Championship title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 29 August 2026
Southampton lead the title race at 33%. Southampton 5–1 Millwall moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Southampton15%33%+18 pts
Wolves14%21%+7 pts
Middlesbrough7%10%+3 pts
Southampton beat Millwall 5–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 15% to 33%. Millwall lost 5–1 at Southampton, and their title chances fell from 28% to 8%. Southampton lead the title race at 33%.
Promotion
Up
- Southampton29%54%+25 pts
- Wolves28%38%+10 pts
- Middlesbrough16%23%+7 pts
Southampton beat Millwall 5–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 29% to 54%. Millwall lost 5–1 at Southampton, and their promotion chances fell from 47% to 19%.
Relegation
Down
Lincoln City73%58%−15 pts
Norwich City9%2%−7 pts
Cardiff59%56%−3 pts
Bolton lost 1–0 to Lincoln City at home, and their relegation chances rose from 62% to 73%. Lincoln City won 1–0 at Bolton, and their relegation chances fell from 73% to 58%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Southampton 5–1 Millwall moved the odds the most. Southampton beat Millwall 5–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 29% to 54%. Millwall lost 5–1 at Southampton, and their promotion chances fell from 47% to 19%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Southampton
- Wolves
- West Ham
- Middlesbrough
- Millwall
Show as a table
| Round | Southampton | Wolves | West Ham | Middlesbrough | Millwall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7% | 4% | 42% | 12% | 10% |
| 2 | 15% | 14% | 21% | 7% | 28% |
| 3 | 33% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 8% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CharltonCharlton Athletic | 9 | 1%±0 | 3%+1 pt | 1%−2 pts |
| 2 | WolvesWolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | 21%+7 pts | 38%+10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  SwanseaSwansea City | 7 | 4%+3 pts | 10%+7 pts | <1%−2 pts |
| 4 |  QPRQueens Park Rangers | 7 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+2 pts | 2%−2 pts |
| 5 | SouthamptonSouthampton | 6 | 33%+18 pts | 54%+25 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough | 6 | 10%+3 pts | 23%+7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  MillwallMillwall | 6 | 8%−20 pts | 19%−28 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  West BromWest Bromwich Albion | 6 | 1%−1 pt | 2%−3 pts | 2%+1 pt |
| 9 |  BirminghamBirmingham City | 5 | 1%±0 | 4%+2 pts | 1%−2 pts |
| 10 |  WatfordWatford | 5 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 3%−1 pt |
| 11 |  BlackburnBlackburn Rovers | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 8%+4 pts |
| 12 |  BoltonBolton Wanderers | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 73%+11 pts |
| 13 |  Bristol CityBristol City | 4 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 4%−3 pts |
| 14 | CardiffCardiff City | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 56%−3 pts |
| 15 |  Sheffield UtdSheffield United | 3 | <1%−1 pt | 2%±0 | 3%±0 |
| 16 | Norwich CityNorwich City | 3 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+2 pts | 2%−7 pts |
| 17 |  PortsmouthPortsmouth | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%+2 pts |
| 18 | Lincoln CityLincoln City | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 58%−15 pts |
| 19 |  West HamWest Ham United | 2 | 15%−6 pts | 31%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 20 |  WrexhamWrexham | 2 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 5%+2 pts |
| 21 |  DerbyDerby County | 1 | <1%−1 pt | <1%−2 pts | 11%+7 pts |
| 22 |  BurnleyBurnley | 1 | 2%−5 pts | 5%−13 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 23 |  PrestonPreston North End | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 31%+5 pts |
| 24 |  StokeStoke City | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.