Brasileirão Série B title odds after Matchday 30 (2026)

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Juventude23%36%+13 pts
Vila Nova13%20%+7 pts
Criciúma1%3%+2 pts

Down

Novorizontino29%17%−12 pts
Fortaleza29%19%−10 pts
Operário-PR3%1%−2 pts

Juventude won 1–0 at América-MG, and their title chances rose from 23% to 36%. Novorizontino drew 0–0 with São Bernardo at home, and their title chances fell from 29% to 17%. Juventude lead the title race at 36%.

Promotion

Up

Juventude47%60%+13 pts
Vila Nova28%37%+9 pts
Criciúma5%10%+5 pts

Down

Novorizontino51%36%−15 pts
Fortaleza52%39%−13 pts
Operário-PR8%4%−4 pts

Juventude won 1–0 at América-MG, and their promotion chances rose from 47% to 60%. Novorizontino drew 0–0 with São Bernardo at home, and their promotion chances fell from 51% to 36%.

Relegation

Up

Avaí51%65%+14 pts
Londrina81%89%+8 pts

Down

Botafogo-SP47%33%−14 pts
Náutico8%2%−6 pts
Ceará12%11%−1 pt

Avaí lost 3–0 at Criciúma, and their relegation chances rose from 51% to 65%. Botafogo-SP beat Ponte Preta 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 47% to 33%.

Changes since Matchday 29, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Novorizontino

0–0

São Bernardo

Novorizontino 0–0 São Bernardo moved the odds the most. Novorizontino drew 0–0 with São Bernardo at home, and their promotion chances fell from 51% to 36%. São Bernardo drew 0–0 at Novorizontino, and their relegation chances fell from 1% to <1%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Juventude
Vila Nova
Fortaleza
Novorizontino
Criciúma

Show as a table

Round	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Criciúma
1	9%	<1%	11%	1%	16%
2	7%	1%	9%	2%	12%
3	3%	1%	10%	1%	6%
4	7%	2%	13%	3%	7%
5	11%	4%	24%	6%	4%
6	15%	6%	23%	3%	9%
7	11%	4%	40%	3%	7%
8	9%	2%	38%	4%	7%
9	10%	5%	30%	5%	8%
10	4%	6%	38%	6%	5%
11	7%	9%	24%	5%	9%
12	3%	11%	29%	12%	10%
13	8%	9%	14%	13%	10%
14	14%	13%	11%	17%	14%
15	20%	8%	16%	21%	18%
16	12%	9%	17%	29%	22%
17	19%	7%	10%	20%	31%
18	25%	3%	14%	11%	38%
19	12%	6%	8%	6%	60%
20	17%	3%	11%	11%	50%
21	36%	2%	12%	8%	36%
22	28%	5%	10%	6%	46%
23	39%	8%	6%	7%	37%
24	49%	6%	11%	12%	19%
25	43%	12%	8%	22%	12%
26	30%	5%	13%	30%	19%
27	42%	5%	13%	34%	6%
28	32%	7%	14%	38%	4%
29	23%	13%	29%	29%	1%
30	36%	20%	19%	17%	3%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	Vila NovaVila Nova	54	20%+7 pts	37%+9 pts	0%±0
2	JuventudeJuventude	53	36%+13 pts	60%+13 pts	0%±0
3	FortalezaFortaleza	52	19%−10 pts	39%−13 pts	0%±0
4	NovorizontinoNovorizontino	51	17%−12 pts	36%−15 pts	0%±0
5	CriciúmaCriciúma	50	3%+2 pts	10%+5 pts	0%±0
6	Atlético-GOAtlético Goianiense	49	2%+1 pt	8%+4 pts	0%±0
7	CRBCRB	48	1%±0	4%+2 pts	0%±0
8	Operário-PROperário-PR	48	1%−2 pts	4%−4 pts	0%±0
9	SportSport	44	<1%±0	<1%−2 pts	<1%±0
10	CuiabáCuiabá	43	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	<1%±0
11	GoiásGoiás	42	<1%±0	<1%±0	<1%±0
12	São BernardoSão Bernardo	42	0%±0	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt
13	Athletic-MGAthletic-MG	42	0%±0	<1%±0	1%±0
14	NáuticoNáutico	41	0%±0	<1%±0	2%−6 pts
15	CearáCeará	36	0%±0	0%±0	11%−1 pt
16	Botafogo-SPBotafogo-SP	35	0%±0	0%±0	33%−14 pts
17	AvaíAvaí	30	0%±0	0%±0	65%+14 pts
18	LondrinaLondrina	28	0%±0	0%±0	89%+8 pts
19	América-MGAmérica Mineiro	17	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0
20	Ponte PretaPonte Preta	13	0%±0	0%±0	100%±0

Chances after Matchday 30, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 29 below each.

