Birmingham City

2026/27 · Title, promotion and relegation chances

Birmingham City are 4th in the Championship table with 26 points from 14 games. Birmingham win the title in 8%, win promotion in 21% and go down in 0% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Their most likely finish is 4th (16% of seasons), averaging 80 points.

Position: 4th; Championship
Points: 26
Played: 14; 7-5-2
Form

Simulate the rest of Birmingham's season

Season chances

Champion

1st

Promotion

21%

1st–2nd

Promotion play-off

70%

3rd–8th

Relegation

22nd–24th

Most likely finish

4th

16%

Average points

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.

Finishing position

13%

15%

16%

14%

11%

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Share of the simulated seasons Birmingham finish in each place.

Toughest remaining games

The games Birmingham are least likely to win.

Away
Southampton
Apr 20 · 1st in the table
25% to win
Away
West Ham
Apr 3 · 8th in the table
25% to win
Away
Middlesbrough
Feb 20 · 2nd in the table
28% to win

Must-win games

Against the clubs closest to Birmingham in the table: a win also costs a direct rival points.

Away
Stoke
Nov 21 · 5th in the table
36% to win
Home
Stoke
Feb 6 · 5th in the table
51% to win
Away
Wolves
Apr 10 · 3rd in the table
29% to win

Remaining fixtures

WinDrawLoss

07/11Nov 7Home
Swansea
49%27%24%
21/11Nov 21Away
Stoke
36%29%36%
25/11Nov 25Away
Burnley
38%27%35%
28/11Nov 28Home
Bolton
68%19%12%
05/12Dec 5Away
Charlton
48%29%23%
08/12Dec 8Home
Watford
62%23%15%
12/12Dec 12Away
Portsmouth
39%29%32%
19/12Dec 19Home
West Ham
40%25%35%
26/12Dec 26Away
Blackburn
43%28%29%
29/12Dec 29Home
Cardiff
64%21%15%
01/01Jan 1Home
Portsmouth
54%26%20%
16/01Jan 16Away
QPR
38%27%35%
23/01Jan 23Home
Lincoln City
67%21%12%
26/01Jan 26Away
Millwall
36%27%37%
30/01Jan 30Away
Swansea
34%28%37%
06/02Feb 6Home
Stoke
51%26%23%
13/02Feb 13Home
Derby
64%21%15%
16/02Feb 16Away
Preston
54%25%22%
20/02Feb 20Away
Middlesbrough
28%26%46%
27/02Feb 27Home
West Brom
50%28%23%
02/03Mar 2Away
Bristol City
40%28%31%
06/03Mar 6Home
Sheffield Utd
53%25%22%
13/03Mar 13Away
Bolton
53%25%23%
17/03Mar 17Home
Charlton
63%24%13%
20/03Mar 20Home
Blackburn
58%24%18%
03/04Apr 3Away
West Ham
25%23%52%
07/04Apr 7Home
Norwich City
52%24%24%
10/04Apr 10Away
Wolves
29%28%43%
17/04Apr 17Home
Wrexham
54%25%21%
20/04Apr 20Away
Southampton
25%25%50%
24/04Apr 24Away
Watford
47%27%25%
01/05May 1Home
Burnley
54%24%22%

Season chances

Finishing position

Toughest remaining games

Must-win games

Remaining fixtures

Other Championship clubs