3 São Bernardo moved the odds the most. Náutico lost 3–0 to São Bernardo at home, and their relegation chances rose from 37% to 63%. São Bernardo won 3–0 at Náutico, and their relegation chances fell from 48% to 24%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

  • Ceará
  • Fortaleza
  • Juventude
  • Avaí
  • Novorizontino
0%10%20%30%40%12345Ceará 35%Fortaleza 24%Juventude 11%Avaí 7%Novorizonti… 6%
Show as a table
RoundCearáFortalezaJuventudeAvaíNovorizontino
129%11%9%12%1%
223%9%7%26%2%
337%10%3%18%1%
440%13%7%15%3%
535%24%11%7%6%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitlePromotionRelegation
1Vila Nova4%+2 pts11%+6 pts3%−3 pts
2Fortaleza24%+11 pts44%+16 pts<1%±0
3Ceará35%−5 pts56%−4 pts<1%±0
4Novorizontino6%+3 pts14%+5 pts2%−1 pt
5Avaí7%−8 pts16%−14 pts1%±0
6Athletic-MG1%±02%−1 pt15%+5 pts
7Operário-PR1%−1 pt3%−2 pts9%+3 pts
8Botafogo-SP<1%±01%±024%+1 pt
9São Bernardo<1%±01%+1 pt24%−24 pts
10Criciúma4%−3 pts10%−7 pts3%+2 pts
11Juventude11%+4 pts23%+7 pts1%−1 pt
12Goiás1%−3 pts4%−5 pts9%+6 pts
13Sport5%−1 pt12%−2 pts2%±0
14Náutico<1%±0<1%±063%+26 pts
15Cuiabá1%+1 pt2%+1 pt11%−16 pts
16Londrina<1%±0<1%±038%−1 pt
17Atlético-GO<1%±0<1%±033%+4 pts
18Ponte Preta0%±0<1%±065%−15 pts
19CRB<1%±01%±028%+9 pts
20América-MG0%±0<1%±067%+3 pts

Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.

All reports this season