Round	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Criciúma
1	9%	<1%	11%	1%	16%
2	7%	1%	9%	2%	12%
3	3%	1%	10%	1%	6%
4	7%	2%	13%	3%	7%
5	11%	4%	24%	6%	4%
6	15%	6%	23%	3%	9%
7	11%	4%	40%	3%	7%
8	9%	2%	38%	4%	7%
9	10%	5%	30%	5%	8%
10	4%	6%	38%	6%	5%
11	7%	9%	24%	5%	9%
12	3%	11%	29%	12%	10%
13	8%	9%	14%	13%	10%
14	14%	13%	11%	17%	14%
15	20%	8%	16%	21%	18%
16	12%	9%	17%	29%	22%
17	19%	7%	10%	20%	31%
18	25%	3%	14%	11%	38%
19	12%	6%	8%	6%	60%
20	17%	3%	11%	11%	50%
21	36%	2%	12%	8%	36%
22	28%	5%	10%	6%	46%
23	39%	8%	6%	7%	37%
24	49%	6%	11%	12%	19%
25	43%	12%	8%	22%	12%
26	30%	5%	13%	30%	19%
27	42%	5%	13%	34%	6%
28	32%	7%	14%	38%	4%
29	23%	13%	29%	29%	1%
30	36%	20%	19%	17%	3%

Round	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Criciúma
1	9%	<1%	11%	1%	16%
2	7%	1%	9%	2%	12%
3	3%	1%	10%	1%	6%
4	7%	2%	13%	3%	7%
5	11%	4%	24%	6%	4%
6	15%	6%	23%	3%	9%
7	11%	4%	40%	3%	7%
8	9%	2%	38%	4%	7%
9	10%	5%	30%	5%	8%
10	4%	6%	38%	6%	5%
11	7%	9%	24%	5%	9%
12	3%	11%	29%	12%	10%
13	8%	9%	14%	13%	10%
14	14%	13%	11%	17%	14%
15	20%	8%	16%	21%	18%
16	12%	9%	17%	29%	22%
17	19%	7%	10%	20%	31%
18	25%	3%	14%	11%	38%
19	12%	6%	8%	6%	60%
20	17%	3%	11%	11%	50%
21	36%	2%	12%	8%	36%
22	28%	5%	10%	6%	46%
23	39%	8%	6%	7%	37%
24	49%	6%	11%	12%	19%
25	43%	12%	8%	22%	12%
26	30%	5%	13%	30%	19%
27	42%	5%	13%	34%	6%
28	32%	7%	14%	38%	4%
29	23%	13%	29%	29%	1%
30	36%	20%	19%	17%	3%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Juventude	Vila Nova	Fortaleza	Novorizontino	Criciúma
1	9%	<1%	11%	1%	16%
2	7%	1%	9%	2%	12%
3	3%	1%	10%	1%	6%
4	7%	2%	13%	3%	7%
5	11%	4%	24%	6%	4%
6	15%	6%	23%	3%	9%
7	11%	4%	40%	3%	7%
8	9%	2%	38%	4%	7%
9	10%	5%	30%	5%	8%
10	4%	6%	38%	6%	5%
11	7%	9%	24%	5%	9%
12	3%	11%	29%	12%	10%
13	8%	9%	14%	13%	10%
14	14%	13%	11%	17%	14%
15	20%	8%	16%	21%	18%
16	12%	9%	17%	29%	22%
17	19%	7%	10%	20%	31%
18	25%	3%	14%	11%	38%
19	12%	6%	8%	6%	60%
20	17%	3%	11%	11%	50%
21	36%	2%	12%	8%	36%
22	28%	5%	10%	6%	46%
23	39%	8%	6%	7%	37%
24	49%	6%	11%	12%	19%
25	43%	12%	8%	22%	12%
26	30%	5%	13%	30%	19%
27	42%	5%	13%	34%	6%
28	32%	7%	14%	38%	4%
29	23%	13%	29%	29%	1%
30	36%	20%	19%	17%	3%