Championship title odds after Matchday 15

After the games up to 7 November 2026Latest

Southampton lead the title race at 30%. Preston 1–0 Southampton moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Birmingham8%15%+7 pts
West Brom1%4%+3 pts
Middlesbrough18%20%+2 pts

Down

Southampton41%30%−11 pts
West Ham18%13%−5 pts

Birmingham beat Swansea 2–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 8% to 15%. Southampton lost 1–0 at Preston, and their title chances fell from 41% to 30%. Southampton lead the title race at 30%.

Promotion

Birmingham21%31%+10 pts
West Brom4%10%+6 pts
Stoke3%7%+4 pts

Down

Southampton63%50%−13 pts
West Ham37%28%−9 pts
Middlesbrough38%37%−1 pt

Birmingham beat Swansea 2–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 21% to 31%. Southampton lost 1–0 at Preston, and their promotion chances fell from 63% to 50%.

Relegation

Lincoln City34%45%+11 pts
Bolton26%37%+11 pts
Bristol City3%9%+6 pts

Down

Derby58%46%−12 pts
Charlton38%27%−11 pts
Preston89%83%−6 pts

Lincoln City lost 2–1 at QPR, and their relegation chances rose from 34% to 45%. Derby beat Bolton 3–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 58% to 46%.

Changes since Matchday 14, in points of percentage.

Championship: biggest movers after Matchday 15

Share the biggest movers

A card with this round's biggest risers and fallers, ready to post on X, WhatsApp or Instagram.

Result of the round

Preston North End

1–0

Southampton

Preston 1–0 Southampton moved the odds the most. Preston beat Southampton 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 89% to 83%. Southampton lost 1–0 at Preston, and their promotion chances fell from 63% to 50%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Southampton
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
West Ham
Wolves

Show as a table

Round	Southampton	Middlesbrough	Birmingham	West Ham	Wolves
1	8%	13%	2%	29%	6%
2	14%	8%	1%	18%	12%
3	28%	11%	2%	14%	18%
4	25%	12%	2%	22%	12%
5	19%	15%	1%	29%	12%
6	26%	15%	1%	27%	10%
7	27%	12%	1%	40%	11%
8	21%	9%	1%	44%	15%
9	23%	15%	2%	36%	11%
10	22%	15%	2%	48%	2%
11	15%	9%	4%	61%	5%
12	27%	20%	3%	43%	4%
13	38%	27%	4%	21%	5%
14	41%	18%	8%	18%	11%
15	30%	20%	15%	13%	12%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	BirminghamBirmingham City	29	15%+7 pts	31%+10 pts	0%±0
2	MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough	29	20%+2 pts	37%−1 pt	0%±0
3	StokeStoke City	29	3%+2 pts	7%+4 pts	0%±0
4	SouthamptonSouthampton	28	30%−11 pts	50%−13 pts	0%±0
5	WolvesWolverhampton Wanderers	28	12%+1 pt	25%+1 pt	0%±0
6	West BromWest Bromwich Albion	28	4%+3 pts	10%+6 pts	<1%±0
7	SwanseaSwansea City	26	2%±0	5%−1 pt	<1%±0
8	QPRQueens Park Rangers	24	<1%±0	1%±0	<1%±0
9	West HamWest Ham United	23	13%−5 pts	28%−9 pts	0%±0
10	Sheffield UtdSheffield United	22	<1%±0	1%±0	1%+1 pt
11	PortsmouthPortsmouth	22	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	1%+1 pt
12	Norwich CityNorwich City	21	2%+2 pts	4%+3 pts	<1%±0
13	BlackburnBlackburn Rovers	21	<1%±0	<1%±0	2%−2 pts
14	CardiffCardiff City	18	0%±0	<1%±0	10%−5 pts
15	WrexhamWrexham	18	<1%±0	<1%±0	1%±0
16	MillwallMillwall	18	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	1%+1 pt
17	Bristol CityBristol City	18	0%±0	0%±0	9%+6 pts
18	BoltonBolton Wanderers	17	0%±0	0%±0	37%+11 pts
19	CharltonCharlton Athletic	17	0%±0	0%±0	27%−11 pts
20	WatfordWatford	15	0%±0	0%±0	24%+1 pt
21	Lincoln CityLincoln City	15	0%±0	0%±0	45%+11 pts
22	BurnleyBurnley	10	0%±0	<1%±0	11%+4 pts
23	DerbyDerby County	10	0%±0	0%±0	46%−12 pts
24	PrestonPreston North End	8	0%±0	0%±0	83%−6 pts

Chances after Matchday 15, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 14 below each.

Round	Southampton	Middlesbrough	Birmingham	West Ham	Wolves
1	8%	13%	2%	29%	6%
2	14%	8%	1%	18%	12%
3	28%	11%	2%	14%	18%
4	25%	12%	2%	22%	12%
5	19%	15%	1%	29%	12%
6	26%	15%	1%	27%	10%
7	27%	12%	1%	40%	11%
8	21%	9%	1%	44%	15%
9	23%	15%	2%	36%	11%
10	22%	15%	2%	48%	2%
11	15%	9%	4%	61%	5%
12	27%	20%	3%	43%	4%
13	38%	27%	4%	21%	5%
14	41%	18%	8%	18%	11%
15	30%	20%	15%	13%	12%

Round	Southampton	Middlesbrough	Birmingham	West Ham	Wolves
1	8%	13%	2%	29%	6%
2	14%	8%	1%	18%	12%
3	28%	11%	2%	14%	18%
4	25%	12%	2%	22%	12%
5	19%	15%	1%	29%	12%
6	26%	15%	1%	27%	10%
7	27%	12%	1%	40%	11%
8	21%	9%	1%	44%	15%
9	23%	15%	2%	36%	11%
10	22%	15%	2%	48%	2%
11	15%	9%	4%	61%	5%
12	27%	20%	3%	43%	4%
13	38%	27%	4%	21%	5%
14	41%	18%	8%	18%	11%
15	30%	20%	15%	13%	12%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Promotion

Relegation

Share the biggest movers

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Southampton	Middlesbrough	Birmingham	West Ham	Wolves
1	8%	13%	2%	29%	6%
2	14%	8%	1%	18%	12%
3	28%	11%	2%	14%	18%
4	25%	12%	2%	22%	12%
5	19%	15%	1%	29%	12%
6	26%	15%	1%	27%	10%
7	27%	12%	1%	40%	11%
8	21%	9%	1%	44%	15%
9	23%	15%	2%	36%	11%
10	22%	15%	2%	48%	2%
11	15%	9%	4%	61%	5%
12	27%	20%	3%	43%	4%
13	38%	27%	4%	21%	5%
14	41%	18%	8%	18%	11%
15	30%	20%	15%	13%	12%