Stoke City 2026/27: title, promotion and relegation chances

Stoke City are 5th in the Championship table with 26 points from 14 games. Stoke win the title in 1%, win promotion in 2% and go down in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Their most likely finish is 7th (11% of seasons), averaging 71 points.

Position: 5th; Championship
Points: 26
Played: 14; 8-2-4
Form

Simulate the rest of Stoke's season

Season chances

Champion

1st

Promotion

1st–2nd

Promotion play-off

50%

3rd–8th

Relegation

<1%

22nd–24th

Most likely finish

7th

11%

Average points

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.

Finishing position

10%

11%

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Share of the simulated seasons Stoke finish in each place.

Toughest remaining games

The games Stoke are least likely to win.

Away
West Ham
Nov 28 · 8th in the table
19% to win
Away
Middlesbrough
Feb 17 · 2nd in the table
22% to win
Away
Birmingham
Feb 6 · 4th in the table
23% to win

Must-win games

Against the clubs closest to Stoke in the table: a win also costs a direct rival points.

Home
Birmingham
Nov 21 · 4th in the table
36% to win
Away
Swansea
Mar 6 · 6th in the table
27% to win
Home
West Brom
Dec 12 · 7th in the table
42% to win

Remaining fixtures

WinDrawLoss

07/11Nov 7Away
Portsmouth
31%29%40%
21/11Nov 21Home
Birmingham
36%29%36%
25/11Nov 25Home
Millwall
44%27%29%
28/11Nov 28Away
West Ham
19%21%60%
05/12Dec 5Home
QPR
45%27%28%
09/12Dec 9Away
Lincoln City
44%28%29%
12/12Dec 12Home
West Brom
42%29%29%
19/12Dec 19Away
Burnley
31%26%43%
26/12Dec 26Home
Wrexham
45%27%28%
29/12Dec 29Away
Bristol City
33%28%39%
01/01Jan 1Away
West Brom
28%29%43%
16/01Jan 16Home
Derby
56%24%20%
23/01Jan 23Away
Preston
45%27%28%
26/01Jan 26Home
Blackburn
50%27%23%
30/01Jan 30Home
Portsmouth
46%28%26%
06/02Feb 6Away
Birmingham
23%26%51%
13/02Feb 13Home
Watford
54%26%20%
17/02Feb 17Away
Middlesbrough
22%24%54%
20/02Feb 20Away
Sheffield Utd
30%27%43%
27/02Feb 27Home
Bolton
60%23%17%
03/03Mar 3Home
Southampton
31%26%42%
06/03Mar 6Away
Swansea
27%28%45%
13/03Mar 13Home
West Ham
32%25%43%
16/03Mar 16Away
QPR
30%27%43%
20/03Mar 20Away
Wrexham
31%27%42%
03/04Apr 3Home
Burnley
46%26%28%
06/04Apr 6Home
Cardiff
56%23%21%
10/04Apr 10Away
Charlton
41%30%29%
17/04Apr 17Home
Wolves
36%28%36%
20/04Apr 20Away
Norwich City
28%25%47%
24/04Apr 24Home
Lincoln City
59%24%17%
01/05May 1Away
Millwall
29%27%44%

Season chances

Finishing position

Toughest remaining games

Must-win games

Remaining fixtures

Other Championship clubs