Championship title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 23 August 2026
Millwall lead the title race at 28%. West Ham 1–2 Charlton moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Millwall10%28%+18 pts
Wolves4%14%+10 pts
Southampton7%15%+8 pts
Down
West Ham42%21%−21 pts
Burnley17%7%−10 pts
Middlesbrough12%7%−5 pts
Millwall beat Norwich City 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 10% to 28%. West Ham lost 2–1 to Charlton at home, and their title chances fell from 42% to 21%. Millwall lead the title race at 28%.
Promotion
Up
Millwall23%47%+24 pts
Wolves12%28%+16 pts
Southampton18%29%+11 pts
Down
West Ham63%38%−25 pts
Burnley35%18%−17 pts
Middlesbrough27%16%−11 pts
Millwall beat Norwich City 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 23% to 47%. West Ham lost 2–1 to Charlton at home, and their promotion chances fell from 63% to 38%.
Relegation
Up
Lincoln City56%73%+17 pts
Preston14%26%+12 pts
Stoke10%17%+7 pts
Down
Portsmouth31%16%−15 pts
Cardiff67%59%−8 pts
Blackburn12%4%−8 pts
Lincoln City lost 3–1 to Portsmouth at home, and their relegation chances rose from 56% to 73%. Portsmouth won 3–1 at Lincoln City, and their relegation chances fell from 31% to 16%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
West Ham 1–2 Charlton moved the odds the most. West Ham lost 2–1 to Charlton at home, and their promotion chances fell from 63% to 38%. Charlton won 2–1 at West Ham, and their relegation chances fell from 8% to 3%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Millwall
- West Ham
- Southampton
- Wolves
- Burnley
Show as a table
| Round | Millwall | West Ham | Southampton | Wolves | Burnley |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 17% |
| 2 | 28% | 21% | 15% | 14% | 7% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 28%+18 pts | 47%+24 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 2%+2 pts | 5%+3 pts | 1%−3 pts | |
| 3 | 6 | 1%+1 pt | 2%+1 pt | 3%−5 pts | |
| 4 | 4 | 14%+10 pts | 28%+16 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 5 | 4 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt | 4%±0 | |
| 6 | 4 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 4%−8 pts | |
| 7 | 4 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 4%−1 pt | |
| 8 | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 62%−3 pts | |
| 9 | 4 | 1%±0 | 3%−1 pt | 2%+1 pt | |
| 10 | 3 | 15%+8 pts | 29%+11 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 11 | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%−15 pts | |
| 12 | 3 | 7%−5 pts | 16%−11 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 59%−8 pts | |
| 14 | 2 | 1%±0 | 2%±0 | 3%±0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1%±0 | 3%±0 | 3%+1 pt | |
| 16 | 2 | 1%±0 | 2%±0 | 3%±0 | |
| 17 | 1 | 1%±0 | 2%−1 pt | 4%+2 pts | |
| 18 | 1 | 21%−21 pts | 38%−25 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 19 | 1 | 7%−10 pts | 18%−17 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 20 | 1 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 7%−1 pt | |
| 21 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 73%+17 pts | |
| 22 | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 26%+12 pts | |
| 23 | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 17%+7 pts | |
| 24 | 0 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt | 9%+6 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.