Championship title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 9 September 2026
West Ham lead the title race at 33%. Southampton 3–1 Swansea moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Southampton22%30%+8 pts
Norwich City1%2%+1 pt
Southampton beat Swansea 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 22% to 30%. Swansea lost 3–1 at Southampton, and their title chances fell from 6% to 2%. West Ham lead the title race at 33%.
Promotion
Up
- Southampton40%52%+12 pts
- Norwich City3%5%+2 pts
West Brom2%4%+2 pts
Down
Swansea14%7%−7 pts
Wolves25%22%−3 pts
Middlesbrough32%30%−2 pts
Southampton beat Swansea 3–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 40% to 52%. Swansea lost 3–1 at Southampton, and their promotion chances fell from 14% to 7%.
Relegation
Down
Lincoln City50%46%−4 pts
Watford7%4%−3 pts
Cardiff69%67%−2 pts
Blackburn lost 2–1 to Sheffield Utd at home, and their relegation chances rose from 11% to 18%. Lincoln City didn't play, and their relegation chances fell from 50% to 46%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Southampton 3–1 Swansea moved the odds the most. Southampton beat Swansea 3–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 40% to 52%. Swansea lost 3–1 at Southampton, and their promotion chances fell from 14% to 7%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- West Ham
- Southampton
- Middlesbrough
- Wolves
- Millwall
Show as a table
| Round | West Ham | Southampton | Middlesbrough | Wolves | Millwall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 7% | 12% | 4% | 10% |
| 2 | 21% | 15% | 7% | 14% | 28% |
| 3 | 15% | 33% | 10% | 21% | 8% |
| 4 | 25% | 32% | 11% | 12% | 2% |
| 5 | 34% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 4% |
| 6 | 33% | 30% | 14% | 10% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West BromWest Bromwich Albion | 13 | 1%±0 | 4%+2 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 2 | SouthamptonSouthampton | 11 | 30%+8 pts | 52%+12 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  West HamWest Ham United | 11 | 33%−1 pt | 55%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 4 | SwanseaSwansea City | 11 | 2%−4 pts | 7%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  QPRQueens Park Rangers | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 6 |  CharltonCharlton Athletic | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%±0 |
| 7 | MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough | 10 | 14%−1 pt | 30%−2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  Bristol CityBristol City | 10 | 2%±0 | 5%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  MillwallMillwall | 9 | 4%±0 | 11%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich City | 9 | 2%+1 pt | 5%+2 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 11 |  Sheffield UtdSheffield United | 9 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 2%−2 pts |
| 12 | WolvesWolverhampton Wanderers | 8 | 10%−2 pts | 22%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 13 | WatfordWatford | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%−3 pts |
| 14 |  WrexhamWrexham | 7 | 1%±0 | 3%−1 pt | 1%±0 |
| 15 |  BirminghamBirmingham City | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 1%±0 |
| 16 |  StokeStoke City | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 3%±0 |
| 17 |  PortsmouthPortsmouth | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%−1 pt |
| 18 |  BlackburnBlackburn Rovers | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%+7 pts |
| 19 | Lincoln CityLincoln City | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 46%−4 pts |
| 20 | CardiffCardiff City | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 67%−2 pts |
| 21 |  BoltonBolton Wanderers | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 85%−1 pt |
| 22 |  DerbyDerby County | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%+5 pts |
| 23 |  BurnleyBurnley | 3 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 1%±0 |
| 24 |  PrestonPreston North End | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 39%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.