Championship title odds after Matchday 1
After the games up to 17 August 2026
West Ham lead the title race at 42%.
Biggest risers and fallers
This is the season's first report: the changes start with the next round.
The title race
- West Ham
- Burnley
- Middlesbrough
- Millwall
- Southampton
Show as a table
| Round | West Ham | Burnley | Middlesbrough | Millwall | Southampton |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 7% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  QPRQueens Park Rangers | 3 | 1% | 2% | 4% |
| 2 |  MillwallMillwall | 3 | 10% | 23% | <1% |
| 3 |  BoltonBolton Wanderers | 3 | 0% | 0% | 65% |
| 4 |  CharltonCharlton Athletic | 3 | <1% | 1% | 8% |
| 5 |  MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough | 3 | 12% | 27% | <1% |
| 6 |  SwanseaSwansea City | 3 | 1% | 4% | 1% |
| 7 |  WatfordWatford | 3 | <1% | 1% | 5% |
| 8 |  West BromWest Bromwich Albion | 3 | <1% | 2% | 4% |
| 9 |  BlackburnBlackburn Rovers | 1 | <1% | <1% | 12% |
| 10 |  West HamWest Ham United | 1 | 42% | 63% | 0% |
| 11 |  BurnleyBurnley | 1 | 17% | 35% | <1% |
| 12 |  WolvesWolverhampton Wanderers | 1 | 4% | 12% | <1% |
| 13 |  WrexhamWrexham | 1 | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| 14 |  CardiffCardiff City | 1 | 0% | 0% | 67% |
| 15 |  BirminghamBirmingham City | 1 | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| 16 |  Sheffield UtdSheffield United | 1 | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| 17 |  DerbyDerby County | 0 | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| 18 |  Lincoln CityLincoln City | 0 | 0% | 0% | 56% |
| 19 |  Norwich CityNorwich City | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| 20 |  PrestonPreston North End | 0 | <1% | <1% | 14% |
| 21 |  SouthamptonSouthampton | 0 | 7% | 18% | <1% |
| 22 |  StokeStoke City | 0 | <1% | <1% | 10% |
| 23 |  PortsmouthPortsmouth | 0 | <1% | <1% | 31% |
| 24 |  Bristol CityBristol City | 0 | <1% | 1% | 8% |
Chances after Matchday 1, from 10,000 simulated seasons.