Championship title odds after Matchday 11
After the games up to 17 October 2026
West Ham lead the title race at 68%. Swansea 0–1 West Ham moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
West Ham53%68%+15 pts
Wolves2%3%+1 pt
Birmingham2%3%+1 pt
Down
Southampton22%14%−8 pts
Middlesbrough13%7%−6 pts
Swansea7%4%−3 pts
West Ham won 1–0 at Swansea, and their title chances rose from 53% to 68%. Southampton drew 0–0 with Bolton at home, and their title chances fell from 22% to 14%. West Ham lead the title race at 68%.
Promotion
Up
- West Ham77%86%+9 pts
- Wolves7%13%+6 pts
- Birmingham6%12%+6 pts
Down
- Southampton50%41%−9 pts
- Middlesbrough35%26%−9 pts
- Swansea20%16%−4 pts
West Ham won 1–0 at Swansea, and their promotion chances rose from 77% to 86%. Southampton drew 0–0 with Bolton at home, and their promotion chances fell from 50% to 41%.
Changes since Matchday 10, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Swansea 0–1 West Ham moved the odds the most. Swansea lost 1–0 to West Ham at home, and their promotion chances fell from 20% to 16%. West Ham won 1–0 at Swansea, and their title chances rose from 53% to 68%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- West Ham
- Southampton
- Middlesbrough
- Swansea
- Wolves
Show as a table
| Round | West Ham | Southampton | Middlesbrough | Swansea | Wolves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 7% | 12% | 1% | 4% |
| 2 | 21% | 15% | 7% | 1% | 14% |
| 3 | 15% | 33% | 10% | 4% | 21% |
| 4 | 25% | 32% | 11% | 9% | 12% |
| 5 | 34% | 22% | 15% | 6% | 12% |
| 6 | 33% | 30% | 14% | 2% | 10% |
| 7 | 47% | 28% | 10% | 2% | 10% |
| 8 | 50% | 21% | 8% | 5% | 14% |
| 9 | 38% | 24% | 15% | 8% | 11% |
| 10 | 53% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| 11 | 68% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 3% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SwanseaSwansea City | 23 | 4%−3 pts | 16%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | West HamWest Ham United | 22 | 68%+15 pts | 86%+9 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough | 22 | 7%−6 pts | 26%−9 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | SouthamptonSouthampton | 21 | 14%−8 pts | 41%−9 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | BirminghamBirmingham City | 20 | 3%+1 pt | 12%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  West BromWest Bromwich Albion | 20 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  StokeStoke City | 19 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 8 | WolvesWolverhampton Wanderers | 17 | 3%+1 pt | 13%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  QPRQueens Park Rangers | 17 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%+1 pt |
| 10 |  BlackburnBlackburn Rovers | 15 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%+1 pt |
| 11 |  Sheffield UtdSheffield United | 15 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 12 |  MillwallMillwall | 15 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 13 |  PortsmouthPortsmouth | 14 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%−5 pts |
| 14 |  WrexhamWrexham | 14 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 15 |  BoltonBolton Wanderers | 14 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 27%−6 pts |
| 16 |  Bristol CityBristol City | 14 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%+2 pts |
| 17 |  CharltonCharlton Athletic | 14 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 14%+8 pts |
| 18 |  Lincoln CityLincoln City | 12 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 53%−4 pts |
| 19 |  CardiffCardiff City | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 30%−5 pts |
| 20 |  WatfordWatford | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 30%−14 pts |
| 21 |  Norwich CityNorwich City | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%+3 pts |
| 22 |  BurnleyBurnley | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt |
| 23 |  DerbyDerby County | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 35%+13 pts |
| 24 |  PrestonPreston North End | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 88%+9 pts |
Chances after Matchday 11, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 10 below each.