Championship title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 13 September 2026
West Ham lead the title race at 47%. West Ham 6–0 Wrexham moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
West Ham33%47%+14 pts
Down
Middlesbrough14%10%−4 pts
Millwall4%1%−3 pts
Southampton30%28%−2 pts
West Ham beat Wrexham 6–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 33% to 47%. Middlesbrough beat Norwich City 4–3 at home, and their title chances fell from 14% to 10%. West Ham lead the title race at 47%.
Promotion
Up
- West Ham55%72%+17 pts
- Southampton52%56%+4 pts
Wolves22%26%+4 pts
Down
- Millwall11%2%−9 pts
- Middlesbrough30%26%−4 pts
Norwich City5%2%−3 pts
West Ham beat Wrexham 6–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 55% to 72%. Millwall lost 3–1 at Blackburn, and their promotion chances fell from 11% to 2%.
Relegation
Down
Lincoln City46%27%−19 pts
Blackburn18%7%−11 pts
Bolton85%78%−7 pts
Preston lost 1–0 to Lincoln City at home, and their relegation chances rose from 39% to 56%. Lincoln City won 1–0 at Preston, and their relegation chances fell from 46% to 27%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
West Ham 6–0 Wrexham moved the odds the most. West Ham beat Wrexham 6–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 55% to 72%. Wrexham lost 6–0 at West Ham, and their promotion chances fell from 3% to <1%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- West Ham
- Southampton
- Middlesbrough
- Wolves
- Swansea
Show as a table
| Round | West Ham | Southampton | Middlesbrough | Wolves | Swansea |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 7% | 12% | 4% | 1% |
| 2 | 21% | 15% | 7% | 14% | 1% |
| 3 | 15% | 33% | 10% | 21% | 4% |
| 4 | 25% | 32% | 11% | 12% | 9% |
| 5 | 34% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 6% |
| 6 | 33% | 30% | 14% | 10% | 2% |
| 7 | 47% | 28% | 10% | 10% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West HamWest Ham United | 14 | 47%+14 pts | 72%+17 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | SouthamptonSouthampton | 14 | 28%−2 pts | 56%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  SwanseaSwansea City | 14 | 2%±0 | 8%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  West BromWest Bromwich Albion | 14 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 | MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough | 13 | 10%−4 pts | 26%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  QPRQueens Park Rangers | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 7 |  CharltonCharlton Athletic | 12 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%±0 |
| 8 | WolvesWolverhampton Wanderers | 11 | 10%±0 | 26%+4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  BirminghamBirmingham City | 10 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | <1%−1 pt |
| 10 |  StokeStoke City | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 1%−2 pts |
| 11 |  Bristol CityBristol City | 10 | <1%−2 pts | 2%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 12 | Norwich CityNorwich City | 9 | 1%−1 pt | 2%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 13 | MillwallMillwall | 9 | 1%−3 pts | 2%−9 pts | <1%±0 |
| 14 |  Sheffield UtdSheffield United | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 3%+1 pt |
| 15 | BlackburnBlackburn Rovers | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%−11 pts |
| 16 | Lincoln CityLincoln City | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 27%−19 pts |
| 17 |  WatfordWatford | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%+2 pts |
| 18 |  PortsmouthPortsmouth | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%−1 pt |
| 19 |  WrexhamWrexham | 7 | <1%−1 pt | <1%−3 pts | 3%+2 pts |
| 20 | BoltonBolton Wanderers | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 78%−7 pts |
| 21 |  CardiffCardiff City | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 78%+11 pts |
| 22 |  DerbyDerby County | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 18%+6 pts |
| 23 |  PrestonPreston North End | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 56%+17 pts |
| 24 |  BurnleyBurnley | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 2%+1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.