Championship title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 20 September 2026
West Ham lead the title race at 50%. Norwich City 3–4 Bolton moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Southampton28%21%−7 pts
Middlesbrough10%8%−2 pts
Norwich City1%<1%−1 pt
Wolves beat West Brom 1–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 10% to 14%. Southampton lost 2–1 at Wrexham, and their title chances fell from 28% to 21%. West Ham lead the title race at 50%.
Promotion
Down
- Southampton56%46%−10 pts
- Middlesbrough26%22%−4 pts
West Brom2%1%−1 pt
Wolves beat West Brom 1–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 26% to 34%. Southampton lost 2–1 at Wrexham, and their promotion chances fell from 56% to 46%.
Relegation
Up
Charlton4%12%+8 pts
Portsmouth15%22%+7 pts
Watford6%12%+6 pts
Down
Bolton78%60%−18 pts
Cardiff78%67%−11 pts
Lincoln City27%23%−4 pts
Charlton lost 3–1 at Cardiff, and their relegation chances rose from 4% to 12%. Bolton won 4–3 at Norwich City, and their relegation chances fell from 78% to 60%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Norwich City 3–4 Bolton moved the odds the most. Norwich City lost 4–3 to Bolton at home, and their relegation chances rose from <1% to 2%. Bolton won 4–3 at Norwich City, and their relegation chances fell from 78% to 60%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- West Ham
- Southampton
- Wolves
- Middlesbrough
- Swansea
Show as a table
| Round | West Ham | Southampton | Wolves | Middlesbrough | Swansea |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 7% | 4% | 12% | 1% |
| 2 | 21% | 15% | 14% | 7% | 1% |
| 3 | 15% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 4% |
| 4 | 25% | 32% | 12% | 11% | 9% |
| 5 | 34% | 22% | 12% | 15% | 6% |
| 6 | 33% | 30% | 10% | 14% | 2% |
| 7 | 47% | 28% | 10% | 10% | 2% |
| 8 | 50% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SwanseaSwansea City | 17 | 5%+3 pts | 14%+6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 |  West HamWest Ham United | 15 | 50%+3 pts | 73%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 3 | MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough | 15 | 8%−2 pts | 22%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | SouthamptonSouthampton | 14 | 21%−7 pts | 46%−10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  WolvesWolverhampton Wanderers | 14 | 14%+4 pts | 34%+8 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | West BromWest Bromwich Albion | 14 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 1%+1 pt |
| 7 |  QPRQueens Park Rangers | 13 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 2%+1 pt |
| 8 |  StokeStoke City | 13 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 9 |  Bristol CityBristol City | 13 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 1%+1 pt |
| 10 | CharltonCharlton Athletic | 12 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%+8 pts |
| 11 |  BirminghamBirmingham City | 11 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 12 |  MillwallMillwall | 11 | 1%±0 | 4%+2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 13 | Lincoln CityLincoln City | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 23%−4 pts |
| 14 |  WrexhamWrexham | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 2%−1 pt |
| 15 | BoltonBolton Wanderers | 10 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 60%−18 pts |
| 16 |  BlackburnBlackburn Rovers | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%+2 pts |
| 17 | Norwich CityNorwich City | 9 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt | 2%+2 pts |
| 18 |  Sheffield UtdSheffield United | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%+2 pts |
| 19 | PortsmouthPortsmouth | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%+7 pts |
| 20 | WatfordWatford | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%+6 pts |
| 21 | CardiffCardiff City | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 67%−11 pts |
| 22 |  DerbyDerby County | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%+1 pt |
| 23 |  PrestonPreston North End | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 59%+3 pts |
| 24 |  BurnleyBurnley | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%+3 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.